Weekly review 3/6/18.

The local media’s desperation to try and keep the feelgood factor going following our promotion knows no bounds as the stories they carry tend be outlandish rumours or finding a different way to say precisely what they reported last week.

However, tucked away among the inane speculation and non stories, there was one last week which I feel was fairly close to the truth about what will be happening at Cardiff City in the next couple of months or so.

Rightly or wrongly, this piece has an air of authenticity to me. However, what is not clear is the degree to which “The Cardiff boss wants five or six players to supplement his current squad and is set to once again utilise the loan and free transfer market.” applies. “Utilise” means use to me, so if it’s meant to say there will be a mixture of loans, free transfers and players that will cost a fee, then that’s fair enough to me.

However, I tend to agree with this comment in reply to the article;-

“The championship play off final to get to the Premiership was billed as the £170 million pound game.  We were already there, so why is WOL continually suggesting that Cardiff will be shopping at ‘Pound Savers’ looking for freebies, past sell by dates and loan signings?”.

Burnley were often quoted as the template that City would wish to follow if they were promoted and since their survival was clinched by drawing at Man City and Chelsea in the last week of the Premier League season, Huddersfield have also been mentioned as an example by which Premier League survival can be achieved for City in 18/19.

The thing is though, that neither of these teams owe their continued presence in the Premier League to their ability to “utilise the loan and free transfer market.”. Burnley have tended to buy from British clubs, but, rather than shopping in the players with Premier League experience market which it’s reported is Neil Warnock’s preference, they have tended to look to the Football League for the players who have kept them in the top flight for the last couple of seasons – this is an expensive market compared to many, but, if the plan is to pay transfer fees for these players with Premier League experience, we will be shopping in the most expensive market there is.

Like Burnley, Huddersfield’s domestic signings have tended to come from the Championship, but their results have been mixed as far as that goes I reckon – for me, it was Huddersfield’s transfer business on players based in mainland Europe that played the bigger part in keeping them up.

As a rule, I don’t think you can place great credence on online sources that quote what a player’s salary is, but I would say that the £3.12 million per annum (around 60 grand a week) I’ve seen quoted for West Brom’s Salomon Ronda (a player to whom we were linked a lot in the fortnight following our promotion) sounds about right.

I’m pleased to see that article saying that Rondon “could be out of reach because of budget restraints.” if that applies to wages. Once again, with the proviso that we cannot be certain about online figures, Burnley having their seven best paid players at the club all on 35k a week, as I saw in a messageboard which, obviously, involved a lot of research, seems the sort of model we should follow when it comes to wages.

However, if the thinking is that the supposed £18 million asking price for the Venezuelan international is beyond us, then I would say that is a reasonable price to pay for someone of his talent in the current market. Certainly, a club looking to sign experienced Premier League players still good enough to perform week in, week out in the top flight should expect to be quoted asking prices like that one,

Turning to the loan market, we were strongly linked yesterday with another move for Marko Grujic (who was selected in the Serbian World Cup squad this week). This seems to be a possible move that would not cause the club financial problems – more likely, I’d say that, with only two loan players allowed at the same time and a maximum of four in a season in the Premier League, the question might be, would we like to see one of them taken up by a player who ended the Championship season out of our team and had to be subbed after coming off the bench in his last appearance, seemingly because his manager feared he was going to be sent off? Grujic also doesn’t fill the Premier League experience criteria, but I’d grade this rumour as one that could well happen when compared to most we have seen so far.

Similarly, having talked Robert Snodgrass up in a radio interview recently, I think there is every chance that he is someone who Neil Warnock would like to sign. The Scotland winger cum playmaker was a success in the Championship this season as he contributed eight goals and thirteen assists to Aston Villa’s failed promotion bid during his loan spell with them and I’d say a contribution like that could, largely, be carried into the top flight by someone who has that Premier League experience which we, seemingly, want.

A fee of £12 million (a bit rich this from West Ham when you consider that they signed him for £10 million and he’s not really pulled up any trees at the East London club) has been mentioned in terms of a permanent signing, but Snodgrass is another who is reported to be on £60k a week (again a figure which seems about right to me) and so, I’d like to think that it would have to be a loan move, with West Ham paying around half of his wages, for this one to come off – if that could be arranged then I’d say this one, like Grujic, could be a deal that we’d do.

Just to say on the International front that Aron Gunnarsson was an unused sub in Iceland’s 3-2 home defeat by Norway last night and that Kenneth Zohore did not even make the bench for Denmark in their goalless draw in Sweden, so it would seem that his hopes of making it to the World Cup are negligible now.

 

 

 

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Giggs’ low key start continues with promising draw against Mexico.

