What’s that line about the more I practice, the luckier I get?

The line I use in the title has its origins in golf with some attributing its first use to Ben Hogan, but it definitely appears in a book written by Gary Player where he credits it to Jerry Barber, a name that is new to me but was good enough to win a US PGA title and hold the record as the oldest player to appear in a PGA event shortly before his death in 1994 at the age of seventy eight, who was a renowned performer from bunkers in the fifties and sixties.

While the quote doesn’t quite fit the manner of Cardiff City’s rather fortunate 1-1 draw with Sheffield United at Bramall Lane last night, it is appropriate I believe in that it testifies that getting into the right habits can gain you rewards that may not be deserved on the “balance of play”.

Back in October, City went to Birmingham to play a Friday night televised game at the top of the Championship as league leaders and gave a lacklustre and unconvincing performance to lose 1-0 – they could have few complaints about the outcome against opponents who were in the bottom three at the time.

Just after Christmas, we lost another televised match 1-0 at home to Preston in what may well have been the worst league game we’ve been involved in this season – Preston were one of the poorest visiting teams seen at Cardiff City Stadium over the past eight months and yet they were definitely better than us on the night.

City got what they deserved from both games, but, when you look at a few of the matches we have played since our last league defeat, at QPR on New Years Day, then a case can be made for saying that they have discovered the knack of coming out of matches where they have been second best with results which left the opposition thinking that justice had not been done.

Last night’s match was only the third Championship fixture that we have not won since that afternoon at Loftus Road when the notion that we would be strong favourites to secure an automatic promotion place seemed ridiculous..

We weren’t very good in our first visit to Sheffield when we ground out a goalless draw at Hillsborough against an out of form Wednesday side that had more of a claim for the three points than we did. A few weeks later, we were at Millwall for another televised fixture and, although the match is probably remembered most for the wrongly disallowed late goal by Sol Bamba now, the truth is that, after a bright start which saw us score very early on through Junior Hoilett, we could count ourselves fortunate to get out of the New Den with a 1-1 draw. Millwall could claim to have been the better side for a period of about an hour either side of short spells where it was us who were forcing the issue.

The fact is though that getting a draw at Millwall has become a very creditable outcome in recent months as Neil Harris is emerging as the only real alternative to Neil Warnock in most people’s eyes when it comes to naming a Championship manager of the season. City rode their luck at times when they played there, but they found a way of getting something from the game and, indeed, left cursing that a blunder by referee Keith Stroud had cost them the win.

“Finding a way” was a phrase used by Sky’s studio analysts after last night’s match in which I’d say it could definitely be argued that Sheffield United would have been justified in feeling a stronger sense of injustice than either their city rivals or Millwall could have done after they had entertained us.

If the harder I practice line was one thing that popped into my mind as the final whistle blew last night, another, probably more pertinent, one was to recall a game from about two and a half years ago involving the team Neil Warnock would like to base any Premier League campaign we may face in the near future on.

Back in November 2015, Burnley came here and ran into one of City’s better performances of the season where we, somehow, stayed in the Play Off hunt until the heavy defeat at Sheffield Wednesday in our penultimate match of the 15/16 campaign.

My report on that game confirms the impression I had yesterday that we had plenty to feel hard done by as Burnley, through German striker Rouwen Hennings’ only goal for the club and a freakish own goal by the unfortunate Matt Connolly, scored twice from the eighty fifth minute onward to turn a 2-0 deficit into a 2-2 draw in horrendous conditions.

City did not deserve one point that day, they deserved three. However, as I touch upon in my report, Burnley, even at that stage under Sean Dyche, had already established a reputation as a side that did not know when they were beaten – 2-0 up with five minutes of regular time to go is a winning lead against most teams, but Burnley had done enough over a period of two or three years under Dyche to let City know that they would need to be vigilant in guarding their advantage.

In the end, despite this knowledge, we still couldn’t hang on and, although I’m not saying that we are yet at the stage that Burnley were two seasons ago, it was Sheffield United who found themselves in a similar position last night. To repeat, we have not yet earned the sort of reputation Burnley had, but it’s undeniably true that one of the reasons for our success this season is that there has been a transformation from being a side that, largely, was in the habit of dropping points by conceding late goals in 16/17 to a situation where we have become one that is in the habit of picking up points by scoring late goals in 17/18.

