Boring, boring City?

City’s win over Doncaster on Saturday certainly wasn’t one that supporters will recall as a classic in a few year’s time and it enabled what I would guess is a minority of supporters to continue with their theme that we are a boring team who are over reliant on work rate and the long ball forward. While I’d agree that, compared to last season, we are shorter on the “X factor” that Malky Mackay said players like Craig Bellamy provide at this level, I have little sympathy with the long ball argument – I can only think of Nat Jarvis’ goal at Oxford as an example of one we have scored from that method this season and that’s not bad when you consider that we have scored seventeen times in eight matches. Eight of our goals have come from crosses (which some critics say we don’t provide because we don’t have any quick wingers) and I’d say that six have come from passing movements that could in no way be described as long ball.

Therefore, if we are a long ball team, we aren’t much good at it because only less than 10% of our goals are as a result of that approach. I’d say the long ball tag can be easily rebuffed then, but the boring accusation is much harder to confirm or deny because it’s very much in the eye of the beholder and it’s the sort of thing that needs pretty convincing proof to make someone on either side of the argument change their mind. Last night on one of the messageboards, there was an attempt to prove that we weren’t boring by comparing our goal attempts figure for the season with three teams (Brighton, Southampton and Leeds) that one of the critics argued played more “attractive” football than us. The figures showed that Brighton and Leeds were a long way behind our total of goal attempts while Southampton had matched our figure – the Saints and Leeds had more efforts on target than us though.

The critics came back by saying that efforts on goal doesn’t equal entertaining football, fair enough I suppose, but I would argue that it is a signal of intent – I’m sure those being critical of City would have used the figures to back up their point of view if they had shown us to be behind those other three clubs. Anyway, I decided to extent things beyond just four clubs to include all of those in the Championship and, to try and get some sort of equilibrium to things, I also compared the number of goal attempts sides have had against them so far. I’ll say now that I don’t think my findings can conclusively prove or disprove that we are “boring”. On top of that, I think some of the figures are very surprising indeed and so I’m sure there will be those who feel they are of no use whatsoever, but I would argue that they do offer a clue as to the footballing philosophy of teams at this level and that City’s figures show that they are a side who tries to go out and win every game.

Nat Jarvis, the scorer of our one goal this season from a result of long ball football.

Anyway, starting off with goal attempts by clubs in descending order (all teams have played six games except those marked with a * who have played five);-

Peterborough  67 efforts on target, 35 off target, total 102

Millwall 52, 40, 92

Southampton 50, 31, 81

Cardiff 41, 40, 81

Burnley* 36, 44, 80

Watford 50, 28, 78

Middlesbrough 52, 25, 77

Hull 42, 33, 75

Portsmouth 36, 39, 75

Blackpool 37, 37, 74

West Ham 38, 32 70

Leeds 43, 25, 68

Birmingham* 28, 38, 66

Palace 33, 31 64

Derby 35, 28, 63

Leicester 29, 34, 63

Bristol C 30, 32, 62

Ipswich 30,30 60

Brighton 31, 27, 58

Doncaster 27, 31, 58

Reading 26, 31, 57

Coventry 32, 24, 56

Forest 27, 23, 50

Barnsley 20, 22, 42

Liam Trotter scores for Millwall in the 2-2 draw with Peterborough at the New Den - a match which included an amazing 45 attempts on goal!

In ascending order, here’s the number of attempts on each team’s goal so far;-

Birmingham* 28, 23, 51

Doncaster 26, 30, 56

Middlesbrough 26, 30, 56

Southampton 32, 26, 58

Forest 32, 27, 59

Burnley* 34, 26, 60

Watford 27, 36, 62

Millwall 29, 34, 63

Portsmouth 33, 30, 63

Hull 32, 32, 64

Brighton 36, 28, 64

Leicester 40, 25, 65

Blackpool 32, 38, 70

Palace 44, 29, 73

Cardiff 36, 38, 74

West Ham 42, 33, 75

Coventry 43, 32, 75

Barnsley 44, 31, 75

Peterborough 47, 30, 77

Ipswich 47, 33, 80

Reading 41, 44, 85

Bristol C 39, 49, 88

Leeds 51, 39, 90

Derby 49, 50, 99

Kevin Kilbane scores for Derby against Doncaster in a game between a team with the second best shots against record and the one with the worst - you might be surprised which one is which!

