Good result and performance, but 4-5-1 questions remain.

Everything I’ve heard and read about City’s 0-0 draw in front a record crowd at Brighton’s Amex Stadium last night from people who were actually there to watch it says that the team played well (certainly better than they did in beating Huddersfield on Friday). Furthermore, there’s also been testimony to the fact that City did not go away just looking for a point, but were after the win.

It’s easy to look at a record of one goal scored and none conceded in two matches and come to certain, not very complimentary, conclusions about our style of play so far, but, based on what I saw on Friday and what I’ve gathered from last night, I don’t believe it’s fair to criticise the team’s intent, which, in my opinion, has been to try and win both matches – if I have any questions for now, they would be as to whether the 4-5-1 system we are using is the best way of utilising the talent we’ve got to get those wins.

Before I go any further, I should say that I’m a fan of the 4-5-1 formation if it is flexible enough to be transformed into, say, a 4-3-3 or a 4-2-3-1 when the opportunity presents itself, but the trouble is that there is evidence so far that the problems of last season whereby we suffered because of a lack of players in our five in the middle who, by instinct and experience, thought like forwards have not disappeared yet. Too often last year, 4-5-1 was exactly that – an isolated striker with five midfield players not doing enough between them to support him. Things improved when Joe Mason was one of the five, but all that is happening so far is that Craig Bellamy has replaced him as the one in the five who could switch to a striking role and make a decent job of it.

Don Cowie turned in another hard working and pretty effective team performance last night by all accounts, but his solid virtues have not been enough to stop him becoming a bit of a target for City fans looking for the likes of Joe Mason to be included from the start. If the choice between the two was for a right sided attacking midfield role in a 4-5-1 then I’d go for Mason, but I’m not sure I would for any other midfield position.*

After watching the likes of Mutch, Gunnarsson, Conway and Ralls doing so well in getting forward to help out Helguson in the pre season friendly with Newcastle, it was disappointing to see so little happening in terms of attacking runners from midfield against Huddersfield and you didn’t have to be there at last night’s match to know that Tony Cottee was almost certainly right when he talked on Sky Sports News of Helguson winnings plenty of headers that only handed possession  back to Brighton because there was nobody close enough to him to benefit from them.

It was interesting to see that Sky had us lining up in a 4-3-3 formation before Friday’s match – although Bellamy didn’t get forward that much, you could at least understand the thinking behind him being seen as a left sided attacking midfielder with a licence to get into striking positions at times, but look at who we were supposed to have on the other flank as one of our “attacking three”! Now, Don Cowie currently seems to be something of a target for City fans in much the same way as Kevin McNaughton has become and someone like Mark Hudson or Steve McPhail has been in the past. I happen to think that Cowie does a lot of good for the team (emphasis on the word “team”) – for example, if the opposition launch a quick counter attack from one of our attacking set plays, Cowie is invariably the midfield player busting a gut to get back to, often successfully, try and cut out the danger and our full backs will always know that they’ll have someone in front of them who’ll put in a full defensive shift if he is playing on their side.

No, Cowie is a better player than his critics think he is, but, in saying that, I’ve not seen anything to suggest he’ll ever make a success of a Bellamy type winger cum striker role on the right as he was supposed to have been playing against Huddersfield if Sky are to be believed. Now, it needs to be said that if Mason is in from the start once he gets full match fitness after his pre season injury, or we sign the latest player we have been linked with, or if Kim Bo-Kyung is as attacking a midfield player as his recent goalscoring record suggests he is, then a 4-5-1 which features any two of a quartet which includes this trio and Craig Bellamy, looks like a much more exciting prospect in terms of attacking threat than our current selection does.

As things stand, the only formation I’d say our 4-5-1 could be called as an alternative is 4-1-4-1 with Peter Whittingham as the deep lying quarterback style playmaker. Apparently, Whittingham did better in that role against Brighton than he did on Friday, but questions still have to remain as to whether we can keep someone who may not think like a forward, but has the long range shooting ability, general finishing quality and footballing technique to have once been the Championship’s highest scorer in such a withdrawn role when his midfield colleagues are struggling as much as they certainly did on Friday to offer our lone striker any support.

