Seven decades of Cardiff City v Bolton Wanderers matches.

I can remember that there were quite a few podcast discussions concerning Port Vale’s “false” position in League One through the first half of last season. Vale were bottom of the table, but opinion was that would soon change because their stats were so good.

Vale’s xg figures for goals for and against were saying they were far better than their position indicated, but they stubbornly remained in the bottom four and by the time they were beating clubs from higher divisions in their FA Cup run to the Quarterfinals, there was a grudging acceptance among the podcast pundits that Vale were going down despite what the stats were saying.

I couldn’t help thinking of Vale, who are currently bottom of League Two, when I looked at WhoScored.com’s stats which showed City top of the Championship shots at goal per game table, top of the possession table and fifth in the xg attacking table.

I was quite surprised to see us only fourteenth in the xg goals against table because I thought we’d definitely be in the bottom three. We’ve not even come close to keeping a clean sheet yet (in fact we’ve yet to get to half time without conceding in any of our eight competitive matches so far) and the number of really soft goals we’ve conceded already is a big concern.

Even our “good” figures can be taken another way. For example, only QPR have a higher negative xg v actual goals scored figure than us – we’ve scored 4.6 less goals than the analysts say we should have. Similarly, 17.3 shots per game looks less impressive when you’re only averaging 1.33 goals per game – for me, while I’d clearly prefer us to have what I’d still call impressive attacking stats, they do carry a hint of a lack of precision in terms of the final ball and finishing which I felt was an issue even while we were scoring ninety league goals last season.

Tomorrow, we travel to Bolton to play a side that have lost their last four league games and are below us in the table. While I can see us picking up a fifth draw, my lack of faith in our defending makes me think that’s the best we can hope for.

On to the quiz then, I’ll post the answers on Sunday.

60.s. With a surname indicative of something King Charles might wear, this Wigan born forward had a style which Wikipedia describes as “bustling”. Bolton were his first club, but he only played four league games, scoring once, for them and around halfway through the decade, he left to join a side thirty eight miles away. Promotion followed in his first season to a level the club could only dream of now as he provided the assist for the goal, scored by a former City player, which took them up. A regular and a crowd favourite for six seasons at his second club, he moved south to a market town preparing for it’s first season of league football and played his part in two promotions before he went Roman for a while and then he returned to his third club to finish his career off meaning that he had only played for one club which didn’t play in a combination of black and white. Who am I describing?

70s. This Liverpudlian full back spent all of his career in Lancashire with the large majority of his near four hundred league appearances coming for his first club, Bolton. A contractual dispute led to him moving on to a club that wore the same colour shirts and then there was a short time on the coast wearing yellow/amber. Name the player.

80s. Hearing aid for a fish perhaps!

90s. Northern fern spread in central area of the pitch. (3,8)

00s. Eastern European capital joins with Queen track to provide non scoring striker!

10s. He currently manages in the Premier League, played thirty five times for his country and had a spell at Bolton early in this decade. Who is he?

20s. Tardy with your duty by the sound of it!

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Fifty four goal attempts in two home matches, but still no win.

The signs weren’t good before tonight’s game with Stoke at Cardiff City Stadium, morale among fans had dropped to the lowest level seen since our relegation sixteen months ago on the back of ineptitude on and off the pitch and a wait for our first win. 

The news that Rubin Colwill had joined Isaak Davies and the three centrebacks we’ve not seen all season on the injured list only added to my sense of foreboding against a Stoke side that had reportedly spent £43 million on new players in the summer and had blown away early season table toppers Charlton with four first half goals on Saturday to add to their win four days earlier against Norwich.

In the event though, City responded admirably as they followed up their twenty eight goal attempts in their previous game with twenty six more tonight.

There are still problems to face which I think we’ll really struggle to overcome mind – getting a few more players fit would help, but, even then, I’m not sure these areas of concern will ever fully go away.

For a start, we’re still awaiting that elusive win because of a 1-1 draw in which we conceded the sort of goal a Sunday League parks side individually and collectively suffering the worst hangover of their lives would have been embarrassed to let in.

Secondly, we have four points from a possible eighteen despite being the better side by some distance in our last two home games and being slightly the better team against Derby.

Thirdly, while you could argue that we only made one substitution tonight because we were playing well, I’d say it had as much to do with the fact we had a fifteen, sixteen and seventeen year old there and someone in their thirties in Callum Robinson who BBM was only going to use as a very last resort.

