Still grounds for optimism despite late setback for Wales.

I didn’t get to watch the television coverage of Wales’ 1-1 draw at Cardiff City Stadium because I was among the sort of disappointing crowd (I’ve not seen an official figure for how many were there, but I’d guess it didn’t run to five figures) that is becoming a recurring theme of the 17/18 season at the ground, but a listen to what was being said on Radio Wales at half time and after the match had me thinking that the game was a side issue with the real item up for discussion being Chris Coleman’s future as manager of the national team.

Coleman’s reaction at the final whistle was analysed in minute detail with talk about what his “body language” (why can’t people just say “demeanour” like they used to?) was portraying, but am I out of step with how people are thinking when I say that I cannot really get into this great will he/won’t he debate?

I’d like Coleman to stay and when I was asked whether he would, I replied that my guess was that it was 60/40 in favour of him doing so, but, essentially, my attitude is he’ll either stay or go and there’s nothing I can do to influence that decision one way or another – that being the case, I’d prefer to discuss the two football games Wales elevens played yesterday.

Well, as far as the senior team is concerned, that word “elevens” was not the best one for me to use because the match with Panama was the sort of friendly where the second half gets disrupted by a stream of substitutions which usually means that the moments to remember in such matches tend to come in the first half when it resembles what I’d call a proper game.

Last night saw Wales make six substitutions and Panama five (it felt like more!), but, to be fair, I feel the match kept the crowd’s interest more than is usually the case under such circumstances.

If that opinion is correct, then I suspect the reason it is so is down to the experimental nature of the Welsh team. On Friday, three youngsters (Ben Woodburn, Ethan Ampadu and David Brooks) were thrown on for the last half an hour into a difficult situation with Wales a goal down to an impressive French side in Paris in a game where they had very much been second best.

While it would be pushing it to say that their introduction (it was Ampadu and Brooks’ debut appearance for the senior team) transformed the match, it would be true that Wales looked a better side with them on the pitch than when they weren’t there.

Therefore, with Bale out and Ramsey returning to Arsenal (to be replaced by a thirty three year old Andrew Crofts), I think it’s probably fair to say that what selling power a friendly with Panama, coming so soon after another World Cup qualification miss, had was down to an interest in seeing how the young trio would perform from the start they has been promised beforehand.

The answer was that all three were at the heart of an impressive Welsh opening to proceedings – Woodburn has the biggest reputation currently, but, although not playing poorly, he was probably the quietest of the three. Ampadu patrolled the area in front of our back four with an authority and presence that belied his seventeen years, with that inexperience only showing perhaps in a somewhat rash challenge which earned him an early yellow card, but I liked the vision of some of his passing and the quick feet he showed on occasions – on this evidence, he’ll be a fixture in the Wales team for a decade and more, always assuming he confirms his allegiance to Wales by playing in a competitive fixture soon.

The same proviso applies to Brooks who was the BBC’s nomination for Man of the Match. The competition for places in the position Brooks operates best in is more intense when compared to the defensive midfield area that Ampadu operates in (in saying that, I wouldn’t rule out the Chelsea youngster playing more games for Wales as a centreback than as a Makelele/Matic type midfielder), so he may not be the “fixture” that I feel his younger team mate will be, but he has really impressed me as a confident, skillful and effective operator out wide every time I’ve seen him this season.

With Tom Lawrence also starting the match in a bright and effective manner, there was a vibrancy about much of our early attacking play that we have not seen from a Wales team for some time, but I’m afraid that, once again, things tended to flounder somewhat when Sam Vokes became involved.

Vokes, who scored the winner at Southampton in Burnley’s last game, has become a pretty effective performer at Premier League level in the last year or two, but he is one of those many players who look so much better when playing for his club as opposed to his country. His great goal against Belgium in that never to be forgotten Euro 2016 Quarter Final shows how effective he can be, but, generally, he looks a bit like a fish out of water in a Welsh team that isn’t really set up to play to his strengths – nevertheless, last night when we did look for him in the air, Vokes’ influence, as it often is in a Welsh shirt, was minimal.

