“Flat” and “disappointing” Wales prove how far they’ve come in four years.

Coymay

I daresay the name Jakup Emil Hansen doesn’t mean much to you, it didn’t to me until I started doing a bit of research for this piece, but back in the summer of 2011, he was the youngish man who enjoyed his fifteen minutes of fame when he helped heap even more embarrassment on a Welsh footballing fraternity that had become far too familiar with that feeling around that time.

Hansen was studying for a political science Masters degree at the time, but he didn’t have to call on such talents while making a nuisance of himself to Welsh football and the worst thing was he had right on his side.

Hansen was a follower of the Faroe Islands football team and, with the draw for the qualifying stages of the 2014 World Cup due to be made in a months or so’s time, the Faroes found themselves jointly ranked at number 114 in the world with us.

The one consolation was that the islands located about seven hundred and fifty miles north of the coast of Scotland were a tiny fraction below us in terms of the number of points they had in the FIFA rankings, so, while the difference wasn’t enough to place them below us in terms of world ranking, it was enough to ensure that they’d be in pot six in the upcoming draw to our pot five.

However, Hansen’s calculations had it that the Faroes’ 2-0 win over Estonia a couple of months earlier had put them 0,07 of a point in front of us and, after he informed FIFA of his findings, the governing body agreed with him.

So it was, that Wales had the ultimate ignominy of being in the bottom pot along with the Andorra’s and San Marino’s (very interestingly, Iceland were in there as well) of this world when it came to the seedings for the qualifying group stage to see who would be going to Brazil in the summer of 2014.

A good autumn of 2011 which saw Wales end another qualifying campaign (this time for the 2012 Euros) with wins over Montenegro, Switzerland and Bulgaria, as well as a 1-0 loss to England that could have been described as a moral victory for the Welsh, meant that, by the time the qualifiers for 2014 began there were still the usual optimistic expressions that this would be the time we ended that wait since 1958.

A 2-0 home defeat by group favourites Belgium was hardly an ideal start, but Wales still traveled to the Balkans to face an out of form Serbia side with hopes of the top two finish that would secure them a Play Off spot at least still very much alive.

The man responsible for Wales being in the sixth pot at the draw for the qualifying group phase of the 2014 World Cup - Faroe Islands supporter Jakup Emil Hansen.

The man responsible for Wales being in the sixth pot at the draw for the qualifying group phase of the 2014 World Cup – Faroe Islands supporter Jakup Emil Hansen.

Chris Coleman has, hardly surprisingly, described, the 6-1 defeat that followed in Novi Sad as the bleakest moment of his Wales management career. That devastating defeat on 11 September 2012 meant that, for a team, management group, Football Association and fanbase still struggling to come to terms with the tragic and truly shocking loss of Gary Speed some nine months or so earlier, yet another qualifying campaign was over – this time a mere four days after it had started.

Yes, there were still plenty of points to play for and a failure to qualify was not even close to being a mathematical certainty yet, but few were accepting such deluded thinking – we were back in the old routine already whereby our fixtures were all about trying to get sufficient points to avoid more visits to pot five and six when the draw for the next competition was made.

This then is how our previous attempt to make it to the World Cup Finals ended almost before it had began. Two games and less than a week was enough to convince those with the best interests of Welsh football at heart that it would be another four years, at least, until we would get a second chance to pit ourselves against the best football teams on the planet in a competitive environment.

Therefore, when you hear the Welsh manager and many of his players saying that we didn’t play well in drawing 2-2 with Austria in Vienna last night, you get maybe the clearest confirmation yet that the national team has been on the most incredible journey in the past four years. More than that, perhaps the most impressive thing about their climb of over one hundred places in the World rankings since we were tied with the Faroes is that the reaction to what happened in the Ernst Happel Stadion from the Welsh party is one which you would expect from a team seeded number one in their group this time.

