Weekly review 7/6/26.

Although there’s nothing much to report on the club front at least, I thought it was time to start doing these reviews again as it will not be too long now before things like the release of fixtures for the 26/27 season and the start of pre season training are upon us and, as far as Wales at various levels are concerned, there have been a few internationals taking place.

There’s also the Donald Trump Rip Off World Cup to consider of course, but, given how I feel about that tournament and FIFA in particular currently, I can’t see me having too much to say on here about it in the coming weeks.

On the City front, there have been one or two under 21 pre season games announced, while the first team squad will be spending a week in mid July at a training camp taking place in what will be very familiar territory for BBM – Cork and its surrounding area. There’s a game on 14 July it seems against opponents that have not been revealed yet, but that will be three days after an attractive looking match at Cardiff City Stadium against Danish team FC Midtgylland which will kick off at 12.30. Besides that, it’s been confirmed that we’ll be playing an away game against Robbie Savage’s Forest Green Rovers on 25 July.

I’ve always said this blog is not really a place to come to if you want to read accurate, up to the minute news on the Cardiff City’s finances (unless I’m quoting someone like football finance expert Keith Morgan!), but I hope I don’t usually come across as vague as I’m going to do now when I write about talk concerning a pretty substantial debt to equity conversion by club owner Vincent Tan having taken place. It seems that shareholders of the club have been informed of this, but there’s been very little, if anything, in the media on it. There’s been little messageboard talk of this as well, but based on what I have seen on there, it appears that the newest version of what I still call Financial Fair Play rules (FFP), which will be in force in the new season, make such conversions more likely.

If anyone wants to read about the new rules, they can do so here. Suffice it to say from me for now that the consensus seems to be that the new rules gives City a bit more wriggle room when it comes to things like transfer budgets than the old ones did. Therefore, having already seemingly spent in the region of £1.5 million on making Nathan Trott a permanent signing, the sort of figures being bandied about for some of the players we’ve been linked with so far suggests we’ll be spending more than I for one was expecting.

That said, Friday saw stories emerging of interest from West Ham (let’s not forget they’re a Championship club, just like us, currently) in Dylan Lawlor and I must say that if we really are going to be looking at signing players with a value of around £4 million, like one of the ones we’re supposedly after, then you have to expect that there’ll be a need to “balance the books” somewhere along the line.

Elliot Watt who I mentioned in.my previous post on here is valued at somewhere between 2 and 3 million pounds by Motherwell, while centreback Ibrahim Buhari would, apparently, cost us £1.5 million. However, it’s between £2.5 and 4.2 million, reportedly, for Estonian midfielder Rocco Shein who it’s been reported we are chasing along with Millwall, who finished third in last season’s Championship.

Whether we do end up spending those sort of fees or not, the release of Ryan Wintle has surely made the central midfield area the place most in need of reinforcements. Even if Eli King can make the sort of return following his ACL injury on the first day of pre season training a year ago that makes him a realistic contender for a regular first team place, we’re still going to need at least one, and preferably two, new central midfielders.

On to Wales then and it’s time for a very embarrassing confession on my part. On Tuesday night, for the first time in the history of this blog, which was started in 2009, I missed a Cardiff City or Wales match because I forgot it was taking place!

Correcting myself, that’s not quite true. I didn’t forget about it completely because I can definitely remember thinking about it on Tuesday morning, but, as I settled down to watch the deciding game in the England v India Women’s T20 series at about 6.30, the fact that Wales were playing Ghana at Cardiff City Stadium an hour or so later completely escaped my mind!

Just as the cricket was finishing, I remembered that Wales were playing and so was able to watch the last fifteen minutes or so live. Wales were trailing 1-0, but were well on top for the small portion of the match I saw to the extent that the added time equsliser they managed from a neat Lewis Koumas near post header from a lovely Neco Williams cross looked deserved and there was even time for City’s Isaak Davies, on as a sub, to miss a couple of presentable chances after that.

I’ve since seen highlights of the game and Dan James especially was unlucky not to score as the Ghana keeper made fine saves to turn efforts from him on to the crossbar and then an upright in the first half. Ghana’s goal came following a fine save by Karl Darlow and then a shot against the same post James had hit.