 

Having written virtually nothing on Ryan Giggs’ first two matches in charge back in March because I barely saw anything of them following my house move a few days earlier, I suppose that is a contributory factor in why I have this feeling that his reign as Wales manager/coach has barely got started yet and, having now played another game earlier this week, it still seems to me that we are in something of a holding pattern waiting for the autumn when the proper stuff begins when it comes to the national side’s new manager/coach.

That’s not really fair on Giggs. After all, it’s rare enough for Wales to beat any country 6-0, let alone the one with the biggest population in the world and all of this in your first game in charge.

Of course, under normal circumstances, I would have given the China match, and the Uruguay game which followed, much more attention, but, I must say it all seemed so low key in the way it was covered by the media and greeted by supporters.

Once more, this seems harsh on Giggs who it has to be said has been pretty bold with his selections so far in a way that reminds of much of the time John Toshack was in charge – while Giggs’ hand has been forced to some extent by injuries to senior and very important players, he has still decided to leave someone like Hal Robson-Kanu out of his first two squads.

Overall, a big win over China, a deserved, but narrow, defeat by a good Uruguayan team and now a 0-0 draw with Mexico represents a decent set of results to start with for Giggs, who must realise that there are many Wales fans out there who were less than enamoured with his appointment.

I’ll freely admit that it used to grate with me when Giggs would routinely pull out of Wales squads for friendly games with injuries which never seemed severe enough for him to be missing from the Manchester United squad for their next match – often they were only three or four days after his country had played as well.

Maybe, that’s got something to do with my lack of appreciation regarding what our new national team manager has done so far, but, whatever the reason, having watched the Mexico match on IPlayer, there was not a great deal happening to persuade me that the game merited as much analysis as I normally indulge in on here.

After that cue for widespread cheering, what can I say about the game which was played in front of a crowd of about 80,000 in the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, California – it goes without saying of course that there weren’t too many there supporting the team in red!

Well, when your goalkeeper is almost universally selected as your man of the match, it tends to suggest that your team spent most of the time on the back foot. That was certainly the case against Mexico and it has to be said that the Central Americans, who are preparing for their seventh consecutive World Cup Finals, really should have won, but were let down by a strange failure to convert what was at times almost complete dominance into authentic goalscoring chances – they had a few, but not nearly as many as you would expect from a team which dominated the goal attempt stats to the tune of twenty two to three.

If the general tone of this piece so far has tended to be pretty negative, I should add that we are talking here about a game between a side made up of a squad of twenty eight players hoping to make it into the abridged one of twenty three to be announced shortly for the tournament which starts in Russia a fortnight today and one missing it’s best player, it’s very important holding midfielder and it’s captain for all but the first fifteen minutes or so.

With no Gareth Bale, no Joe Allen and one or two other first teamers, it was always going to be tough for Wales against a side which had only lost twice in it’s last twenty one matches and it was made even harder with the early loss of Ashley Williams with a suspected broken rib.

Now, Wales’ skipper has had a wretched club season at Everton and his performances for his country have not had that air of authority which you took for granted at one time, but he remains an important member of the Wales team. This is especially so because, as the day when he is no longer there in the defence gets ever closer, there has not appeared to be a youngster coming through (if we accept that Ethan Ampadu is more likely to be used in midfield at this stage of his career) who suggested he could step into Williams’ boots.

Therefore, perhaps the best thing about the game from a Welsh point of view was that Chris Mepham, the  twenty year old Brentford centreback who broke into their side in the second half of the season just ended, came through a very testing game in front of a crowd which was, perhaps, three times bigger than he  anything he had experienced before with flying colours.

Mepham, the subject of a £5.5 million bid by Bournemouth in January that was turned down by Brentford, was assured and decisive in his defending while also showing signs of leadership qualities which only added to the feeling that he may have a long term future in the Welsh side.

Alongside Mepham, Bristol Rovers captain Tom Lockyer performed like someone with far more than four caps when he came on for Williams and, with Mexico enjoying some success down both flanks in the second half in particular, the two centrebacks were instrumental in repelling what was, at times, wave after wave of attacks by what was, to all intents and purposes, the home side.

Behind Mepham and Lockyer, Wayne Hennessy is another who was thought of as an automatic choice not too long ago, but has had his place in the team questioned somewhat following a very costly mistake against Ireland. However, he did his cause no harm at all here with a series of good saves (nine of Mexico’s twenty goal attempts were on target) and was a deserved winner of that Man of the Match award.

With Connor Roberts of Swansea, George Thomas of Leicester and Matt Smith of Manchester City (combined age sixty) all getting game time, with the latter two making their debuts, as second half substitutes, we are beginning to see why there was so much enthusiasm a couple of years ago regarding the group coming through at Under 17/18 level at that time.

Wales are in action next when they entertain Ireland in the Nations League which begins the qualifying process for Euro 2020 – from a personal perspective, that will be the game when the Giggs era really gets under way and, hopefully, he will be able to rely on a stronger squad then than he has been able to select from in his first three matches.

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