For myself, I’m still like a kid in a toy shop when it comes to Wales’ new found identity of being something of a power in the game, there is a sense of wonderment and disbelief and, this time at least, I’m going to keep it and not become like those expressing disappointment at just a draw or those in the media who are using words like “flat” and “disappointing” to describe last night’s performance.

I can understand the thinking of the professionals to a degree, because they tend to be of the mindset that any team that goes away and scores twice should be looking at a win as a reward for doing so – especially when they have been ahead a couple of times. However, the media moans are a bit harder to take and strike me as a reminder of how short some people’s memories can be.

My preamble to this piece was pretty long, but I wanted to get over just how much things have changed in Welsh football in a relatively short space of time. Last night, we were playing at the ground of a team that had won their last nine qualifying games there and they were defending a run of ten consecutive wins in qualifying group matches – Austria have been on a steady ascent up the rankings for a few years now and their only recent disappointing spell came at the worst possible time, in this summer’s Euros.

Apart from that, Austria have been one of the form teams in the world lately and for Wales to go there and draw without Aaron Ramsey (who is now going to miss at least a third of the qualifying campaign because his club manager treated him  differently to all of his other players who made it to the closing stages of the Euros), without Joe Allen for about forty per cent of the game and with Gareth Bale turning in a pretty muted showing is a brilliant result I think.

Nevertheless, it cannot be denied that last night’s showing by Wales was an unusual one that offered the possibility that the character of the team might be changing. Dean Saunders mentioned in the post match discussion during Sky’s coverage that we have now scored sixteen goals in our last eight matches covering the whole of the Euros and our first two qualifying matches.

When I think back to our eleven goals scored in ten games while qualifying for those Euros and how hard we made scoring look in the friendly matches leading up to them, the notion that we could be averaging two goals a game over a fairly substantial number of matches a few months later would have been a very hard one to accept.

It happens so often in football that when a team having goalscoring problems finally rediscovers the knack of putting the ball in the net, there is a corresponding increase in goals conceded as well.

Wales had been able to avoid that happening in the seven matches before we faced Austria, but we were some way short of the standards we have set ourselves defensively last night. The fact is that our two left sided defenders are not getting regular first team football this season and, at times, it showed. On the right, although I’d blame our midfield more for the first Austrian goal because they gave Alaba too much room for a sublime pass which set up Arnautovic, Chris Gunter was caught flat footed somewhat both times when our opponents scored, while any player who is at Aston Villa currently, must find it hard to maintain high standards while playing for such a basket case of a club and James Chester was unusually sloppy at times as well.

In front of the defenders, Joe Allen scored another fine goal for his country to add to the recent ones he’s got for his club, but it was his careless pass which provided the “assist” for his club mate Arnautovic’s second equaliser. “Careless” was the right word to describe some of the things we saw last night from players who have made a habit of not performing in such a manner when representing their country lately, but was it just a one off or a sign of the sort of decline in defending standards when a team becomes more dangerous going forward that I alluded to earlier?

Time will tell I suppose, but it was revealing that, on the fairly rare occasions they could get at the Austrians, the home defence also looked wobbly. I described Bale’s display as “muted” earlier, but he always finds ways to influence matches and, this time, his burst of pace down the left followed by a wicked cross was instrumental in creating the room for Allen to measure his volley from Gunter’s knock back to perfection as he netted from twenty yards.

Chris Coleman made a point about voicing his reservations about Wales' "unlucky" grey change kit before yesterday's match - having lost all three of the matches in which they'd worn it, at least Wales (see here in traditionally odd team photo line up) were able to end the losing sequence last night in what I believe should be one of only two matches in this group in which they have to wear it.*

Chris Coleman made a point about voicing his reservations about Wales’ “unlucky” grey change kit before yesterday’s match – having lost all three of the matches in which they’d worn it, at least Wales (seenhere in traditionally odd team photo line up) were able to end the losing sequence last night in what I believe should be one of only two matches in this group in which they have to wear it.*

Then, with the game going into added time at the end of the first half, Sam Vokes glanced Bale’s long throw into the path of Chester who was denied a first goal for his country by keeper Almer, only for the ball to hit the grounded home defender Wimmer on the leg and roll gently back into the net – lucky perhaps, but good enough for Austria coach Marcel Koller after his mean spirited comment beforehand that Wales only got to the last four of the Euros, while his team went home early after two defeats and a draw in their group games, because of a generous helping of that commodity.

