A sobering day for Welsh football.

I daresay that the passing of time will come to see Wales’ latest failure to qualify for a World Cup Finals tournament being treated on a par with what happened to us when we faced Romania in 1993 and Scotland in 1985.

These days those two heroic failures are seen in purely black and white terms – Paul Bodin scores from the spot and we would have been there in America with the best in 1994 and, if it wasn’t for another very dodgy penalty award for Scotland on the night that will forever be remembered for Jock Stein’s death, it would have been us, not them, at Mexico in 1986.

I’ve always thought both of these versions of history were gross over simplifications that are at odds with what actually took place. For example, Bodin will forever be portrayed as the man who cost us World Cup glory twenty four years ago almost to the day, but that is to forget what actually happened between us and a very talented Romanian side in the two matches played between the sides in that qualifying procedure.

My recollection was that, until Dean Saunders’ equaliser at the old Cardiff Arms Park, we were distinctly second best to slick opponents and the mystery was how we were only the one goal, courtesy of a rare mistake by Neville Southall, down at the time.

The moment that defined Bodin’s career obviously was a very important passage in the game and, maybe, Romania would have crumbled if we had gone in front at that stage. However, Hagi and co were better than the stereotypical “don’t like it up them” foreign sides that are supposed to fall to pieces under what could be called a typically British footballing assault, there was still almost half an hour to go and, I believe it’s more likely that Wales would have faced a very searching last third of a match which I think it’s fair to say the visitors controlled for 75/80 per cent of the time.

Add in the fact that when Wales had visited Sofia around a year earlier, they found themselves 5-0 down at half time (it finished up 5-1) and I feel that, even the most diehard Wales fan would have to concede that the better team out of the two qualified for the 1994 World Cup Finals.

Eight years earlier, the venue was Ninian Park and I must admit to believing that our failure that night was more to do with bad luck than being foiled by a better team, because we’d beaten Scotland quite comfortably at Hampden Park earlier in the campaign and they were certainly no Romania. Although it didn’t seem like it at the time, Mark Hughes’ goal to put us one up probably didn’t do us many favours because it came so early in the game as to put Wales between two stools – did they go looking for a killer second goal or did they hold on to what they had?

In the event, what started as the adventurous approach, probably understandably, turned more and more into the cautious option as the minutes ticked by and with nine of them left, the Scots were once again the beneficiaries of a controversial penalty award. While this one was not in the same class as the absolute howler at Anfield in 1977 or the one which cost Northern Ireland so dearly on Thursday, David Phillips, the player penalised, was very close to the ball when it was last played by a Scot and many referees would, surely have decided it was ball to hand, rather than hand to ball.

A draw wasn’t good enough for Wales and I believe that it’s generally accepted that we were the better side over the ninety minutes on the night, but, amid all of the tales of another typical example of World Cup qualification heartbreak for us, it tends to get forgotten that the Scots still had to win a two leg Play Off with Australia to ensure their place in Mexico.

Wales would probably have been favourites in such a shoot out with the Aussies back then, but it wouldn’t have been anything like a sure thing, so it’s not quite true to say that our long wait for a chance to replicate the heroics of Sweden 1958 would have been over but for that controversial penalty award.

I can’t help thinking that in decades to come there will be much, rightful, bemoaning of the absence of Gareth Bale and Joe Allen for the whole of the game in the former’s case and around two thirds of it in the latter’s in the crucial encounter last month, but the fact that, as it turned out, all that was at stake was a Play Off place against Denmark will tend to get airbrushed out. Sorry if this sounds anti Welsh in any way, but while the absence of Bale and Allen were huge obstacles to overcome, I tend to think that, over the whole ten game qualification process, we showed ourselves to not be in the best two teams in the six strong group.

It would have been tough, but I believe that Wales playing to their Euro 2016 qualification standard would have beaten the Irish to second place and so would have at least still have a chance of making that elusive second World Cup Final tournament.

Therefore, it follows that I have to believe we have declined as a team over the past year or two (we certainly have from the one we saw in France in the summer of 2016) and I couldn’t help but think of that sense of decline and resultant change as I watched our 2-0 defeat against France in Paris last night.

The first thing to say about the game is that there was no disgrace in losing to a French team playing as well as they did last night and 2-0 is hardly a thrashing, but we were over run in the first half especially and at half time I couldn’t help but think we could have been looking at another Bucharest 1992 style 5-0 deficit.

The hope which came from last night centred on what was seen after Wales brought on the likes of Ben Woodburn, Ethan Ampadu and David Brooks (it was for a senior Wales debut in the case of the latter two and now they must be given competitive caps as soon as possible so that their allegiance to us becomes a binding one). That trio, with a combined age of fifty five, played a full part in an improved Welsh performance in the final third of the match and should help Chris Coleman, or whoever replaces him, through what he said would be a transition period over the next year.