It would seem that, before the home team’s late rally, the visitors had the best of the second half after Wales had been the better side before the break. Dylan Lawlor was the only City player in the starting line up, but a further injury of the type which has dogged him through the final months of the season saw him leave the pitch around the sixty five minute mark – Joel Colwill and Ronan Kpakio were unused subs, while Rubin Colwill was,once again, missing from the squad although it was reported that this was down to a “minor injury”

There were a couple of Welsh games on Friday as well. Once again, cricket took over from football in my priorities as I spent most of the time preferring to switch between the England v New Zealand test match and Glamorgan’s T20 game at Worcestershire, rather than the World Cup qualifier between Montenegro and Wales’ women’s teams.

One reason for me spending so little time watching the football was that, under the intensely complicated qualification rules for the Finals, Wales had already clinched their path through to the next phase because the top three in the qualifying group make it through to the next stage of the Play Off procedure. Clearly, the higher you can finish, the more advantageous seeding you receive in the draw for the next stage and it was in Wales’ hands to come first if they could follow up a win against a Montenegro team ranked about fifty places below them that we’d beaten 6-1 in the reverse fixture, with a draw or better against Czechia in Wales in a few days time.

However, after going ahead in the first half through a dubious looking penalty award from which Hannah Kane scored, Wales then gave away an incredibly careless equaliser around ten minutes from. the end which means that it’s now the Czechs who only have to avoid defeat to top the group.

Wales is hosting the Under 19s Euros this summer and so have already qualified. They’ve picked a provisional squad for warm up games, which, surely, won’t be too different from the one for the tournament proper, which includes three City players – Jac Thomas, Noah Williams and Rob Tankiewicz. It was only the latter that began the match with Qatar hough, although it looks like eleven changes were made at half time and Williams played the second half – presumably, Thomas had some sort of injury as he didn’t feature at all. Anyway, Wales won by 2-0 with Luis Gardener of Everton adding to an own goal to complete the win.

Finally, apart from when Wales have been involved in the final stages of major tournaments, seasons covered by this blog have always ended with a game played by the national team some time in early June and it seems to me that they tended to see us not playing well and losing. Well, although tonight’s game in Romania proved to be a more interesting and entertaining watch than your typical meaningless friendly, Wales brought the curtain. down on MAYA’s 25/26 campaign with a 2-1 loss and a performance I would describe as patchy.

If there has been qualifying points at stake in the game, it would have been a source of great frustration to me that there were two spells of around fifteen to twenty minutes in the match where Wales were, clearly, the better team. Yet, by the end, they could have few complaints about the outcome because, for about sixty per cent of the time, the home side were as dominant as we were in our spells of superiority.

Wales, with Coventry teenager Kai Andrews making a first start in midfield, were the better team early on, but never really looked to cash in on this superiority. In my view, this was because of the four attacking players named in the starting eleven, Kieffer Moore, Brennan Johnson, Nathan Broadhead and Dan James, it was only the last named who didn’t give an impression that they thought ending their season. with a pointless match in Bucharest was a bit of a waste of time.

Once the hosts started to play around the twenty minute mark, they went on to have the better of the first half and had a goal wrongly disallowed for offside. After the break, Romania continued to look the more likely scorers and went ahead on fifty two minutes through Florinel Comin with a neat finish to end a fluent attack.

The introduction of Connor Roberts, David Brooks and Lewis Koumas for Rhys Norrington-Davies, Broadhead and Moore brought about an immediate Welsh improvement as they levelled within two minutes as Neco Williams found James in space and his cross to the far post was put away in assured manner by a Brooks volley.

At that stage, Wales looked likely winners, but, although the introduction of Sorba Thomas with twenty minutes continued the trend of subs improving our attacking, Romania were now getting chances of their own and they scored the decisive goal on eighty minutes.

Although I’ve enjoyed City’s season more than any other in recent years, a consistent negative in 25/26 for both the club and country I support has been how poor they’ve been at defending dead ball situations and corners in particular. This time, Wales were undone by a short corner routine and Adrian Rus outjumped Josh Sheehan, who really shouldn’t be marking a centreback at a corner, to head in on the near post from eight yards.