When your team is a goal down going into added time, there is always the, usually forlorn, hope that they can still find an equaliser from somewhere, the difference this season is that, poorly though we had played by our standards, the goal we scored in the ninety first minute didn’t come as a total surprise to me.

Going back to Burnley in 2015/16, on Boxing Day they were beaten 3-0 at Hull to record their third defeat in the five matches they had played since their draw down here. This was their equivalent of the “blip” we had during the Christmas/New Year holiday period this season, but while our response has been very impressive, Burnley’s was truly magnificent.

After the setback at Hull, Burnley went unbeaten for the rest of the season as the next twenty three matches (half a Championship season) saw them win sixteen times and draw seven to finish as Champions. Yet, my memory is that it took a long time for the critics to become convinced that they were the real deal – certainly, I used to watch them during that time and think there were three or four more naturally talented squads in the league than them.

We’ve got ourselves into a position where it’s not essential that we go unbeaten for the rest of the season (indeed, it’s certainly conceivable now that we could lose four of our last seven matches and still finish in the top two), but the job is still to be finished and so the difference between ourselves and the Burnley team of two years ago is that we’re still aspiring to what they were able to achieve.

Burnley didn’t always convince on their run in to the title. Indeed, it will be two years to the day on Thursday when we went to Turf Moor and, perhaps, edged a goalless draw in which Kenneth Zohore came off the bench to give one of those fleeting early appearances of his which suggested we, perhaps, could have a player on our hands.

Their stalemate with us was Burnley’s third consecutive draw, but they responded to this “crisis” by winning five out of their final six games to end up with ninety three points in the season where Brighton managed to garner eighty nine of them and still didn’t go up!

Moving on to last night’s game, I won’t say as much as I usually do about matches because I would have thought nearly everyone who reads this will have watched the game either in the flesh or on the telly.

However, having centred my piece on Friday’s win over Burton on the return to their early season form by the trio of forwards that Championship sides could not cope with back in August, it was ironic (some may say embarrassing for me!) that Messrs Zohore, Hoilett and Mendez-Laing were the three players withdrawn as Neil Warnock strove to come up with something which would deny Sheffield United the superiority they had enjoyed for virtually the whole game.

The Blades had played very well at Brentford on Friday apparently in drawing 1-1 and were unbeaten in four going into last night’s game as what had become a stuttering Play Off challenge has been transformed into a situation where they have as good a chance as anyone, and better than many, of taking one of the two places seemingly still up for grabs behind the current top four.

I think it’s probably fair to say that the Blades’ need for three points was greater than ours (Neil Warnock had said he would accept a point from Bramall Lane in one of his pre match interviews even though it would mean we would come up one short of equaling the club record of nine consecutive league wins). This was illustrated as early as the second minutes when midfield man John Lundstram was one of four home players in the penalty area ready to contest a cross from the left in open play – he got his head on the ball and should really have done better than head straight at Neil Etheridge.

Without doing much at all to threaten the home goal after that, City had began to look fairly comfortable when the home team took a slightly fortuitous lead in the twenty eighth minute when some patient passing,which saw some of their players taking the ball out of the opposition penalty area in a manner which I could never imagine us doing, saw an opening worked for Leon Clarke who scored his first goal in eleven games with a shot which trickled apologetically over the line with Etheridge helpless following a deflection off Bruno Manga.

While the goal owed something to good fortune, what followed over the next hour was largely continuous Sheffield United superiority as their midfield trio of Lundstrom, the influential John Fleck and impressive Welshman Lee Evans gained a superiority over the off colour Callum Paterson and Marko Grujic. These two were backed up by an Aron Gunnarsson who was always going to find a full ninety minutes on a strength sapping pitch a much bigger test than Friday’s twenty minute cameo over opponents that (unlike Burnley in 15/16) knew that they were beaten at two goals down going into the game’s final quarter.

