Is there such a thing as a good draw at this stage of the season?

It’s strange how the reaction would have been almost exclusively negative if yesterday’s 1-1 draw with Birmingham City had taken place at Cardiff City Stadium and yet, move the match one hundred miles up the road to St. Andrews, and it suddenly becomes that much more impressive. I’m as guilty as anyone of doing this, so I’m not trying to make some clever point here, just illustrating out how much influence the venue of a game is to our reactions and perceptions before, during and after the event.

Even if it was sometimes hard to escape the feeling that we were playing a team which was even more slow and knackered than us, it still has to be said that, when compared to some of the others in the vast collection of 1-1 away draws we’ve gathered this season, this one had a good “feel” to it. After all, it was at the ground of a team above us in the table, our goalkeeper saved a penalty and, for only the third time in our eleven away one pointers this season, we came back to draw after falling behind. Yes, if you go by the usual premise that away draws are something to be welcomed, then there is a reason for a slightly more upbeat feeling about our chances of finishing in the top six.

If we were to draw our last three away games, I’m pretty certain we would achieve that goal if we backed them up with the right results at Cardiff City Stadium. This is where the “but” comes in I’m afraid though, because it seems to me that, recently anyway, we are a team that is not just playing better away, but is also better equipped to win on other side’s grounds – there’s less onus on City to get midfield players into advanced positions than when we are at home. This applies in particular now that Steve McPhail is back in the reckoning. Yesterday offered further evidence that McPhail’s presence (at least until his lack of match fitness catches up with him), leads to more control in midfield if we stick to a 4-5-1 formation, but, it also means that at least one of the midfield five can be virtually ignored when it comes to providing a goal threat.

892 minutes and counting since a player being used as a striker has scored for us and yet our skipper makes it look easy.*

 

It’s interesting to note the contrast in attitudes between the rival managers yesterday. In this piece, Malky Mackay shows his satisfaction with the way we played, while Chris Hughton talks of us only having one chance all game. In a way, I think both managers are right – it does take courage to play as City are trying to currently, but, while claiming we only had the one goalscoring chance is exaggerating things somewhat, the Birmingham manager does have something because playing like we are with five “natural” midfielders has to mean that we aren’t going to have many chances to score from open play.

People who were at the match yesterday will, no doubt, put me right if I’ve got the wrong end of the stick here, but listening to the first half especially, I was reminded of the opening phases of the Coventry match last Wednesday where we looked comfortably in control, but lacked a cutting edge. Just as on Wednesday, it fell to Aron Gunnarsson to provide attacking support to the lone striker, but, in my opinion, we are now in a position where we either need to start playing with a front two or we need to have two in our midfield five who are able to think and react like forwards (I’m not sure Gunnarsson does).

It’s perfectly understandable for Malky Mackay to accentuate the positive by pointing out that we have only lost once in our last six games, but he must realise that this is going to lead to others coming back with the response that only one of these games has been won (courtesy of our opponents scoring twice for us). Solidity is all well and good, but, having set out one sequence of results that would see us finish in the Play Off positions above, it’s hard to see us going into the Palace match on the final day with our promotion hopes still alive if we get identical results in our next half a dozen matches as we have got in our last six.

Perhaps having Peter Whittingham (someone who does think and react like a forward) playing in a wider position will lead to him getting forward more (he certainly did two seasons ago), but my own view is that he has become too valuable for us playing infield and, even if this means him playing deeper, I’d prefer to see him being used there. I’ve read on messageboards that Liam Lawrence would be of more use playing wide right and, although I’m not convinced that this is necessarily the case, I would say that putting him there with Whittingham more central seems to be a better idea.

Mark Hudson celebrates his goal - with nine scored by City centreback so far, this is one position that can't be criticised for a lack of goals this season.*

However, this is only skirting around the problem as far as I’m concerned because I feel we would still look like a side that does not have enough forward thinking midfield players if we are going to operate with just one striker. If we are going to persist with 4-5-1, then Joe Mason has to be one of that five in my book – I know this means possible defensive problems for McNaughton or Taylor, but our need to start winning over rides that for me. Another option would be to set up as we did in the League Cup Final – on that score, it was interesting to hear Malky Mackay insist that Kenny Miller was used as a midfield player that day and so, certainly in home matches, why not use McPhail, Whittingham and Gunnarsson or Cowie (my preference would be the former I think), with Mason and Miller playing in support of Gestede? It would still be 4-5-1 and would also give us the option of playing in a more direct style if required, but, with Whittingham and McPhail playing fairly deep, you would like to think that we would still be able to pass it pretty well – there wouldn’t be much attacking width, but when has there been this season?

Alternatively, we could forget all this analytical bollox and just stick Mark Hudson up front because that was some finish by our captain yesterday – I think he’s shown over the past few months that he’s a better player with the ball at his feet than I for one have been prepared to give him credit for in the past.

* pictures courtesy of http://www.walesonline.co.uk/

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Still one point off the Play Offs…………. but it may as well be twenty.

For thirty five minutes or so last night, Cardiff City looked something like the team that were only beaten four times in their first twenty eight Championship matches this season. My own belief is that this was, to a large extent, down to the return of Steve McPhail to the side. The long serving midfielder probably spent more time on the ball than any other player during that early period and he got City passing the ball better than we had been doing for weeks. Now, McPhail has never been the quickest or most dynamic of players – his game has always been about finding little pockets of space and time so that he could make himself available to receive and give passes. This might sound quite simple until you start to ask yourself why so few players seem to be able to perform this function (no one has been able to in the City team for weeks!) – as for speed and dynamism, that’s for McPhail’s team mates who hope to be given the chance to show these qualities when given the opportunity by his passing.