The sixth pot representative in this group is Georgia and, as with Wales four years ago, their qualification hopes look all but over after defeats in their opening two matches. However, a 2-1 home loss to Austria followed by what looked an unfortunate single goal defeat in Dublin last night suggests that Wales are not going to have things all their own way by any means at Cardiff City Stadium on Sunday – especially if Allen is absent after going off with a tight hamstring last night.

With Serbia recording a 3-0 away win over a Moldova team that, increasingly, are looking like the group’s whipping boys, the “big four” who were expected to contest for a top two finish are all level on four points. So far, the two matches in which the four favourites have faced each other have ended up as 2-2 draws with I’d say Wales and Ireland being the happier because of their away points and so, with us to face Serbia in Cardiff next month to follow the home game with Georgia, the opportunity is there to put ourselves in a powerful position going into the new year when we face a run of four away games out of five.

Anyway, enough about Wales for now, let’s get back to Cardiff City! About five hours before the international kicked off, Neil Warnock faced the media for the first time as City manager and, as you would expect, it proved to be a lively, and revealing, affair.

I say “revealing” because Chairman Mehmet Dalman stated that Warnock had been our first choice pick once before when the manager’s job became vacant. No details were given as to when this was, but, presumably, it must have been either this May before Paul Trollope was appointed or two years ago when Russell Slade took over.

When the matter of Mr Warnock’s contract came up, the man himself was pretty reticent as he questioned the worth of them in the modern game. With Mr Dalman also reluctant to comment, the matter was taken no further, but the possibility has to be that our new manager is working without a formal contract. This doesn’t have to be a bad thing, but, with him emphasising that his age (he’ll be 68 in December) means he’s not one for long term planning in terms of the manager’s job, the feeling that Neil Warnock is here to do a fire fighting job seemed to gain a little credence – although, intriguingly, he did talk about the possibility of working in a behind the scenes capacity at a club when his managerial days are over.

I was very pleased to hear our manager say that he would not be doing the very thing that I said he would in that piece from 2009 I linked in my post on Wednesday  about Warnock’s appointment. Far from imposing a preferred way of playing on a new club, he said it was more sensible to look at the strengths and weaknesses of the players you inherit and then come up with something which suits them best – this is something which I have always believes sorts the managerial wheat out from the chaff and I look forward to seeing what Mr Warnock has in mind for his new club.

Finally, there was a bit of talk about some possible new signings before we play next, against Bristol City, a week today – in fact within no time at all it was being reported as if we had all but signed winger Junior Hoilett already. As an out of contract player, Hoilett, who was regarded as a potential world beater in his early days at Blackburn and has played for Warnock before at QPR, fits the bill, but it should be pointed out that he played ninety minutes for the Canadian team which beat Mauritania 4-0 yesterday and so I wouldn’t seen that any deal for him is imminent.

The Hoilett rumours were quickly followed by ones linking Sol Bamba, who left Leeds for “personal reasons” (interestingly, he had twice publicly criticised Leeds owner Massimo Cellino during his time at that club) last month, with City. The idea that we would be looking for another centreback would have struck me as daft in the summer when I thought we had a trio as good as most in the division, but, based on what we’ve seen so far this season, it comes as no surprise now – that said, as something a bit left field, I will point out that Bamba, who also played under Warnock at Leeds and has forty four caps for the Ivory Coast, did play in a defensive midfield role for a while during his time at Hibs.