That said, when Warnock withdrew Mendez-Laing at half time and, for the first time since the match at Ipswich almost two months ago, reunited the Zohore/Gary Madine strike partnership, it was the Icelandic captain who provide the driving run down the right past two opponents and low cross cum shot, that Grujic missed by inches, which provided our best attacking moment up to then.

Zohore, with a pacy run past two defenders then tested ex City keeper Simon Moore with a powerful shot that was palmed over and it looked, perhaps, as if we were establishing a superiority. The home team reasserted themselves though when Fleck’s quick free kick took advantage of a dozing City rearguard and sub Clayton Donaldson should have done better than shoot against the post from about eight yards out.

A second home goal continued to appear more likely than an away equaliser right up to the end of normal time with the introduction of Yanic Wildschut and Anthony Pilkington looking to have little effect on proceedings.

However, when Manga launched it long after his initial free kick had been dealt with as the clock showed one minute over the ninety played, Grujic and Madine won headers which saw the ball drop on to Pilks’ right foot some twelve yards from goal. The Republic of Ireland international has been very much a squad member only this season and, after a spell of three goals in four matches in January, had featured for just ten minutes against Bolton during February and March, but you knew what the studio analysts meant when they said that the chance had fallen to the right person because, technically, there are few better on our books than Pilkington and he made a difficult opportunity look a lot easier than it was by volleying across Moore and into the corner of the net.

Any City fan watching must have known that this was, potentially, a huge moment in our season – it certainly looked like that out on the pitch in the celebrations which followed!

Having made a comparison with one promotion winning side, I’ll finish with a similarity with another one – the City squad of 12/13 had nobody who even came close to being a prolific scorer and, barring someone like Zohore, Paterson or Hoilett going absolutely goal crazy over the next month or so, it’s going to be a seventh consecutive season where no Cardiff player has made it to twenty goals. However, just as in 12/13, this is a campaign where goals are going to be shared out among many of the squad. Given his record of five goals in ten appearances (only three of them being starts) in all competitions this season, Pilkington’s name should never be forgotten if 17/18 finishes as we all want it to – last night his goal ensured that it was very much a point gained, as opposed to two lost, for his team.

 

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Sloppy at times, but Cardiff City eventually come through potential banana skin with flying colours.

Whether we were in the running for automatic promotion or the Play Offs, early April has looked to be a crucial period in our season for about six months now. Before Christmas, it appeared as if our visit to Sheffield United on Monday would be a clash between two of the Championship’s top three clubs and while the Blades have fallen away somewhat in the second half of the campaign, they are still right in the running for a top six finish. Next Friday’s clash with Wolves was always going to be against a side that was likely to be going up by avoiding the lottery of the Play Offs, while less than a month ago it looked like the visit to Villa Park on 10 April might decide who would accompany Wolves up automatically.

Therefore, the Good Friday visit of struggling Burton Albion to Cardiff City Stadium was always seen as a not too testing prelude to the real stuff that was to follow. As Neil Warnock acknowledged in his post game press conference yesterday that was always going to make Burton dangerous opponents because they were a team everyone was expecting us to beat.

By and large, City have done so well this season on the back of a “we’ll show them” attitude whereby we’ve been perceived as a team which shouldn’t really be as high in the table as we have been. In a way, that has made motivation an easier task for our manager because he has been able to do what those in charge of any sporting team or individual, apparently, love to do prior to a game – portray their charges as underdogs.

However, as the wins have piled up since we ended our four match losing spell over the Christmas/New Year period, the realisation has dawned in places a lot further afield than south Wales that this Cardiff team have more going for them than they have been given credit for.

Although there is a part of me that does not want to admit this for fear of somehow jinxing us, the fact has to be faced that, before yesterday’s match, we were in a position where automatic promotion was now ours to lose.

The problem with this is that, with no disrespect to Burton Albion (and that “no disrespect” is meant genuinely, as opposed to when those words are used as a licence to insult someone!), there was no chance that Cardiff City could be portrayed as underdogs yesterday.

There is no two ways about it, we were massive favourites beforehand. Although I’d say the crowd of 21,086 was still not great for a side that was seven points clear of the third placed team with eight games to play, that could be explained to some extent by the low away fan turn out from the poorest supported team in the Championship and, although it doesn’t seem to be the case as much these days, Good Friday has always struck me as the Bank Holiday above others where more people are still expected to work.