Unfortunately, for me, that was where our problems started. You may have noticed that I said we looked “something like” the side that played so well for two thirds of the season – the difference as I saw it was that, whereas in the Palace home Semi Final, there were plenty of players with dynamism and power around him for him to pick out, last night we had too many who were, for want of a better term, doing McPhail impressions! Therefore, although we were dominant in that Coventry were getting little of the ball and were unable to do much with the few bits of possession they had, so much of our play was deliberate, lacking in real urgency and quite easy to defend against. With players such as McPhail, Whittingham and Lawrence in a midfield, you’d expect a side to pass the ball pretty well and City did for much of the time early on, but, at the pace it was being done, that passing needed to be of a slide rule precision to open up the visitor’s defence – it did happen once when a fine move, including a major contribution by Mark Hudson, ended with Gunnarsson shooting just wide, but, for most of the time, City’s attacks just petered out eventually.

There were some exceptions to the rule, Joe Mason, playing the lone striker role in place of the injured Kenny Miller, was constantly on the move and Kevin McNaughton got up and down the right hand touchline as he has done so often this season, but both achieved little because they lacked options to pick out when they worked their way into promising situations (in McNaughton’s case, he just had the one and in Mason’s he had less than that!). To be fair to him, Aron Gunnarsson was able to work himself into some promising situations by showing the sort of urgency and individual ability that we have lacked for much of the last six weeks, but, being honest, we were still over reliant on set pieces during our best spell.

Steve McPhail - great to see him back and he did make a difference for a while last night. Unfortunately, in a team that contains too many players who look knackered through playing too many games for a side using a high tempo approach, it was his lack of match practice which told against him.+

So, if it wasn’t perfect, at least it was fairly comfortable for City until the closing stages of the first half, but there was an ominous look to those last ten minutes or so as City, and McPhail in particular, began to see less of the ball. After the break though what had been slightly disquieting, now became downright panic inducing as Coventry tore into us in a way which made it look like an equaliser was inevitable. Credit should go to the visitors for making tactical changes which showed that, as is always the case these days, our opponents had more attacking pace and vibrancy than us, but we were awful during this spell – McPhail was barely touching the ball and no one amongst his team mates was able to step into the breach and take over the simple, but effective role he had performed earlier.

McPhail was obviously struggling and it was hard to argue with Malky Mackay’s decision to take him off – Rudy Gestede’s introduction helped to turn the tide a little as we made the, long overdue in many people’s eyes, transition to  4-4-2. Indeed, once Coventry got their overdue equaliser, City began to get on top again – no doubt, this was partly due to the visitors deciding to protect their point, but we were able to build up a bit of a head of steam and there had been a feeling that a goal was coming before Whittingham’s superb volley. I’m pretty sure that a couple of months ago, City would have seen the game out quite comfortably after that, but a lot has changed since then and now, to add to the tiredness which I feel is a factor both over the course of a game (Coventry manager Andy Thorn said after the match that it had been pointed out to him how many late goals we have conceded lately) as well as the season, we have  edginess and nerves.

Coventry had paid the price for dropping deeper and now City did it with bells on . As soon as we went 2-1 up, I said we should bring Darcy Blake to sit just in front of the back four, whether that would have made any difference, I don’t know, but City’s feeble attempt to “park the bus” in those last few minutes was doomed to failure. It only served to put the crowd immediately on edge and something of a vicious circle emerged as clearances became more desperate and the crowd response more anxious. To that extent, there was an air of inevitability about how it all ended as Norwood hammered home in the ninety fifth minute with the City back four virtually camped on their own six yard line.

The moment when City's promotion dream died? Oliver Norwood celebrates after scoring in added time to deny City a win which they did not deserve after another stuttering performance.

If only the signal had been for three minutes added time to play rather than four  – then we would all have been able to come out with stuff about it all being about results and not performances at this stage of the season, we could have said eight points from our last five matches is a good foundation to build on for the final haul of this long season. Let’s face it though, on the evidence of the last three matches, we’d be deluding ourselves. Coventry didn’t “rob” us of two points last night, they managed to get themselves the draw that was the least they deserved over the ninety odd minutes.

In our two recent home midweek matches, we faced opponents who had scored a total of twenty goals in their thirty four away matches before facing us – they managed to score five between them and that figure could easily have been doubled. I concentrated on our shoddy defending after the Hull match, but we’ve got problems all over the park – a one paced and immobile midfield and a main striker who hasn’t scored in nearly 1,200 minutes (all of this with a knackered squad which has been rendered smaller than it actually is by our manager’s decision to ignore experienced players who don’t even get a game for the Development team these days).

Amidst all of the gloom, I suppose we shouldn’t lose sight of the fact that we are one point off the top six with twenty four still to play for and, who knows, perhaps today will bring the loan signing that will transform the mood? I can’t help thinking that there’s a bit of clutching at straws going on there though because, apart from those one hundred and twenty minutes at Wembley last month, I cannot think of anything that the Cardiff City team or management have produced that’s realistically suggested that we will be contesting the Play Offs since the January transfer window closed  – where there was once freshness, decisiveness and vitality, there’s now staleness, uncertainty and langour and I’m afraid that the manager who made such an impressive start to his Cardiff City career seems completely unable to stop the rot.

+ courtesy of http://www.cardiffcityfc.co.uk/page/MatchReport/0,,10335~58726,00.html

 

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