A few weeks ago I looked at our first three fixtures in our return to the Premier League and predicted a pair of goalless draws to start off with followed by a 1-1 draw at Huddersfield – I also went for a draw by the same score against Arsenal in our fourth match before we tasted defeat for the first time at Chelsea.
I felt a return of three points from the fixtures with Bournemouth, Newcastle and Huddersfield, which represented a relatively gentle reintroduction to the top flight, was one short of what constituted a good return, but could be regarded as satisfactory.
The 2-0 defeat at Bournemouth on the opening day immediately made my forecasts look overly optimistic, but consecutive goalless draws with Newcastle and then at Huddersfield yesterday have left me believing that we can compete in this league – albeit with the one, pretty obvious, proviso which is dominating the after match reaction to the draw at whatever they call Huddersfield’s ground these days (I know it used to be the McAlpine Stadium, but I honestly cannot remember the names of about 90 per cent of these sponsor’s named grounds – normally, this would have me thinking of this being more evidence of a declining memory down to, rapidly, advancing age, but I know that’s not the case this time, it’s just that I’m not remotely interested in what grounds are called once they become vehicles for selling someone’s goods and/or services).
While I’m having a whinge, I may as well say, not for the first time on here I would have thought, that I’m no fan of the sort of American corporate speak which is becoming more prevalent in our language, but the term “elephant in the room” is the one which springs to mind when analysing our first three games except that’s not quite right, because that refers to something which is there, but everyone behaves as if it isn’t!
I must admit that, having seen and heard the reaction to yesterday’s game which, ridiculously, was being described as a must win occasion for both sides despite the season being less than a fortnight old, I don’t seem to be getting as worked up about our lack of goals as everyone else is.
I know that the fact that I seem to be taking it all so much more calmly than everyone else probably means that everyone else is right and I’m wrong, but indulge me for a little while as I argue that, for now at least, I see a couple of points on the board as being more important, and a cause for some positivity, than no goals scored from three games. Indeed, the fact we have two points when we are the only side in all four divisions not to have scored yet is, in a strange way, a cause for some celebration!
I suppose what I’ve just said there means that the elephant in the room analogy can be best applied to me, because I accept that I’m probably trying too hard to emphasise the positives. I don’t want to concentrate too much on the obvious problem we have which would make relegation impossible to avoid if it stretched out over the course of a season.
I’ve been doing some checking and, as far as I can tell, there has only been one other season when we didn’t score a goal in our first three league matches since we joined the Football League in 1920.
In season 1958/59 we started our Second Division campaign off with defeats by a trio of Yorkshire clubs – Barnsley were 1-0 winners at Ninian Park, before losses at Huddersfield and Rotherham, by 3-0 and 1-0 respectively, had us propping up the table after the season’s first week.
Anyone looking for positive omens will be pleased to note that we recovered from that horror start to finish a respectable ninth in the league and scored a thoroughly acceptable sixty five goals in our forty two games – if we end up this season averaging slightly more than 1.5 goals per game, then I’d like to think that we will have survived to fight another day in the Premier League in 19/20.
However, while I’m trying to accentuate the positives here, there has to come a time when some concerning facts have to be faced. While, I didn’t accept the “must win” description for yesterday’s game, I would not have argued too much with anyone wanting to call the match a “must not lose” one from a City perspective.
I say that because with our fixtures for September and October consisting of a seven match second phase to our campaign which includes encounters against five out of what has become known as the top six which are always held up as being not only the only possible candidates to win the title, but also the only ones who will be in contention for Champions League qualification (amazing how quickly the Leicester achievement of 15/16 has been forgotten isn’t it!).
The only one of that top six we don’t face in the next two months is Manchester United and so you would have thought that our only realistic chances of picking up any more points in that time will come in the home matches against Burnley and Fulham.
With that in mind, while it is handy to have those two points on the board, we really could have done with cashing in on the fact that we played the final third or so of each of our drawn matches against ten men.
Last week, Newcastle’s Isaac Hayden was shown a straight red card for a foul on Josh Murphy around the hour mark and this time it was Huddersfield skipper Jonathan Hogg who was dismissed after one of those stupid rutting stag type confrontations that don’t seem to happen on any other sporting field.
The fact that the other player involved in the confrontation was Harry Arter, who was almost universally considered to be lucky to have stayed on the pitch last week after he cynically hacked down Newcastle’s Joselu, should be a warning to both club and player that referees and opponents alike will be on the look out for further misdemeanours by someone who has already established himself, in just two games, as a very important member of the team.
To be fair to Arter, I think the yellow card he received from referee Michael Oliver was the correct punishment after he and Hogg confronted each other following claims by the City player that he had been fouled as he contested for a Josh Murphy corner.
I can’t help thinking as well that Hogg, a player I’ve never been too fond of after he ended Craig Conway’s season with a nasty tackle in a City v Watford match in 2012, probably deserved no more than a caution as well, but, perhaps, his manager David Wagner got it right when he said;-
“There were two aggressive players and one was very clever.