So, overall, it wasn’t  a bad turn out and I’m sure the almost twenty one thousand who were there to support the home side were, almost to a man or woman, expecting a Cardiff win.

In such situations can lie danger, because that is where complacency can develop and breed. I think it’s fair to say that there was an element of that among those watching yesterday (in my case, although I tried to come up with reasons as to why the game was a banana skin that we could easily slip on, my heart wasn’t in it – I thought three points were a virtual certainty) and, it’s reasonable to assume that if spectators felt that, then there was a danger that some of those in blue out on the pitch did as well.

Yes, I know they are all professionals and they should push such thoughts from their minds, but they are also human beings and they are bound to approach different challenges with different attitudes which, in some cases, could be down to the perceived weakness of their opponents.

Certainly, City were slow out of the blocks yesterday as the visitor’s could have gone ahead with barely a minute played as Liam Boyce’s header from a free kick was begging to be touched over the line by a Burton player before Sean Morrison hacked the ball clear.

There was another decent headed opportunity for Boyce before five minutes had been played and, certainly in those opening stages, where Burton were poised and confident in possession, Cardiff, as they so often have looked this season, were rushed and clumsy. This was never better exemplified than when an attempt to play some short, quick passes ended with a booking for Craig Bryson as the midfielder was forced to commit a cynical foul as the ball got away from him when City tired to pass the ball in a manner which every other team we play seems to find easier to do than us.

Burton manager Nigel Clough was right to say that City’s opening goal in the sixteenth minute came from their first meaningful attack and, as such, came against the run of play, but it did offer a clue as to how the match would pan out the longer it went on. The pass that the impressive Joe Bennett played down the left hand touchline may have covered quite a distance, but it would be so wrong to give it the often disparaging title of a “long ball”, because it was perfect both in terms of accuracy and strength as it enabled Junior Hoilett to to take it in his stride, burst to the byeline and put over a low cross which Kenneth Zohore was able to nonchalantly sweep home from close range for his fourth goal in six matches.

The pre match wisdom, which I shared, among most of those I spoke to was that Burton, who, if they are to stay up, are going to do it largely on the back of their decent away record, might prove difficult to break down, but, if we could get an early goal, we’dbe alright. Therefore, it was assumed by many I’d guess that City would go on to assert their superiority following Zohore’s goal, but, not a bit of it – within five minutes, the visitors were back on terms.

Lloyd Dyer may be thirty five now, but, on yesterday’s evidence, he still has a lot of the pace which has helped him be an effective winger at this level for around a decade and a half and, as such, he presented a test of Bruno Manga’s full back capabilities. Although he could complain about being left isolated by his team mates, it was a test Manga failed when Boyce was able to thread a pass inside him which left Dyer clear to come in from City’s right to cross low to the far post where another veteran, thirty four year old Darren Bent, was able to score easily past the helpless Neil Etheridge.

That was as good as it got for Burton. Manga endured an uncomfortable first quarter of the game, but, like his team really, gradually improved and went on to end the match in far better fettle than he started it.

Before Manga and City could claim to have overcome their problems, there was a fairly even second quarter of the game to be played out. The pattern of the match had changed to the extent that Burton’s early attacking threat had largely subsided and, increasingly, it was the visitors who were living dangerously, but, once again I find it hard to argue with Nigel Clough when he said the game changed on what happened in the three minutes added on at the end of the first period.

First, Zohore flicked on a Morrison pass into the path of Nathaniel Mendez-Laing and the winger, who the video pictures here show was not offside, ran clear to beat ex City loanee Seve Bywater with a rising shot from fifteen yards. However, there was still time for Burton to take advantage of sloppy City defending to create a chance which Jamie Allen should have done better with and I think it was fair to say that 2-1 down at the break was harsh on the visitors.

I’d mentioned earlier that our first goal was a hint of things to come and this applied even more so to our second one, because, in both instances, Burton were shown to be unable to cope more with City’s pace than their power and, in that respect, our attacking play after the interval was a throwback to our early season form.