Today there are also stories circulating that Marouane Chamakh, the former Arsenal striker will be teaming up with his former manager at Crystal Palace again. On the face of it, a Chamakh/Lambert striking partner would seem an unlikely one, but a common saying used to be applied to Neil Warnock about ten years ago was that he loves to have a lot of strikers at his clubs.

If I had to predict, it would not surprise me at all if all three of them are Cardiff players by the time the wurzels arrive. I’ve read that Bamba may be coming here on an eighteen month contract, but I’ve not seen anything about the other two, so it could be that they will only be here on short deals. However, I would have thought that the wages involved for all three would be on the high side and so, with salaries for a new Manager, Assistant Manager and First Team coach to find, along with severance payments for the trio who left the club this week, we can expect a few of the current squad who can command a fee to be sold in January to keep the club within the confines of the FFP regulations.

*picture courtesy of http://www.walesonline.co.uk/

 

 

 

Posted in Down in the dugout, Wales | Tagged , , , | 6 Comments

Neil Warnock and Cardiff City, a match made in Heaven?

Coymay

I’ve just finished watching a programme in which Dean Saunders investigated the impact Wales’ success in the Euros this summer has had on grass roots football in this country. This sounds patronising, but I wasn’t expect a great deal from the programme because I thought it would be a rose tinted view of things, but I ended up being impressed –  it was well researched and there was a degree of realism involved that I didn’t see coming, but, essentially, the conclusions reached were optimistic ones which suggested that at it’s top and bottom levels, Welsh football is in good health.

Unfortunately, at the next level below the national team (i.e. the four senior Welsh clubs that compete in the English pyramid system), the situation is completely different – in fact, it could be argued that things are as bad as they’ve been for more than a decade.

After all, we are currently coming to the end of an unprecedented week where three of them have sacked their managers and with Wrexham’s dead man walking boss Gary Mills having seen his team lose at home last night, there’s still time for the North Wales club to make it a quartet of managerial dismissals (I’ve just checked and he’s not gone yet!).

Newport’s former boss, the ex City striker Warren Feeney,  went after County’s 1-0 defeat at Grimsby eight days ago which left them at the bottom of League Two  and Swansea’s Francesco Guidolin was sacked on his sixty first birthday on Monday with his former side only being kept put of the relegation places on goal difference following a run of no wins since the opening day of the season.

Both the decision to dismiss Guidolin and the manner in which Swansea went about it has, seemingly, caused great consternation among jacks supporters with what I believe was a unanimously negative feedback being recorded on the Radio Wales phone in held on Monday to discuss the sacking and the appointment of new boss Bob Bradley.

Last night, there was another phone in to discuss the latest sacking at a top Welsh club and this time the response was completely different.

I can remember Bobby Gould, Alan Cork and Dave Jones out of the crop of City managers we’ve had this century losing their jobs after chants were heard against them at what turned out to be their final game in charge and now Paul Trollope can be added to the list.

A cruel rendition of “Trollope for England” heard at the 2-0 defeat at Burton on Saturday signified the moment when the widespread individual disquiet with the Head Coach turned into something more unified  and significant and while a “You’re getting sacked in the morning” chant turned out to be forty eight hours or so out, go Trollope did with City last but one in the Championship following just two wins from the dozen competitive matches he had charge of.

City’s triumvirate at the top when it comes to off field management (Vincent Tan, Mehmet Dalman and Ken Choo) have come in for a lot of criticism as the team have slid down the table and so they may have been a little concerned as to how their decision to dismiss Trollope would be received,  but they need not have bothered.

That phone in last night I mentioned earlier did not attract one caller saying the decision to change the manager/Head Coach was a wrong one – if there were any complaints, they were that it wasn’t done quickly enough.

Usually when there is a change of manager at a football club, you get a range of views for and against it, but it seems to be completely different as far as Paul Trollope is concerned. Trollope did still have the odd supporter here and there (one of which is an occasional contributor on here), but, essentially, the range of views expressed went from sympathy for a man who could still have a good future in the game, but had to go, to something approaching joy that he had gone.