This wasn’t Hoggy in this situation and this is why he conceded this red card.”
as it was Arter who ended up on the floor as Hogg pushed out at him.
The sending off completely changed the flow of the game, but it also denied us the opportunity of finding out what City’s plans were going into the game – would they have been as happy to sit back and let Huddersfield dictate in the game’s final quarter as they had done for all of the first half and the opening stages of the second?,Or would they have been more ambitious and gone for the three points in the latter stages if it had remained eleven against eleven?
The most worrying of the myriad of stats which are produced for every game at this level was the one which said we only had one on target goal attempt in each of our first two matches, but there was an encouraging start of sorts for City to their third game as they managed to match that figure inside the first five minutes. Unfortunately, Nathaniel Mendez-Laing, in for the injured Junior Hoilett as the only change from the Newcastle match, played no further part, and may well face a significant period out, after his collision with home keeper Ben Hamer following a pacy and brave run which took him past a couple of defenders before getting in a shot which the keeper blocked as the players collided.
Mendez-Laing was replaced by Callum Paterson, while Hamer admitted defeat after trying to play on for a few minutes and also had to be replaced. However, the attacking intent shown by our winger was not repeated by his team mates as City looked all too happy to concede the ball and space to a home side trying to get their season off and running after couple of heavy defeats by Chelsea and Manchester City.
To be fair, it was hardly a case of City hanging on as Huddersfield bombarded them because, apart from a long range shot into the side netting by the lively and effective Terence Kongolo early on, I’m struggling to remember another goal attempt by the home team in the first half. Nevertheless, it was all a bit dispiriting to see City so obviously intent on just keeping their goal intact.
Neil Etheridge was forced into a good save by home centre forward Mounie, but, essentially, things stayed the same way after the interval until the Hogg dismissal when the attitudes of the two sides changed completely. All of a sudden, Huddersfield were the team who were content with the one point they had and now the onus switched to Cardiff to be the ones who were charged with forcing the issue.
Where City deserve some credit, is that they made a much better job of playing with a man advantage against Huddersfield than they had done against Newcastle seven days earlier. Where Newcastle were able to hold City comfortably at arm’s length when they were a man short, Huddersfield struggled to cope at times and, by the end the BBC’s stats were showing five goal attempts by the hosts with one of them on target, compared to fourteen by us with four on target.
Where it was hard to be too critical of the team for missing chances in their first two games (for me it was more a matter of poor passing and crossing in the final third), this time questions had to be asked about our finishing as Sean Morrison missed exactly the sort of opportunity you’d expect him to bury from a good dead ball delivery by Joe Ralls and subs Danny Ward and Bobby Reid will feel they should have made more of the chances that came their way in the final twenty minutes.
As I mentioned earlier, it’s impossible to know if Reid (Ward had replaced Kenneth Zohore ten minutes before the sending off) would have been on as part of a more aggressive approach by City in the final stages if Hogg has still been on the pitch, but I’d like to think he would, because we are going to need more to our game than going to places like Bournemouth and Huddersfield with the intention of just digging in for a 0-0 draw.
Zohore copped quite a bit of flak for those missed headed chances against Newcastle and there was little to his performance yesterday to suggest that he is going to be the long term solution to our goalscoring problems, but I must say that, given the way we set out against Huddersfield and, to a lesser extent, Newcastle, you could have Harry Kane playing at centre forward for us and he’d struggle to score, simply because he would be so isolated from his team mates.
In my view, you could try Ward, Gary Madine or Reid in the role Zohore is being asked to play, but it would make little or no difference, because, too often there is no one within twenty yards of our main striker when they have the ball.
Therefore I think it’s got to be worth trying someone like Reid in a number ten type role behind whoever the striker is. In the Championship, this would probably mean us playing the 4-2-3-1 formation that Neil Warnock often used even if meant someone like Hoilett playing in that position, but I accept we have to be a bit more cautious in the Premier League, so it would be more of a 4-3-2-1 which would mean one of the wingers having to be left out.
I can’t see this happening though – our manager often talks about how much he likes wingers and he was certainly bemoaning his lack of wide options on the bench yesterday after the game.
So, it seems likely to me that we are going to carry on with a, very, isolated lone striker and two wingers for now as we go into the next, very demanding, stage of our Premier League adventure. However, seeing as our next opponents have lost eight out of their last nine away Premier League fixtures and, once again, looked all at sea at the back at times in the win over big spending, and pointless, West Ham, maybe we can end our scoring drought sooner than expected – if we have to spend the next couple of months almost exclusively facing members of the big six, then Arsenal at home is the best way to start that sequence I can think of.
One other thing, former TNS full back Ryan Price has signed for City in the last few days and, presumably, will go straight into the Development team squad for tomorrow’s match at Sheffield Wednesday;-
http://blueandamber.proboards.com/thread/97938/ryan-price
Welcome to Cardiff City and best of luck to you Ryan.