Sadly, I had no confidence at all in Vokes finding the net from the penalty he took just before half time after Dave Edwards was bought down for what was a pretty obvious spot kick. Credit to visiting keeper Penodo for his save, but it was one of of those penalties hit at just the right height for a goalkeeper to think he should be saving if he goes the right way.

Vokes was replaced at half time by Tom Bradshaw, while the switch at the same time of Ben Davies for former City Academy member Tom Lockyer to give the Bristol Rovers man a first cap offered proof that Coleman saw the match as an exercise in giving some of his squad members a chance, as opposed to a fixture that had to be won at all costs.

Lockyer didn’t do badly at all on his first taste of international football and the same could be said about midfielder Lee Evans (currently on loan at Wigan from Wolves) and wingers Marley Watkins (Norwich) and Ryan Hedges (Barnsley) who both had their moments in their first twenty five minutes or so of international action –  the introduction of the veteran Crofts for Ampadu rather went against the spirit of the evening and, although the Scunthorpe man made his contribution, I’d rather have seen Chris Maxwell getting a debut  for a few minutes in place of Danny Ward as our sixth change.

Hardly surprisingly given all of the changes, Wales weren’t as fluid after the break as they had been at times in the first half, but the game still had a watchable quality to it and the home side were able to get a lead that I thought they deserved as reward for the overall edge they enjoyed for the ninety minutes when Lawrence sprinted down the left touchline, cut inside and fired fiercely across Penodo with his right foot into the corner of the net.

Panama always offered solid resistance and, on an individual basis, their players produced moments of high skill, but, being honest, I couldn’t see where a goal was coming from for them. Wales survived a couple of free kicks in potentially dangerous areas as the match went into added time, but they looked home and dry until Panama came up with a high quality move and finish in the ninety third minute which rather punctured the feelgood factor around the ground.

Wales forced one last corner, but could do nothing with it and so had to settle for a draw. However, when you consider that the five matches played (four of them competitive) beforehand by Wales sides during this international break had produced five defeats, I suppose we should be grateful for small mercies.

There was a draw to for the Under 21s as well who followed up their loss to Bosnia at Bangor on Friday with a 0-0 draw with group leaders Romania at the same venue yesterday evening. I watched the first half of this game on S4C before leaving for the seniors match and left thinking that Wales, who had started the game well, but had come under increasing pressure as the half went on, were, probably, heading for another defeat against opponents that, apparently, had eight or nine full internationals in their starting line up. So, I was both surprised and pleased to learn that the match had finished as it did.

However, that feeling was to change when I discovered that Romania had two players red carded and then it felt like a great opportunity to make up ground lost in losing two of their first four games in the qualfiying group had been wasted by a Welsh team which, again, had City’s Cameron Coxe and Mark Harris in the starting line up.

Unfortunately, on Monday Wales Under 19s made it three defeats from three in their mini qualifying competition being held in Turkey for the European Championships, with another single goal margin of defeat against Kazakhstan – this time by 3-2.

So, two draws and five defeats from seven matches hardly makes for a successful third international break of the season, but, at least, if, as I suggested in my piece on the France match, two or three of our players in the late twenties/early thirties age brackets are beginning to show signs of wear and tear on the International stage, three of our younger players (as well as a few others within the squad) have taken the opportunity they were given to suggest that they can come in and do a good job for Wales as we now turn to trying to ensure qualification for a second successive Euros Finals competition.

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A sobering day for Welsh football.

I daresay that the passing of time will come to see Wales’ latest failure to qualify for a World Cup Finals tournament being treated on a par with what happened to us when we faced Romania in 1993 and Scotland in 1985.

These days those two heroic failures are seen in purely black and white terms – Paul Bodin scores from the spot and we would have been there in America with the best in 1994 and, if it wasn’t for another very dodgy penalty award for Scotland on the night that will forever be remembered for Jock Stein’s death, it would have been us, not them, at Mexico in 1986.