I was in the former camp and still thought Trollope could survive before the Burton game, but that listless defeat coming on the heals of that tepid showing against Derby had me believing it would be best for all concerned if a change was made – it was the complete absence of signs of any improvement which did for me in the end.

There were two other departures – Assistant Lennie Lawrence and Performance Director Ryland Morgans  were seen very much as Trollope appointments and so it was almost inevitable that they would go if he did.

The departure of Lawrence made it hard to guess who would be taking over on a temporary basis as the search for a new manager went on, but, almost immediately, there were online stories linking us with Neil Warnock appearing and things moved on so quickly then that, by yesterday evening there was a general acceptance that the hugely experienced Warnock would be our new boss. This was confirmed early this morning with news that Keven Blackwell and Ronnoe Jepson (both of whom have extensive experience of working with Warnock) had also been appointed as Assistant Manager and First Team Coach respectively.

So, just as the jacks had their new manager in place less than twenty four hours after the old one left, so have City, but the comparison ends there because, while Huw Jenkins and the new American owners have been criticised by club supporters for the Bradley appointment, there has been widespread praise for their equivalents at Cardiff for the Warnock appointment – it’s fair to say that Messrs Tan, Dalman and Choo are currently basking in the praise which has followed their best day of the season so far.

Certainly, if it all goes wrong for Neil Warnock here then the only way our owner and his close associates could be blamed would be if there is a falling out between the two parties over something like interference in Warnock’s work from above – always a possibility given the personalities of Messrs Tan and Warnock I suppose.

Apart from that set of circumstances, it’s hard to see how Tan, Dalman and Choo can be criticised in the future on this appointment anyway. They acted quickly and decisively to remove someone who was just not delivering the required results or team performances and replaced him soon after with a man that has a reputation which is almost second to none (in fact, it may be second to none) where the Championship is concerned – speaking as someone who is not slow to have a go at the three gentlemen concerned, I’d say Messrs Tan, Dalman and Choo deserve to be praised this time.

That said, I’m pretty sure I’m not the only City supporter to have been no great fan of Neil Warnock in the past. In fact, in this piece under the part headed “the performance of Crystal Palace” from the very early days of this blog, it is very clear what I thought of Mr Warnock in October 2009.

I would say however, that events since then have made me reconsider those opinions to some extent. For a start, while I don’t think we’ll ever be praising a Neil Warnock side for it’s beautiful, flowing, football, his QPR Championship winning team in 2011 were capable of playing some very watchable stuff and a lot of that was down to our new manager being able to persuade very high level performances out of the brilliant, but moody, Adel Taarabt.

Although it was a tempestuous relationship at times, I would have thought that, given the way his career has gone since leaving QPR, Taarabt would have to pick Warnock as the best manager he’s played under. All of this, despite me having the Moroccan down as exactly the type of player our new manager would have got shot of while barely giving him a chance previously.

Warnock left QPR in 2012 and with subsequent spells at Leeds, Palace and then QPR again not going that well, it would have been easy to think that the man who has won promotion from this division seven times had lost his mojo, but then rescuing Rotherham from the drop in the final third of last season would have to be regarded right up there with his best achievements in management.

Upon checking it, a record of won six, drawn six and lost four at Rotherham was quite a bit worse than I expected it to be, but it doesn’t really tell the whole story, because, after only picking up one point without scoring a single goal in his first three matches in charge, Warnock’s Rotherham reeled off six wins and two draws in their next eight games to put so much distance between them and the bottom three, that they could still finish nine points clear of the drop despite not winning any of their last five matches.

A bit of a quiz for you, can you identify the two current day Championship managers in this picture from 1977/78? I googled the question "what sort of player was Neil Warnock?", but didn't really get much of an answer, I can remember him playing on the wing for Rotherham and, apparently, he was Hartlepool's Player of the Year in 1972, but that's about all I can tell you I'm afraid.