Back in August and September, opposing defences were being ripped apart by the play of a front three which looked as good as anything in the league at that time – I would say yesterday was the first time since our win over Leeds over six months ago where the Mendez-Laing, Zohore and Hoilett triumvirate were all at something near to their best at the same time.

Back in those early weeks of the campaign, City would often find it hard to get Mendez-Laing on the ball, but when they did he was devastating. It was a little like that yesterday as he had very few touches during Burton’s good spell, but he was one of three or four home players who suggested we might have too much for our opponents if we could get a foothold in the game.

To be honest, a poor touch by Mendez-Laing in the run where he scored should have given Bywater the opportunity to come out and dive for the play instead of opting to stay where he was, but he was probably remembering the earlier incident where he had seriously underestimated the winger’s pace and been beaten out on the touchline to leave his goal unguarded – Mendez-Laing took the ball on and, although his low cross was probably a little overhit, Bryson only really needed to make sure his effort was on target to score, but, instead, he shot wide.

Mendez-Laing may not be playing quite as well as he was in his first few matches for us, but I’d say he is definitely in his best form since then and much the same applies to Zohore.

Like Mendez-Laing, injury has played a part in our Danish striker having a rather long mid season dip in form, but he is looking to be completely over that at the moment. There was a curious choice to look to pass to Mendez-Laing when he found himself clear of the last defender and in the sort of position he was scoring from eight or nine times out of ten in the second half of last season and some somewhat over indulgent flicks when we were two goals clear. However, Zohore on this form is a right handful at this level and with his flicked header for his assist in the second goal, he showed the sort of targetman capabilities that he is often accused on here of lacking and a fourth “bread and butter” strikers goal in six games, he is showing an all round level of ability which suggests he could prosper in the Premier League as well.

Good though our other two front men were though, the best of the three against Burton, as well as throughout the season, was Hoilett. I’ve mentioned before that there were three candidates for our Player of the Season in my mind (Ralls, Morrison and Hoilett), well in the last few weeks, I think others such as Bamba, Etheridge and Bennett have advanced their claims, but, more and more, I’m coming around to thinking that it has to be Junior. Unlike, nearly all of the other possibles, Hoilett has not suffered with injuries over the past eight months, but when you also consider that he was playing competitive games for Canada at the time the rest of the squad were involved in friendly matches, his levels of fitness and stamina at this stage of the season are incredible.

As so often, Hoilett was our main attacking inspiration and, more than anyone else, justified my opinion that, like, for example, Villa, Wolves, Leeds and Brentford before them, Burton couldn’t cope with us when we turned on the pace and skill going forward.

Yesterday’s second half should have brought us more goals, but, in essence, it was like watching us in August when it came to attacking play (we weren’t quite at our August form at the back mind) when so much of our success stemmed from our front three.

However, it can be argued that, if anything, we carry more attacking threat now than we did then because we also have Callum Paterson raiding, and scoring at a rate of better than one in every two starts, from his advanced central midfield position. The Scot, who played at right back for Scotland in their defeat by Costa Rice ten days ago, was another who struggled to get on the ball early on and his first half influence wasn’t great, but he got his almost inevitable goal to put us a couple ahead in the sixty fourth minute when Hoilett’s cross bounced off Bryson into his path and he blasted in from eight yards – when you are able to get two midfielders making forward runs to give wingers at least four targets to aim for, you are always likely to score goals.

To be honest, even though we face some really tough fixtures in our run in, it’s hard to see how we can miss out on automatic promotion if our front three perform like they did yesterday and Paterson and Bryson continue to give us extra attacking options from open play – that’s not to say we will definitely finish in the top two because our defending will need to be better than it was at times against Burton, but, with eleven goals scored in our last four matches, our attacking play currently is meaning that teams are needing to score at least twice to stand a chance of taking even a point off us.

Finally, it was great to see Aron Gunnarsson playing his first football for us since our win at Barnsley in November. Not only that, it was great to see Gunnar playing so well on his return as, although I thought Bryson was an effective player for us yesterday, the Iceland captain’s passing, covering, tackling and leadership made our midfield look a better unit than it had done before he came on.

 

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