I’ve always thought both of these versions of history were gross over simplifications that are at odds with what actually took place. For example, Bodin will forever be portrayed as the man who cost us World Cup glory twenty four years ago almost to the day, but that is to forget what actually happened between us and a very talented Romanian side in the two matches played between the sides in that qualifying procedure.

My recollection was that, until Dean Saunders’ equaliser at the old Cardiff Arms Park, we were distinctly second best to slick opponents and the mystery was how we were only the one goal, courtesy of a rare mistake by Neville Southall, down at the time.

The moment that defined Bodin’s career obviously was a very important passage in the game and, maybe, Romania would have crumbled if we had gone in front at that stage. However, Hagi and co were better than the stereotypical “don’t like it up them” foreign sides that are supposed to fall to pieces under what could be called a typically British footballing assault, there was still almost half an hour to go and, I believe it’s more likely that Wales would have faced a very searching last third of a match which I think it’s fair to say the visitors controlled for 75/80 per cent of the time.

Add in the fact that when Wales had visited Sofia around a year earlier, they found themselves 5-0 down at half time (it finished up 5-1) and I feel that, even the most diehard Wales fan would have to concede that the better team out of the two qualified for the 1994 World Cup Finals.

Eight years earlier, the venue was Ninian Park and I must admit to believing that our failure that night was more to do with bad luck than being foiled by a better team, because we’d beaten Scotland quite comfortably at Hampden Park earlier in the campaign and they were certainly no Romania. Although it didn’t seem like it at the time, Mark Hughes’ goal to put us one up probably didn’t do us many favours because it came so early in the game as to put Wales between two stools – did they go looking for a killer second goal or did they hold on to what they had?

In the event, what started as the adventurous approach, probably understandably, turned more and more into the cautious option as the minutes ticked by and with nine of them left, the Scots were once again the beneficiaries of a controversial penalty award. While this one was not in the same class as the absolute howler at Anfield in 1977 or the one which cost Northern Ireland so dearly on Thursday, David Phillips, the player penalised, was very close to the ball when it was last played by a Scot and many referees would, surely have decided it was ball to hand, rather than hand to ball.

A draw wasn’t good enough for Wales and I believe that it’s generally accepted that we were the better side over the ninety minutes on the night, but, amid all of the tales of another typical example of World Cup qualification heartbreak for us, it tends to get forgotten that the Scots still had to win a two leg Play Off with Australia to ensure their place in Mexico.

Wales would probably have been favourites in such a shoot out with the Aussies back then, but it wouldn’t have been anything like a sure thing, so it’s not quite true to say that our long wait for a chance to replicate the heroics of Sweden 1958 would have been over but for that controversial penalty award.

I can’t help thinking that in decades to come there will be much, rightful, bemoaning of the absence of Gareth Bale and Joe Allen for the whole of the game in the former’s case and around two thirds of it in the latter’s in the crucial encounter last month, but the fact that, as it turned out, all that was at stake was a Play Off place against Denmark will tend to get airbrushed out. Sorry if this sounds anti Welsh in any way, but while the absence of Bale and Allen were huge obstacles to overcome, I tend to think that, over the whole ten game qualification process, we showed ourselves to not be in the best two teams in the six strong group.

It would have been tough, but I believe that Wales playing to their Euro 2016 qualification standard would have beaten the Irish to second place and so would have at least still have a chance of making that elusive second World Cup Final tournament.

Therefore, it follows that I have to believe we have declined as a team over the past year or two (we certainly have from the one we saw in France in the summer of 2016) and I couldn’t help but think of that sense of decline and resultant change as I watched our 2-0 defeat against France in Paris last night.

The first thing to say about the game is that there was no disgrace in losing to a French team playing as well as they did last night and 2-0 is hardly a thrashing, but we were over run in the first half especially and at half time I couldn’t help but think we could have been looking at another Bucharest 1992 style 5-0 deficit.

