2011/12 for the team.

Posted on August 4, 2011 by The other Bob Wilson

The season which starts tomorrow will be the third for this blog and, just as in the other two, I’ve set out what the next nine months might hold for the club off the field, our manager and our team during the week before the big kick off. However, increasingly I find myself thinking that the time to do such a review of the team’s chances is the first week of September when the current transfer window has closed. As things stand, the season starts with a kind of halfway house which lasts four weeks as teams await players earmarked to play a crucial role for them and/or include some who are widely expected to depart the club at sometime this month. It looks like the latter will certainly be true of our first opponents, West Ham, on Sunday because, increasingly, it seems we could be facing the likes of Scott Parker, Mark Noble, Carlton Cole and Robert Green who have all been linked with a return to the Premiership this summer – I’m guessing Sam Allardyce won’t be the only Championship manager wondering what sort of performance he’ll get out of some of his big name players this weekend, will they be giving their all or will they be looking to take things a bit easier and not risk picking up an injury that could wreck their chances of a return to the top flight?

As far as City are concerned, apart from the occasional rumour we’ve had about Peter Whittingham and Jon Parkin, there’s nothing to indicate that any of those currently here will not stay with us beyond this month. Some of the younger players who are not really first team candidates may be loaned out, but, essentially, Malky Mackay is one of those managers looking to add to his squad rather than facing up to the loss of some of his better, but very highly paid, performers. Our manager talks of one or two new players coming in during this month or, possibly, early next month in the loan window, but given that he often talks of twelve players having gone out and nine come in so far this summer, I wouldn’t be surprised if that “one or two” is actually two or three – or even three or four.

 

Will we see Craig Bellamy in City colours again this season? Although it's by no means certain, I would say that the chances of the answer to that question being yes are looking better than at any other time during the summer.

I don’t think there is any doubt about the identity of one of the players we are looking to bring in. Craig Bellamy, seemingly, wants to come here again and, for what it’s worth, the Media Wales hacks talking here believe that, firstly, Malky Mackay wants it to happen (he has no doubts concerning the sort of influence Bellamy may have in the dressing room) and, secondly, that it will happen. With our manager being diplomatically tight lipped on the matter at the moment, this is no more than speculation, but it’s hard to avoid the feeling that a poker game of sorts is being played out here by Bellamy and his employees. There has to be a decent chance that Man City will eventually decide that, although the money they will save is chicken feed by their standards, it might well be worth their while loaning him out once more to us so that we will pay part of his wages again. Alternatively, his parent club may even pay up a portion of his deal so allowing him to come here as an out of contract player.

I might be wrong, but the fact that, after July being a month which saw pretty frantic dealing,  albeit justified in the circumstances, in the transfer market for the club, Malky Mackay appears to be adopting a more patient policy in which he waits to get his men in August suggests that he views these as, potentially, very important players for us over the coming nine months. Rather than look to get more, possibly inferior, players in quick, he seems prepared to go with a squad which he acknowledges is not big enough yet to wait for what he sees as the right players to become available – with what looks like a pretty testing set of fixtures to be played this month, there has to be a risk that we will find ourselves in a poor position come late August/early September, but with just under 90% of the season still to be played at that time, it’s hardly as if the position would be irretrievable.

Manchester United's Tom Cleverley - an example of the sort of high quality youngster that Malky Mackay was able to bring in on loan during his time at Watford.

There are confused signals as to whether there is the money available to be spent on substantial transfer fees or not. The fact that we, reportedly, bid £2 million for David Goodwillie (who signed for Blackburn yesterday) and that Malky Mackay has admitted enquiring about Nottingham Forest’s Luke Chambers, who would surely cost the club a seven figure fee, suggests that there is, but, if we do have to find £30 k plus a week for Bellamy’s wages (I’d also expect us to try and arrange some sort of permanent deal with Slovan Bratislava for Filip Kiss in the January window if his loan spell is going well), then, perhaps, loan signings might be the way we have to go?