To be fair, as I hinted above, it’s probably too early to get too critical of how we are implementing 4-5-1 this season because, by the time we next play at Cardiff City Stadium our manager may well have the sort of options which would allow him to to play with a more attacking version of the formation. The risk behind doing so of course would be that we would lose something defensively, but, for the moment, with our goalkeeper in great form and our centrebacks looking a really strong partnership at this level, we have a solidity in that area which you would like to think could absorb a change of focus to a more flexible use of what had become Malky Mackay’s default formation.

City’s newest recruit Matt Connolly in action for QPR against Wayne Rooney last season – his arrival strengthens what was our weakest area in terms of squad depth and his versatility will help greatly when injuries and suspensions start to bite.

Talking of defensive solidity, our options in that area were increased with the signing of Matt Connolly from Queens Park Rangers. Connolly, who can play anywhere along the back four, cost a reported £500,000 and has fallen out of favour at Loftus Road in the last year or so, but he started around three quarters of Rangers’ games in 2010/11 when they won the Championship and had a six match spell at Champions Reading playing at right back last season – the first five of these matches were won, but Connolly got injured in the last of them and only returned for the Royals’ final game of the campaign (a 2-0 defeat at Birmingham).

Connolly joins Heidar Helguson as a former QPR player at Cardiff and there might be another one if this story is to be believed. Tommy Smith is the player I mentioned earlier whose signing would give us more attacking options in a 4-5-1 (or any other formation we used for that matter) and he’s someone I’ve always admired as a skilful, good quality, Championship performer whose attitude always looked to be spot on. I think he would be another good signing, but, whereas it only took a few days between Connolly’s name first being hinted at as a transfer target and his arrival at Cardiff, there has been speculation going on about Smith for weeks, if not months, and I wonder if the player’s apparent reluctance to leave the London area could end up scuppering any deal?

Finally, messageboard gossip has it that Sam Hammam/Langston have turned down the club’s latest offer to settle the long running loan note debt. I have to say that if it is true that there had been an earlier verbal agreement to settle for a payment of £7 million plus £2 million on promotion, as claimed here,  then you really do have to wonder why a deal which guarantees Langston the same sum with the potential for a further 66% on top is now unacceptable. Furthermore, if Langston/Hammam are reportedly willing to settle for £10 million plus a promotion bonus of £5 million (which wasn’t mentioned when the “close friend” set out what was acceptable to our former owner), then, surely, the difference between a possible £15 million on promotion and  a possible £15 million after three seasons in the Premiership is not worth arguing about if Sam Hammam really believed all that stuff he used to tell us about how Cardiff could be one of the top teams in the country – after all, we’ve got someone at the club now with far more of the sort of financial resources to deliver three seasons of Premiership football than he ever had.

* picture courtesy of http://www.walesonline.co.uk/

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The kit might be different, but………….

First, let’s deal with the positives. It can be claimed that a team’s success or failure over the course of a season is defined by how often it manages to win without playing well – winning when you turn it on and completely outplay your opponents is the easy bit, but the ability to come out on top when well short of your best is an invaluable asset (especially if you can make a habit of it). Last night’s 1-0 win over newly promoted Huddersfield at the Cardiff City Stadium was definitely a case in point and if the team can also get into the habit of scoring late winners (that’s what sent Norwich up at our expense two seasons ago when you think about it), then that’s even better.

I suppose the sort of luck which saw the ball reach Mark Hudson right in front of goal eight yards out via Joe Mason’s shoulder and Aron Gunnarsson’s miskick  in the ninety second minute helps as well, but it also raises the suspicion that City were just fortunate on the night and did not get the three points through the sort of character and never say die spirit that Malky Mackay was quick to praise them for after the match. For me, I’m afraid there has to be an element of truth in the suggestion that our three points was, primarily, down to good fortune. Huddersfield could certainly head back north feeling pretty aggrieved because, although their keeper Smithies became increasingly busy as City managed to find some attacking momentum in the closing stages, the truth is that David Marshall was deservedly handed the Man of the Match award for making three or four fine saves in what was largely a turgid affair with few chances created at either end of the pitch.