To underline this weakness, Wales could have conceded from the next corner they had to defend as both sides chased the game’s fourth goal in an. exciting finish. Koumas, looking confident after playing a part in Hull City’s unlikely promotion to the Premier League, had two chances to equalise, but was denied by good defending and then seeing his well struck shot hit the home keeper in the face at close quarters, but, for their part, Romania hit the post and forced the busy Danny Ward into more saves as opportunities rapidly arrived at both ends of the pitch.

Ronan Kpakio came on for the last ten minutes or so, but saw little of the ball in the sort of attacking areas where he may have impacted the game and so Wales were left to reflect on what is a winless 2026 so far.

Therefore, if I were giving an end of season report on Wales’ 25/26 campaign, I couldn’t grade it higher than a C- compared to a B for 24/25. Disappointingly, Craig Bellamy’s second season in the job saw both his own and his team’s levels fall. Five wins, four draws and one defeat in 24/25 against three wins, three draws and four losses this time around (and I’m being generous there in treating the Bosnia game as a draw) clearly shows that results were worse, but, more worryingly, so were performances.

Two of the wins were unconvincing single goal affairs in Kazakhstan and Liechtenstein which means that so much of the “heavy lifting” for the season just ended is being done by the 7-1 win over North Macedonia. To be fair, although the score may have flattered us somewhat, it was still an outstanding win against opponents whose record, both in the short and long term, going into the game suggested it would be a tight and tense affair, perhaps decided by a single goal.

So, I’m not going to do what was a superb Welsh performance back in November down, but I think it’s reasonable to ask the question, North Macedonia aside, when did Wales play well in 25/26?

As mentioned earlier, I’ve seen little of the game against Ghana, so I can’t comment on that. Therefore, this leaves me with the 2-4 loss to Belgium where I thought we gave a decent account of ourselves, but fell short of our standards against them in most of the frequent encounters we ‘ve had with them in the last decade or so. I also thought we were quite unlucky to come out on the wrong end of things against Bosnia, but, rather like Mark Hughes in that Russia Play Off game back in 2003, it’s going to be seen as a night where questions had to be asked about the team’s selection and tactics.

This may read as being harsh on Craig Bellamy and, to try and balance things a little, I still think he’s the man for the job, but maybe 25/26 has shown that, although it may not have looked like it twelve months ago, he and his team are having to learn on the job so to speak.

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It all happened within a couple of hours last night!

I think the FIFA World rankings list has something like 210 teams in it, which means that close to a quarter of all of the football paying countries that football’s governing body recognises will be competing in the upcoming World Cup Finals to be staged jointly by the USA, Canada and Mexico.

This is one of the reasons why I don’t think I’ve ever looked forward to a World Cup tournament less than this one (and I can go as far back as 1966 for World Cups I have a memory of watching) – the fact that the tournament will, no doubt, have Donald Trump lording it throughout as if anything memorable that happens is entirely down to him only adds to my lack of enthusiasm for the “extravaganza” we’ll be experiencing through much of the summer.

I must admit though that a general boredom with football is playing a part in my lack of enthusiasm for the World Cup. A set of Play Off Semi Finals which hit no great heights on the drama/entertainment fronts have not helped (only the second leg of the Salford v Grimsby League Two tie had the sort of drama I’d normally associate with the Play Offs). Indeed, I must admit to being much more interested in Glamorgan’s surprisingly bright start to life in Division One of the County Championship than I have been in the final dregs of the the 25/26 domestic football season.

That changed somewhat within a couple of hours last night though when three attention grabbing things happened on the football front.

First, Arsenal were crowned Champions of the Premier League without kicking a ball as Manchester City were spared what would have been a deserved defeat at Bournemouth by an injury team Erling Haaland goal. Nevertheless, a point leaves Pep Guardiola’s side four points adrift of Arsenal going into Sunday’s final set of fixtures.

Normally, I’d be all for a team that has not won the league in twenty two years breaking up the Man City/Liverpool/Chelsea dominance of the title in the last fifteen years or so, but I can’t help thinking that, in Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal, one of the least impressive Premier League campaigns of the last thirty odd years has got got the title winner it deserves.

For forty five minutes against Fulham recently, Arsenal showed us the team they can be. However, certainly in the last few weeks of the campaign, it’s been very much a case of carefully does it for Arteta’s men as a series of dull 1-0 wins (not the least being the home victory over already relegated Burnley secured by a set piece goal on Sunday and the VAR assisted win at West Ham the previous week) have seen the Gunners returning to the defensive roots which have characterised the club’s approach for most of my football supporting life.