A bit of a quiz for you, can you identify the two current day Championship managers in this picture from 1977/78?
I googled the question “what sort of player was Neil Warnock?”, but didn’t really get much of an answer, I can remember him playing on the wing for Rotherham and, apparently, he was Hartlepool’s Player of the Year in 1972, but that’s about all I can tell you I’m afraid.

So, basically, Warnock was able to save the side with the smallest budget in the league from relegation within about two months of taking over – that’s an incredible achievement I feel.

Certainly, having thirty five matches to rescue City from the drop when they are currently only one point adrift of the safety mark would appear to be a doddle compared to what he faced at Rotherham, but I stick by what I said in the final paragraph of my piece on the Burton game;-

“We are a club that you just cannot see making a Terry Burton type appointment at the moment and if,  more by luck than judgment, we were able to appoint the “right” man to replace Paul Trollope, even an experienced old hand like, say, Neil Warnock would be taking on one of the biggest jobs of his career if he came here – we are getting it wrong on so many levels and have been doing so for at least a couple of years.”

As can be seen, I used Neil Warnock just as an example because there was nothing but wishful thinking on the part of a few messageboard posters linking him to Cardiff at the time and, being optimistic, I’d like to think that, perhaps, the appointment of someone who is one the most least likely yes men on the planet might be seen as an early sign that, finally, the penny has dropped among the club’s hierarchy that it’s best to let football men get on with the football.

Neil Warnock is someone who I never contemplated as a possible for the City job when it became vacant after the departures of Ole and Russell Slade, for the simple reason that he would be too much of his own man for Vincent Tan’s tastes. However, with us “getting it wrong on so many levels”, it may be that we might start resembling what passes for a normally run club in this industry.

So, assuming Neil Warnock is allowed to get on and manage, what can the players expect from him. Well, firstly, I make it that three of them will have a very good idea of what’s coming after working for him in the past – Matt Connolly was a regular in that 2011 QPR side I mentioned, Warnock tried to sign Lee Peltier for £3 million when he was at Loftus Road and appointed him as his captain when he took over at Leeds and Stuart O’Keefe would have been at Palace when he was there.

A term I see used very often in relation to Neil Warnock is “old school”. It’s a bit of a tired cliche to apply I suppose, but, as someone who is old enough to have cut his teeth at a time when the job of managing a football club was much different to what it is now, it is easy to conjure up this mental image of him having nowt to do with these new fangled diets, analytics and performance stats.

I daresay this is an image that Warnock plays up to a bit himself, because it’s hard to imagine someone who is completely averse to new thinking and methods being able to stay in the game as long as he’s done. Deep down though, he does seem to be an old fashioned motivator at heart and, to my mind at least, that is exactly what the City team has been most in need of over the past couple of months.

I have an inking that if “the Cardiff Way” still exists, our conversion to it will be put on hold for the rest of the season at least, because keeping us in this division by any means possible will have become the order of the day for our new manager and highfalutin ideas about a club identity will be for someone else to introduce.

In saying that, as the manager who included a fifteen year old John Bostock in  the Palace team which visited Ninian Park in November 2007, Warnock has shown that he may not be averse to including a kid in his team in the way that a predecessor of his at Cardiff, who also could be termed old school, was.

I always think that a facet of football management which does not get the credit it deserves is the ability to improve the players you inherit when you go to a new club. With no loan window to fall back on, this is a talent which becomes even more vital this season and            I’m sure Neil Warnock will, rightly, believe that he can do that with the City squad.

However, given the very poor level of performance we have seen in virtually every game this season and with confidence levels being as low as I can remember them being at any time since our return to the second tier thirteen years ago, that level of improvement will need to be a lot bigger than what you might normally expect when a manager with a reputation like Warnock’s goes to a new club – especially one with a historically “eccentric” way of being run. What I will say in finishing though is that I feel better about City’s immediate prospects today than I have done for months on the back of the new managerial appointment.

 

 

Posted in Down in the dugout, Out on the pitch, Up in the Boardroom | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 13 Comments