Now, with City just starting their tenth consecutive season at this level, there shouldn’t be any need to remind supporters of the attritional nature of so many Championship games – there is very little difference between the teams in this league and it often comes down to one bit of luck, brilliance or ineptitude shown by some individual or another to decide whether it is zero, one or three points for your team on any given day.

A muted second home debut for Craig Bellamy as Huddersfield paid him the compliment of doubling up on him when he had possession.

Having said that though, it still came as a surprise to me to see quite how anaemic we looked for much of the first half especially. I spent much of the second half of last season defending Malky Mackay for continuing with the 4-5-1 formation  in Saturday night debates with friends who found the system boring and negative. However, after watching last week’s win over Newcastle, I was able to rubbish such suggestions because the way four of the midfield five on that day (Conway, Ralls, Mutch and Gunnarsson) were able to make runs up to and beyond Helguson and, later, Velikonja showed that when approached with the right attitude and appetite for hard work, 4-5-1 is anything but boring and negative.

Unfortunately, I can expect some comeback tonight because what our midfield five produced last night was a throwback to the latter weeks of last season when a visit to the dentists was a more pleasant experience than watching Cardiff City struggle to gets efforts on goal away, let alone score. At least the players had the excuse that many of them were knackered back in February, March and April, but it was hard to see why the likes of Gunnarsson, Cowie and Whittingham looked so slow and laboured at times last night (to be fair, I suppose the first two’s pre season has been interrupted by injury). As for Whittingham, I don’t see his use in a deep sitting quarterback role to be as much of a problem as some others do, but if all he is going to do is play one two’s with his centrebacks which leave them with the task of picking out a pass to launch an attack (invariably that “pass” was a hoisted ball in the general direction of Helguson), then you have to wonder how this is benefiting the team.

It was late, it was scruffy, but it was the decisive moment in a tight affair – Mark Hudson has now scored in three of our last four home league wins.

To be fair to them , credit has to be given to Huddersfield for their defensive discipline and organisation which did not make the task of picking out that killer pass any easier for Whittingham, but just as damaging for him was the seeming reluctance of our other midfield players to make the sort of forward runs we saw against Newcastle in support of an isolated, and immobile, Helguson. This was especially true in the first half when Jordon Mutch (the best of a pretty ordinary bunch in our midfield I thought) was the only one of the five who consistently tried to pose questions for the Huddersfield back line, but, with Craig Bellamy making little impact from his wide left position, the parallels with last season continued as our main threat came from set piece situations – Helguson rattling the crossbar with a close range header which he probably should have buried.

As mentioned earlier, City did build up a bit of a head of steam after the break. This was especially true after Joe Mason replaced Cowie. Mason made a bit of a difference with his ability to find room in a crowded penalty area helping in our goal and some nifty footwork earning him a chance which he blazed over, but, apart from a Mutch effort which Smithies looked to have knocked into Gunnarsson’s path for a tap in before the ball was scrambled back to the keeper and a McNaughton shot turned around the post after the night’s only moment of Bellamy brilliance, it was still hard to see how we would break the deadlock.

Of course allowances have to be made for the fact that this is a team which is still getting to know itself – I’ve already mentioned the injury disrupted pre-seasons of Gunnarsson and Cowie, but that also applies to Mutch, Mason, McPhail, Gestede and McNaughton. Besides that, Bellamy has only had one week’s training with the squad since his signing and there’s the delay with Kim Bo-Kyung’s transfer as well of course as he waits for a work permit, but that was a timely and, for me at least, unexpected reminder of a long term problem from the previous season last night – only time will tell if we are an ordinary side who cashed in on some good luck against Huddersfield or whether we are the real deal and have just given the first of what will be many example of winning while playing poorly.

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