In saying that, Man City’s never quite fully convincing performances through the period where they’re supposed to see off all opponents as they come through with the late run which usually sweeps them to the title, probably means Arsenal are deserving Champions. For all of the carping of people like me, this could, arguably, turn out to be the Gunners’ best season ever if they could follow up their Premier League win by seeing off PSG in the Champions League Final in ten days time – that seems a long shot to me mind and, hopefully, the “beautiful game” will prevail in Budapest!

I mentioned Bournemouth and, for me, they’ve been, just about, the most watchable team in this season’s Premier League, but, sorry I can’t get too excited with the “battle” between them and Liverpool to secure whatever position they need to qualify for next season’s Champion’s Leaguer (is it fifth or sixth? I really do not know as I lost patience with the whole thing when it became four teams from one country competing in a tournament meant to be for Champions!). No, my interest will be at the bottom of the table as we find out which one out of two teams who really should be nowhere near the relegation zone, Spurs and West Ham, will be playing in the Championship next year.

Spurs always lose to Chelsea and they duly did so last night once again, by 2-1 at Stamford Bridge. This means that the North London giants will go down if they lose at home to Everton on Sunday and West Ham beat Leeds at home. Such an outcome seems unlikely to me as, much as it sticks in my craw to say this, Leeds have been one of the more watchable teams in the top flight through the second half of the season and have shown a resilience that makes it seem unlikely to me that you’ll get an “already on the beach” type performance from them of the sort you associate with teams that have nothing to play for on the final day of the season – whatever happens at Tottenham, I don’t see West Ham beating Leeds.

Returning to the Play Offs, I thought the second best match among the ones staged in the past week or so was the Second Leg between Southampton and Middlesbrough where the Saints came back from conceding very early on to clinch a 2-1 aggregate win late in extra time. Generally speaking, the standard of play in this Championship Semi Final over the two games was much higher than in the other one between Millwall and Hull where the Tigers won the battle of the big cats with a 2-0 Second Leg win in London and I had Southampton down as big favourites for the Final scheduled for Saturday.

However, the tie against Boro was played out against the backdrop of a rapidly developing story which, of course, had to be called “”Spygate”!

Back in 2019 I think ir was, Leeds got off lightly when one their employees was caught spying on one of their Play Off Semi Final opponents Derby County’s pre match training sessions. Leeds, essentially, got away with it because there was nothing in the EFL’s disciplinary rule book to cover such matters at the time. Now there is and a precedent which saw Canada kicked out of the 2024 Olympics Women’s Football tournament for spying on their upcoming opponents, Australia, suggested a stiff punishment was coming the Saints’ way (the Canadian chief coach also lost her job as a result of the scandal).

Nevertheless, it came as big shock to me to hear last night that Southampton had been expelled from the Play Offs, with Middlesbrough taking their place in the Final and, furthermore, they’ll begin the 26/27 Championship with a four point penalty. Southampton had pleaded guilty to the charges, but what wasn’t known until last night’s verdict was announced was that there were two additional charges for instances of spying by Southampton before they played at Oxford on Boxing Day and at home to Ipswich last month – it’s worth noting that in the games played after the spying incidents, Southampton lost at Oxford and drew with Boro and Ipswich!

With all of the logistical problems such an outcome causes, the appeal against the verdict Southampton are mounting is due to be held today with the outcome to be announced this evening it seems. Therefore this expulsion from what is always called the most expensive game in football (it’s now being reported that victory on Saturday would be worth £200 million to one of the teams taking part) might well have been reversed by this time tomorrow.

I admit that was my feeling when I first heard about Southampton’s expulsion last night as it did strike me at first as being a bit OTT. However, I had my mind changed by something a Southampton fan of all people said in a podcast I’ve listened to this morning. His argument was that people are saying the punishment is overly harsh because of the sums of money involved and the footballing prize on offer for the winner – if, say, a team had been chucked out for spying on their next opponents in the Vertu Trophy, no one would have batted an eyelid.

I agree with that and so I would say that the odds are probably on the punishment being endorsed by the Appeal panel (consisting of different individuals from the original one) with the possibility of some additional punishment (a further points deduction?) on the grounds that, having pleaded guilty to all charges, Southampton have acted frivolously in appealing.