So, all’s not perfect by any means, but, for a second straight home games, a neutral would have looked at the match stats and wondered how on earth Cardiff had not won. If anything that applied even more tonight than against Sheffield in light of Stoke keeper Viktor Johansson being voted Man of the Match on the BBC website and stats skewed heavily in our favour 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/live/cm5yep0472vqt#MatchStats

At half time, the aforesaid stats showed both teams having had nine goal attempts each, but, critically, not one of ours was on target. Johansson’s Man of the Match vote tells you things changed after the break with seven on target efforts and that doesn’t include the three times we hit the woodwork. 

The point gained from a losing position lifts us out of the bottom three above Lancashire trio, Preston, Burnley and Bolton as well as Derby who have played a game less than us and at the end of the night’s limited Championship programme, I find myself thinking that nothing has really changed in how I feel about us except that I’m slightly reassured that we went a long way towards showing the Sheffield United performance wasn’t a one off and for much of tonight’s game we looked anything but a relegation team. However, there were also those brief moments when we made basic mistakes that our opponents just don’t seem to make.

Joel Colwill for David Turnbull was the only change from Saturday as City started in encouraging fashion with all of our chances falling to the much maligned, in some places, Ollie Tanner. He was the first City player to hit an upright as he took a touch and then hit a shot which rebounded off the outside of a post following good work from Yousef Salech and Jack Moylan. Then, when Salech put Johansson under pressure, the keeper’s mishit clearance left the winger stood out on the right touchline about thirty five yards out with an unguarded goal to aim at, but his effort was disappointing as it flew high and wide of the far post.

Stoke for their part were pretty ordinary I thought and, having played with a fair amount of ambition in the first half while forcing Nathan Trott into a couple of decent saves and having a shot deflected just over as they looked to add to their lead. However, I thought they were negative in the second half and, in part, that attitude helped us get a bit more confidence and positivity – all that money spent and, on the evidence of the second half in particular, not a great deal to show for it.

Tanner’s third opportunity saw him get on the wrong side of his marker to find a similar position to the one he missed from against Portsmouth seconds before we went 2-0 down. 

This time Tanner lunged to reach a Chris Willock cross, but was unable to get a clean touch on the ball. I thought it was a tougher chance than the Portsmouth one, but, amazingly, the result was the same as the opposition had the ball in our net less than a minute later.

On Saturday for the first goal, I thought Trott rather than Krystian Bielik, should have dealt with the long ball forward which led to the  throw in from which Pompey took the lead and when Robert Bozinik hooked a speculative ball forward he remained rooted to his line again. Yes, you can say Joel Bagan was bullied out of it somewhat by Ben Johnson, but as the Stoke loanee from Ipswich got free of our left back he was only five or six yards from the goal line with Trott still stood no more than a yard off his line – even at this late stage, it felt like the goal that was coming could have been stopped if Trott had acted more decisively.

In the end, Johnson was probably no more than five yards out when he scored, but to be fair to our keeper, he made a good save to deny George Hurst not long afterwards and then, in Stoke’s only second half attack of any significance, he saved with his foot from an offside looking Hirst in a one on one.

With Tanner getting the better of his marker to the extent that he was withdrawn just before the hour mark, Willock on the other wing prospered after the Hirst miss as City took a grip on proceedings for the rest of the game and it was he who crossed for the younger Colwill, who I thought had one of his best ever games tonight,  to direct a header from ten yards beyond Johansson and in via the post.

Within a few minutes Willock and Colwill combined again, but this time Joel’s header bounced out off an upright.

The Stoke keeper was a busy man after that with his best save-coming when he was quick off his line to deny Salech after a lovely reverse ball from Moylan. However, he should have been left with no chance when, just as against Sheffield United, Salech took a great first touch, only for him to make a complete mess of his second one – this time, the Dane worked himself clear of the last defender, but then scuffed wide from fifteen yards.

Moylan became the third City player to curse the woodwork when a free kick dropped to him and his angled shot across goal got a slight deflection which send it against the far upright and out.

City replaced Willock with the unluckily omitted Cian Ashford late on, but could not break down opponents who, long since, had settled for a point and so it’s on to Bolton on Saturday to face opponents who gave West Ham a fright tonight before succumbing at home by 3-2.

Finally, the under 21s recovered from their dismal display against Sheffield Wednesday by beating Plymouth at Home Park last night courtesy of three second half goals in eight minutes in their Premier League Cup game. The home side began and ended the scoring, but we were able to make it two wins out of two thanks to goals from Isaac Davies, Troy Perrett and Jake Davies.

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