The hope which came from last night centred on what was seen after Wales brought on the likes of Ben Woodburn, Ethan Ampadu and David Brooks (it was for a senior Wales debut in the case of the latter two and now they must be given competitive caps as soon as possible so that their allegiance to us becomes a binding one). That trio, with a combined age of fifty five, played a full part in an improved Welsh performance in the final third of the match and should help Chris Coleman, or whoever replaces him, through what he said would be a transition period over the next year.

One of the most telling pieces of commentary in the BBC’s coverage of the game came when Rob Phillips said the Welsh starting eleven had a total of more than six hundred caps between them. Contrast this with England, who last night fielded a team with a collective cap total of just over a hundred, and you realise that Wales “golden generation”, which was talked about for so long in terms of what was to come, have now very much arrived.

In fact, looking at some of those who have served their country so well in the past labouring last night, it was hard not to think that the time may well have come when they need to get off the train. England’s youngsters got a creditable draw with Germany and that all helped create that impression that there is a thin dividing line between when having all of those international caps goes from being a strength to becoming a weakness.

This Wales team does not need wholesale dismantling, but if the last year or so has seen Tom Lawrence (on the bench last night ironically enough) make the transition to regular starter, you can’t help feeling that at least one or two of the youthful trio mentioned earlier will be likely starters by the time we begin our quest for a place at Euro 2020.

While I make it that only three of last night’s starters were over thirty, they’ve all played an awful lot of international football in their young lives with only Ben Davies being below the age of twenty five out of the starting eleven.

Wales are not an old team in terms of years then, but they are in terms of the international football mileage they’ve racked up and it may be that the time that the group this side is very much based on (i.e. the members of the Under 21 team which ran England so close in a qualification Play Off nearly ten years ago) was supposed to peak may have been misjudged somewhat because it was based entirely on how old they would be at a particular time.

If you looked at the side from last night, only Ashley Williams (who, in this season where he has looked so vulnerable, I thought looked a little more like his old self against France) would be seen as someone whose position in the side needed to be reassessed purely on the grounds of age, but there are two or three others for whom international football is looking increasingly difficult these days.

Therefore, what is going on in the age groups below senior level perhaps becomes more important than normal and so I’m afraid what happened to our Under 21 and Under 19 teams yesterday makes for gloomy reading.

When you look at Woodburn, Ampadu and Brooks, you see the evidence that the grandiose claims that were being made around two and three years ago about the quality of player coming through had an element of truth to them, but, watching our Under 21s losing 4-0 to Bosnia at Bangor last night rather suggested that we are not seeing a second golden generation to follow on so soon after the first one.

To be fair, 4-0 was harsh on Wales, but, after competing well in the first half, they ended up a well beaten side. From a City perspective, I know I’m biased, but, although Cameron Coxe was among three or four Welsh players who may have thought they could have done more to prevent the opening goal, I thought he was one of our best players as, in the first half especially, he attacked constantly down the right. After the break, his attacking influence waned, but I thought this had more to do with the introduction of former City Academy player Rabbi Matondo to play on the right wing, rather than any decline in Coxe’s standard of play.

The other City player in the side, Mark Harris, also did some good things on the left and you couldn’t help but think that his withdrawal was more down to the fact that he always tends to get taken off sometime around the hour mark when he plays for this team than his performance on the night – I thought Harris was more effective than the higher profile attacking players that featured alongside him in what was a pretty toothless Welsh attack.

A few hours earlier Wales Under 19s had followed up their 2-1 loss to Slovakia, on Tuesday I think it was, in one of those mini tournaments whereby four sides play a round of games in a short period of time in the one country, with another loss by the same score against hosts Turkey, so that, almost certainly, means they are out of the European Under 19 tournament.

Goalkeeper George Ratcliffe as well as midfielders Sion Spence and James Waite were among the City contingent selected for the squad for this event and they all started against Slovakia, with the first two named also in the eleven against Turkey – Wales complete their programme with a match against Kazakhstan on Monday.

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