If that is the case, then it’s encouraging that Malky Mackay seems to have had the ability to attract a better quality of young loan player to Watford than we were able to manage over the period he was in charge of that club. Leaving aside Aaron Ramsey and Craig Bellamy (who were both special cases), players such as Tom Cleverley, Henri Lansbury, Jordon Mutch and, not forgetting, Andrew Taylor made more of an impact at Watford than any of the other young loan signings (and, arguably, the senior ones as well) we made over the previous last two seasons – it appears that our new manager is both well connected and trusted to handle the players he is loaned in the right way. Therefore, I’d like to think that any loan signings we make would be an improvement on Eddie Johnson, Kelvin Etuhu, Andy Keogh, Danny Drinkwater and the rest and that they would make a real impact on the first team rather than the peripheral figures that most of our previous loanees have been.

Anthony Gerrard - just like a new signing?

As of now though we have squad which includes only the nine new players (ten if you include the returning Anthony Gerrard I suppose) and so it’s probably best not to get ahead of ourselves and speculate how things will go once we’ve got a few more of the right quality in – it might be that, for whatever reason, we will have to make do with what we have got, so how would the current squad fare over a forty six match campaign? If you look at the different components of the team compared to last season, I don’t think things look as bad as some would argue. In goal, Marshall and Heaton might have their critics, but I’d say there are plenty of Championship clubs who’d like to have a pair of keepers of their quality – as long as they avoid injury, then things have to improve in that position compared to the situation we saw at the end of last season. As far as the back four goes, we could do with a bit more pace in central defence, but the return of Gerrard and the introduction of Taylor has to mean that we are stronger there as long as those who played for us last season, broadly, maintain their standards from then. Midfield is tougher to judge – we don’t have many wingers or natural wide players and an on song Seyi Olofinjana would take some replacing, but, I enjoyed what I saw against Parma from our midfield and I’d like to believe that we will have more strength in depth there and be more of a cohesive unit.

The area that I feel least confident about is up front. Our preferred pairing are both over thirty and much of the success they have enjoyed during their careers has been down to their pace. Experience can compensate for any loss of pace that Earnie and Miller may suffer from over the coming months, but I think we are relying an awful lot on Kenny Miller being able to reproduce his Rangers form in the blue of Cardiff. I’d not rule out Joe Mason and, possibly, Rudi Gestade making an impact this season, but, as things stand, we have lost five players who contributed a total of sixty one goals last season and, looking around the squad as it is now, I’m struggling to see how we’ll come up with them this time around. This is the main reason why I see us as a team destined to finish in the eighth to fourteenth range of the league at the moment – we could be in for the sort of season we used to have in the early years under Dave Jones where we would be play off candidates for some time before tailing off as a lack of squad depth counted against us – but, with those two or three additional players I talked about, then my expectations might begin to change!

 

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2011/12 for Malky Mackay.

Posted on August 3, 2011 by The other Bob Wilson

So, what does the 2011/12 season hold for our new manager? Well, if the Guardian’s Paul Hayward is to be believed, it’s the sack if we don’t get promoted (see start of the seventh paragraph here)! Hayward is that rarity, a journalist that commands a bit of respect and he’s not usually the type to throw such claims around as lightly as many of his colleagues do, but I sincerely hope and trust that he is wrong in this case. There’s always got to be the chance that I’ll be one of many calling for Malky Mackay’s head come May I suppose, but there is nothing in his two years of over achievement at Watford and his work so far at Cardiff to suggest that this will be the case.

The Supporters’ Trust’s excellent celebration of the win over Real Madrid back in 1971 took place on 10 June which turned out to be a week before Malky was appointed. and I can remember compere Rob Phillips asking those present who they wanted as our new manager. He offered four alternatives – the three favourites for the job at the time (Roberto DiMatteo, Chris Hughton and Malky Mackay) or the none of the above option.  I was one of a sizeable minority who voted for Malky Mackay because I thought that he was exactly what we needed – he was young and enthusiastic and he had trusted in youth at Watford as his side did better than expected playing attacking and entertaining football.

I still think Dave Jones was a good Cardiff manager, but, even if the enthusiasm was still there (and I suspect it might have been), he had become so embittered by his feud with the local press that it was impossible to see evidence of it. Similarly, watching City had stopped being an enjoyable experience. Not all of this was down to the manager, but, by his own admission, Dave Jones was someone whose mindset was that of the cold, unemotional professional – there is a time and a place for such an approach, but Cardiff City needed a complete change in thinking and attitude at the top in my view and the signs are that this is what we  have got. I’m not someone who says managers have to be jumping up and down and ranting at players and officials on the sidelines, but it is good to have someone there after all these years who makes it obvious that he cares.