Finally a comparison between attempts on opponents goal against attempts on their goal;

Millwall 92, 63, +29

Peterborough 102, 77, +25

Southampton 81, 58, +23

Middlesbrough 77, 56, +21

Burnley* 80, 60, +20

Watford 78, 62, +16

Birmingham* 66, 51, +15

Portsmouth 75, 63, +12

Hull 75, 64, +11

Cardiff 81, 74, +7

Blackpool 74, 70, +4

Doncaster 58, 56, +2

Leicester 63, 65, -2

West Ham 70, 75, -5

Brighton 58, 64, -6

Palace 64, 73,  -9

Forest 50, 59, -9

Coventry 56, 75, -19

Ipswich 60, 80, – 20

Leeds 68, 90, -22

Bristol C 62, 88, -26

Reading 57, 85, -28

Barnsley 42, 75, -33

Derby 63, 99, -36

Before anyone else says it, the most important table is the one that measures how many points each side has and having had a little experience in working with them myself, I’d agree that statistics can be made to “prove” anything. However, my interpretations of some of the figures in that final section are;-

1. Brighton are a counter attacking side who are maybe not really as good as they looked in winning at our place.

2. Doncaster are a team that could start climbing the table with the confidence injection of a win or two.

3. I’d be confident if I was a West Ham fan because, surely, there seems to be a lot more to come from them yet.

4. Millwall and Peterborough might regret not picking up that many points when they are playing so well.

5. Leicester are still flattering to deceive.

6. Southampton and Middlesbrough are there for the long haul.

7. Reading and Forest fans should not take it for granted that they will be able to recapture last season’s form.

8. Watford could well surprise a few people again.

9. Barnsley are in for a struggle.

10. Derby fans should appreciate their time up near the top of the table because its not going to last.

As for City, I’m in the we’re not boring camp, so what those figures say to me is that we need to get our shooting boots on (we’ve got the second highest number of shots off target in the division), our low position in the shots against table when compared to our league position indicates that we give our opponents a chance because we are prepared to push men forward, as evidenced by our high position in the efforts on goal rankings. Now to me, that sounds like a description of an entertaining side, but, no doubt, others will disagree. I’d like to see how anyone in the City are boring camp could come with legitimate grounds as to how they back up their argument though.

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Have “routine” wins become not good enough for some of us?

I’ve only seen a couple of match reports on yesterday’s 2-0 win over Doncaster Rovers, but the word “routine” has featured in both of them – funnily enough, it was the very word that was on my mind when as I left the ground. City’s performance didn’t hit any great heights, but it was good to start the run of six matches until the next international break with a win because it would have been tough going into what looks a testing quintet of fixtures starting at Blackpool next week on a run of four league games without a victory.

I must admit to fearing for my second favourite Championship team’s chances of staying up though – Doncaster were neat and tidy in possession as always, but carried very little threat going forward and their defence creaked every time City put them under any pressure. In many ways, the game reminded me of another match we won 2-0 that featured a goal by Anthony Gerrard at the Canton End. When Peterborough, who were destined to finish bottom of the league, came here in February 2010 they had quite a bit of possession and pressure, but, despite a pretty ordinary City performance, there never seemed a chance that the match would end in anything but a home win. The low key nature of the game allied with the fact that City were up in court (again!) for non payment of taxes the following day were probably the reasons for a flat atmosphere that night and it might well have been a reaction to what happened before the game at Wembley on Tuesday that caused it yesterday, but neither match had a “normal”  feel to it for me.

However, I’m not sure that our win yesterday deserved the sort of panning it has received from many on the messageboards. Some of the comments seemed well over the top to me considering that we got the job done without conceding against the league’s bottom team. If that doesn’t sound much to get excited about, it might well be a good time to point out how last season’s team, that so many still want to compare so favourably with the current side, got on at home against sides at or around the bottom of the table. Scunthorpe were only beaten by a single goal scored five minutes from time, Sheffield United left with a 1-1 draw despite having to play the last hour of the game with ten men, Preston were only denied a 1-0 win by an Andy Keogh goal four minutes into added time at the end of the match and Palace got a 0-0 in a match in which we barely had an attack worthy of the name.