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Thanks Paul for your report I’m way on holiday so your reports and thoughts are welcome .
I do agree we need to find a solution to our forward line , I wonder if NW is being cautious to our campaign, getting players into the new mode of a very tough league before becoming more adventrous up front .
No game or set of teams are easily in this league especially the ones we have just played as they see us as a 3 point banker opposition ,and I’m guessing there efforts therefore are likely to be more intense and might explain the reds .
I can wait to see if we fair better than the Terriers against Man City and Chelski.
Gunners up next ooops argh,the real test of survival begins.
Come out of September with another 3 points I’d be in heaven.
Great news on Ryan signing.
Give I’m back Paul ill, sort out the donation thing don’t like using networks outside my home .
Thanks again .
Russell.
Appologies , yes I was typing with my toes today, not bloody easy, I can tell you.
If we had gone three goalless games without creating a single chance I would be more concerned but we have created chances which a good finisher would have put away. Hopefully Reid will be given the opportunity to show that he is the answer but if not, why is Rhys Healey, potentially the best finisher on our books, being sent out on loan. Similarly, Anthony Pilkington has shown he can finish. I wouldn’t expect them to start but they could provide a useful bench option towards the end of games when the game is opening up because of tiredness.
Thanks Paul and have to agree with all comments.
Limited highlights seem to confirm the good news that we did create chances but the bad news that we couldn’t finish at least one of them.
We could really have done with the the 3 points ahead of the next difficult block of fixtures where we will struggle to get anything.
No doubt national media will continue to highlight our shortcomings but, at this early stage of the season, let’s not panic!
I am sure there are at least 3 teams out there we can crawl above as the season progresses and we settle into a better rhythm- maybe our 2 most recent opponents are two of them!
Good morning Paul and others – as usual thanks for your observations, and again, as usual nothing much with which to disagree. I have just watched 30 minutes of Saturday’s encounter on the City TV website ( very good value for £30 ) and this half hour really concentrated on the latter stages of the match when Huddersfield were reduced to 1o men.
The two aspects of this period that pleased me was that we seemed to want for once actually trying to play the ball from the back with passes rather than the big punt up field by Etheridge. With Ralls and Arter receiving the ball, there was greater creativity in our attacking approach. And as a consequence, there were more attempts at providing through balls for Ward and Reid and anyone else as we did create chances, sadly not taken. But for me, it was more pleasing than shoving the ball out wide hoping that whoever was in that area was capable of proving a cross that a City player could attack. Obviously, that tactic can work, but not with our current personnel up front.
So with that in mind, and the unfortunate injury to NML, I would be happy to see Messrs Ralls, Arter, Camarasa and Reid in midfield, with the mobile Murphy and Ward up front. The defence seems to pick itself these days although Bruno’s lack of pace is a concern. But as I have said “ad nauseum”, second guessing our leader is a mug’s game.
Finally, it is sad that pundits continue to be so dismissive of our first three games, and how foolish they will look if we are able to repeat last year’s efforts of Crystal Palace who, I believe, went a few more games than us without scoring and earning any points.
Morning everyone, just a quick reply today. Russell, I was disappointed to see how negative we looked while it was eleven against eleven and, having seen how Rondon for an hour struggled while playing for a very defensively minded Newcastle side, I find it hard to join in with the current round of Zohore bashing – he needs to do better, but I don’t think it’s as easy as saying we looked better in attack when Ward was on in place of Zohore because the circumstances were completely different for the most of the time the former was on the pitch. On the other hand, we seemed to get worse when it was eleven v ten against Newcastle, so was our decline down then down more to general tiredness or because Zohore was not doing his job well enough? I’d say a bit of both, but I think it is over simplifying things a lot to say that the fact we are not scoring goals is down to our first choice striker.
I agree with you Clive about Pilkington, but I’d say his absence from the twenty five man squad has something to do with his relative lack of speed compared to other players of his type that we have, but, in a squad which our manager always used to say was short of goals when we were in the Championship, his minutes per goal ratio last season must have been the best at the club by some distance.
Huw, I think I’d be a little concerned if I was a Burnley, Southampton or West Ham fan, but, as you say, it’s early days yet and even if the next seven matches go as badly as we fear they might, we then have a run of matches that look winnable – we have had two games out of three that we night easily have won, so I’m still more glass half full than half empty in my outlook.
BJA, I noticed Etheridge was rolling the ball out to team mates in the latter stages of the Newcastle game as well – whether such behaviour is only allowed against teams who are a man short is not clear to me yet! I can’t see us playing two up front this season unless we reach the stage where we need wins and nothing else to avoid the drop. We were very defensive to start with at Huddersfield, so, bearing the Newcastle example in mind, you’d expect something similar against Arsenal even though we are home – in fact, I can’t help thinking that we may have to wait until the Burnley before we see a striker of ours being given the sort of support most of us would have liked to have seen at Huddersfield when, for example, Reid could have been brought on when Mendez-Laing was injured.