So, for now, it seems City will be facing Southampton in the Championship next season, but they will be doing so without the services of Ryan Wintle who won both the Supporters Player of the Season award and the Player’s Player of the Year award less than a month ago. The news emerged yesterday evening that 29 year old Wintle would not be offered a new contract after his current one runs out at the end of next month.

Before going on to Wintle though, I should say that the permanent transfer of Nathan Trott to City was announced about a fortnight ago, presumably for the pre arranged fee of £1.5 million. Although there had been stories claiming that Trott had turned down City’s initial offer, I was always confident that the deal would go through despite speculation that other Championship clubs were looking at him. Frankly, it was clear that BBM rated him highly and, let’s face it, the keeper made a great start to the season which meant that, although his form plateaued somewhat over the following months, he did nothing to dispel the very favourable impression he made in the opening weeks of the campaign.

Also, earlier this week it was confirmed that one of the soon to be out of contract trio of first teamers, Perry Ng, had signed a two year extension on his deal, while we still await news on the third of them Joel Bagan.

The news on Wintle has been confirmed though by both the player and the club. My immediate messageboard response was to deem the decision “ridiculous” based primarily on the opinion that, as the winner of, arguably, the two most prestigious end of season awards concerning a team that has won promotion, you just do not let such a player go on a free.

I was a bit surprised to be in the minority with my response, but, having had a night to sleep on it, I now believe I was hasty to deem the decision ridiculous even though I still think it’s a wrong one.

Initially, I suspected that the decision to let Wintle go was a financial one possibly coming from the top of the club, but it seems that it is very much a BBM decision. Many of those supporting the decision on the messageboard conceded that Wintle had been excellent in League One, he had not been fully convincing in the Championship with City, while it was noticeable how little game time he got on loan to a Millwall team which finished in the top half of the second tier in 24/25.,

Those are reasonable arguments. I’d also agree that BBM has built up a considerable amount of credit with supporters during his time here and so many are prepared to trust his judgment and accept his decision. As someone who has found little to criticise oue manager about in the last twelve months, I can understand that view and come pretty close to accepting it. However, as someone who believes that BBM has done what the really good managers do – that is, improve players he inherits when he arrives at a new club – I would argue that the Ryan Wintle of 2026 in the Championship with Cardiff City might well have turned out to be an improvement on the player we had here during the early years of this decade under lesser managers.

What seems clear though is that our manager must have player(s) already in mind as Wintle replacements and while he has re-emphasised his quality over quantity approach to player recruitment, I can only assume that he is being backed by Vincent Tan in terms of getting a replacement for the ex Crewe man as I wouldn’t have thought any one who would represent a definite improvement in the number six role will come cheap.

There has been quite widespread media speculation about one midfielder who is being reportedly tracked by Lincoln, Blackburn and Sheffield Wednesday, but the Reading Chronicle is claiming that City are “leading the race” to sign Welsh international Charlie Savage who is , seemingly, available at £800,000 as he enters the last year of his contract with the Royals.

Savage has been a regular selection for Reading in recent years and had featured in every league match for the Royals before he missed the last three games of the season with an injury picked up in the defeat at Doncaster. It seems that back in January, Oxford had a bid of £500,000 for him turned down while there was reported interest from the likes of Birmingham and Wrexham in him at that time.

Therefore, it appears that Savage is ready for the step up to the Championship, but, to give a City comparison, he was in front of Joel Colwill in the Wales pecking order for midfield positions when this season began and has been overtaken by Rubin’s younger brother now – on the face of it then, Savage does not look like a player who can come in and immediately start improving on Ryan.Wintle’s level of performance for now at least.

I’ll finish by wishing Ryan Wintle all of the best for the rest of his career (I’m sure there’ll be plenty of teams interested in. him in the top half League One, bottom half Championship levels and, maybe, even one or two higher than that). My final thought is that while I’m, reluctantly, prepared to trust BBM to pull another Trott or Kellyman type deal out (I’d only rate Gabriel Osho as a partial success at the moment), I can’t help thinking the reaction to letting Wintle go would have been a lot different if any other of our recent managers had done it – BBM has to now show he really is as good as most of us think he is.

Posted in Down in the dugout, General, Out on the pitch, The Championship | Tagged , , , , | 8 Comments