Malky Mackay on his first day as Cardiff City manager - so far at least, the good impression he created in his initial press conference has been maintained.

Yes, Malky Mackay is certainly enthusiastic – tonight sees the first in what we are told is a series of meet the supporters nights to be staged around south Wales in the coming months (it’s being held at the non Political Club at Rhydyfelin at 7.30) and he has already had a question and answer session with a selected group of fans at Cardiff City Stadium. There has been plenty of talk too about a new, happier atmosphere around the club and much of the credit for this is being placed at the feet of a man who I believe has not become as detached from “normality” as many in the game are. This is because his football background is one that saw him go into the game relatively late as an amateur after spending time working in a bank – the signs are that Malky can relate better to the “ordinary” man and woman than many others in football do nowadays.

When all’s said and done though, it’s what happens on the pitch that decides a manager’s fate. At the moment, my assessment of our manager’s character looks to be about right, but, on what is admittedly limited evidence, maybe I got the type of football we will see from a Malky Mackay Cardiff City team wrong? At Watford his sides went for it and matches tended to be entertaining affairs with plenty of goals at either end. However, pre season games have been notable for our lack of goals (and, more worryingly, a lack of scoring opportunities), whilst, although it has tended to get ignored as people focus on what is not happening at the other end of the pitch, we have been solid at the back with only four conceded from five games.

While Aron Gunnarsson, Joe Mason and Filip Kiss are young players who I reckon are going to be in and around the team this season, the emphasis with our new signings so far has tended to be more in the mid to late twenties age range. Furthermore, the two strikers that our manager has named as his first choices won’t see 30 again and the rumours won’t go away that they will be joined by a locally born 32 year old in the coming weeks!, So, a total of seven goals at either end in pre season matches and a side with an average age closer to thirty than twenty doesn’t make it sound like we will be watching Watford mark II in the coming months.

Malky Macaky in action for Celtic in the mid nineties - he was 32 when he made his international debut against Denmark in 2004.

Based on that then, maybe my enthusiasm for our new manager should be fading a bit – perhaps, after all, we are not going to see the attacking and entertaining football I mentioned earlier? To be honest though, didn’t Watford play like they did because Malky Mackay did what the best managers do – that is, look at the playing resources he has and get them to operate in a way that gets the most out of their strengths whilst trying to hide their weaknesses? Although I’m not convinced that we will end up playing too differently to how Watford did, there has to be the chance that Malky will have judged that we can be most effective by playing in a different way.

Anyway, enough of this speculation when the man himself has told us how he likes to play the game. Malky has said that he is not averse to mixing the game up a bit depending on the opposition’s strengths and weaknesses and, possibly because the match was going against us, there was certainly a lot of long stuff to Parkin against Celtic. By contrast though, there was a much more considered build up on Saturday against Parma and, certainly, the midfield players brought in so far suggest that the latter rather than the former would be our method of choice. What our new manager has been most categorical about so far though is that City fans can expect to see their team with more sweat on their shirts and it was clear on Saturday that we were playing more of a pressing game as Parma, who you would have expected to have been a good, technically proficient passing team, were hustled and harried into giving the ball away more than often than anticipated.

Speaking as someone who used to get annoyed at times by our habit under Dave Jones of sitting back and letting the opposition play, this is a welcome development, but the pressing game has it’s disadvantages as well. One of the few criticisms of Malky Mackay that I have seen from Watford fans related to the number of match changing late goals they conceded as fitness faded and stamina suffered after eighty odd minutes of denying the opposition time and space – perhaps more than under Dave Jones, City will need to have the game won going into the closing stages this season.

Returning to that Paul Hayward piece to finish, my feeling is that he has got it wrong this time – after giving our previous manager six years to get us out of this division, surely the new one would get more than just the one season if we didn’t go up? With Leicester and West Ham spending so freely, the idea that our budget should be enough to guarantee a top two finish has to be ridiculous. However, I would say that all of the signs so far point to Malky Mackay’s playing budget being as big as many had claimed it would be and, if this is indeed the case, then I would suggest it would be wrong to say that a mid table season of consolidation would be acceptable – I’m sure Malky Mackay, as well as those behind the scenes at the club, will be expecting more than that and I can’t help thinking he will see himself as having failed if his team aren’t up there challenging for a top six place.

Posted in Up in the Boardroom | 2 Comments