Antony Gerrard is congratulated by Kenny Miller after putting us 1-0 up - hopefully two goals in six league matches for our centrebacks is a sign of a greater contribution in that department from them this season.

Therefore, maybe those making comments like “It’s the most bored I have ever been watching Cardiff in 30 years” should stop and really think about what they are saying. For me, the quality of Peter Whittingham’s free kick, which made scoring a formality for Anthony Gerrard, alone  provided more interest and excitement than anything I saw in the whole of countless matches during the 80’s and 90’s in particular. To be fair, the first half offered little apart from the first two minutes which saw a shot against the post by Earnie and an intervention that almost led to an own goal as a through ball by Gerrard caused problems in the Doncaster defence so, yes, with Donny also struggling to create much, it was boring at times. For all of their problems with injury and poor results though, Donny were never going to lie down and make things easy for us and it’s difficult to avoid the impression that we have all become a little spoilt lately after years of chasing a top six finish.

Wins are no longer enough it seems, now there needs to be style and flair as well and yet I’d say that, without playing anywhere near as well as we did against the wurzels, we didn’t do too badly in the second half yesterday. True, Doncaster had long spells of possession after going 1-0 behind and we did get ragged at times with long balls played out of defence as the gap between our midfield and attack became too big, that handed possession back to our opponents, but we could have had a hatful of goals after the break. Besides the two we did get, Earnie and Hudson, especially, wasted good chances inside the first couple of minutes and keeper Woods made fine saves to keep out efforts from Whittingham and Gestede, while, as Malky Mackay observed, there were quite a few times when a better final ball would have put us in on goal.

A tough week for Earnie was considerably improved by a goal which had Donny players complaining about a missed offside decision.

After twice coming so close to scoring, Earnie secured the points when he netted from close range after being teed up, at the second time of asking, by Whittingham and, if a strike rate of three in six matches could be continued over the course of the campaign then we would have one of the top strikers in the Championship on our hands. However, once again, there was little sign of any cohesion in his partnership with Kenny Miller, who, in a mixed overall performance, saw some great runs go unnoticed by his colleagues. As has been the case so often substitutions seemed to improve the side – this time, this wasn’t just down to the introduction of Rudy Gestede, but also the comeback of Aron Gunnarsson and Filip Kiss after injury. Gunnarsson, who started off the move that led to the second goal, in particular added more midfield craft and know how when he replaced Darcy Blake (who did okay, but no more than that in the holding role), while Kiss showed his eagerness to get involved with a series of attempted tackles, which didn’t always come off, and one or two decent and clever passes.

Best player for City for me was probably Kevin McNaughton. After the game, Malky Mackay compared him to Peter Whittingham in that, like Whitts, super Kev is someone who can still make improvements to his game at this, relatively late, stage in his career. Certainly, we are seeing more of McNaughton in advanced positions and, although I wouldn’t say there is anything too subtle about his attacking play, it is growing in effectiveness. Yesterday there was some forceful running past defenders and one or two good crosses, one of which should have resulted in a goal for Hudson, at the end of it. This is not a natural part of McNaughton’s game, but is something that our manager wants encourage and it it was funny to hear Malky talk about our “Stanley Matthews” on the wing who he wanted to stop bombing forward in the closing stages!

Finally, although there have been plenty of times when the behaviour of some Cardiff fans have made me ashamed to be a supporter of the club, yesterday was a reminder that there is also a lot which is good in our fanbase. The tributes, in the form of flowers, flags and banners, to Mikey Dye outside the ground and the minute’s applause inside it were a fitting way to remember someone who died last week because he decided to go to a football match, while the recognition of the imminent passing of Brendan Roger’s father, as well as the response of so many jacks fans to the week’s events, offers hope that the rivalry between the two clubs can continue, but on a more mature basis.

* photographs of yesterday’s game courtesy of

http://www.cardiffcityfc.co.uk/page/Home/0,,10335,00.html

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