One of the most telling pieces of commentary in the BBC’s coverage of the game came when Rob Phillips said the Welsh starting eleven had a total of more than six hundred caps between them. Contrast this with England, who last night fielded a team with a collective cap total of just over a hundred, and you realise that Wales “golden generation”, which was talked about for so long in terms of what was to come, have now very much arrived.

In fact, looking at some of those who have served their country so well in the past labouring last night, it was hard not to think that the time may well have come when they need to get off the train. England’s youngsters got a creditable draw with Germany and that all helped create that impression that there is a thin dividing line between when having all of those international caps goes from being a strength to becoming a weakness.

This Wales team does not need wholesale dismantling, but if the last year or so has seen Tom Lawrence (on the bench last night ironically enough) make the transition to regular starter, you can’t help feeling that at least one or two of the youthful trio mentioned earlier will be likely starters by the time we begin our quest for a place at Euro 2020.

While I make it that only three of last night’s starters were over thirty, they’ve all played an awful lot of international football in their young lives with only Ben Davies being below the age of twenty five out of the starting eleven.

Wales are not an old team in terms of years then, but they are in terms of the international football mileage they’ve racked up and it may be that the time that the group this side is very much based on (i.e. the members of the Under 21 team which ran England so close in a qualification Play Off nearly ten years ago) was supposed to peak may have been misjudged somewhat because it was based entirely on how old they would be at a particular time.

If you looked at the side from last night, only Ashley Williams (who, in this season where he has looked so vulnerable, I thought looked a little more like his old self against France) would be seen as someone whose position in the side needed to be reassessed purely on the grounds of age, but there are two or three others for whom international football is looking increasingly difficult these days.

Therefore, what is going on in the age groups below senior level perhaps becomes more important than normal and so I’m afraid what happened to our Under 21 and Under 19 teams yesterday makes for gloomy reading.

When you look at Woodburn, Ampadu and Brooks, you see the evidence that the grandiose claims that were being made around two and three years ago about the quality of player coming through had an element of truth to them, but, watching our Under 21s losing 4-0 to Bosnia at Bangor last night rather suggested that we are not seeing a second golden generation to follow on so soon after the first one.

To be fair, 4-0 was harsh on Wales, but, after competing well in the first half, they ended up a well beaten side. From a City perspective, I know I’m biased, but, although Cameron Coxe was among three or four Welsh players who may have thought they could have done more to prevent the opening goal, I thought he was one of our best players as, in the first half especially, he attacked constantly down the right. After the break, his attacking influence waned, but I thought this had more to do with the introduction of former City Academy player Rabbi Matondo to play on the right wing, rather than any decline in Coxe’s standard of play.

The other City player in the side, Mark Harris, also did some good things on the left and you couldn’t help but think that his withdrawal was more down to the fact that he always tends to get taken off sometime around the hour mark when he plays for this team than his performance on the night – I thought Harris was more effective than the higher profile attacking players that featured alongside him in what was a pretty toothless Welsh attack.

A few hours earlier Wales Under 19s had followed up their 2-1 loss to Slovakia, on Tuesday I think it was, in one of those mini tournaments whereby four sides play a round of games in a short period of time in the one country, with another loss by the same score against hosts Turkey, so that, almost certainly, means they are out of the European Under 19 tournament.

Goalkeeper George Ratcliffe as well as midfielders Sion Spence and James Waite were among the City contingent selected for the squad for this event and they all started against Slovakia, with the first two named also in the eleven against Turkey – Wales complete their programme with a match against Kazakhstan on Monday.

Posted in Wales | Tagged , , , , | 4 Comments

Cardiff left to rue Bogle’s lack of discipline.

Yesterday’s lunchtime defeat by 2-1 at Ashton Gate against Bristol City was the first example this season of those occasional games every year where circumstances mean I have next to no access to pictures, commentary or online updates as to what is happening in a City game.

It tends to happen two or three times a season and so, as I suspect virtually everyone who reads this will be better informed than me as to what happened, I’ll do what I always do on here when this happens and limit myself to a few general observations on matters arising from the match.

The first thing to strike me on watching the highlights of the game is that, if they represent an accurate reflection of what happened, then it must have been a pretty dour affair with both sides, perhaps, being more concerned with avoiding defeat than going for the three points.

Certainly, from a City perspective, the selection of Craig Bryson instead of Lee Tomlin as the only change from the side which beat Ipswich has to be seen as a cautious move. That said, with Tomlin having been sentenced the day before to eighty hours of community service and having to pay prosecution costs after pleading guilty to affray while out in Leicester with Accrington Stanley striker Billy Kee in January (charges of wounding and GBH against Tomlin were dropped by the prosecution and on the orders of the judge respectively), Neil Warnock’s decision could be understood on the grounds that the player would not be in the right frame of mind to start against his former club.

In the event, the only piece of live action I was able to listen to came just after half time with the score at 1-1 and, as it turned out, I heard what was, if not the game’s decisive moment, perhaps it’s second most important one.

I tuned into Radio Wales’ commentary just as Bristol midfield player Marlon Pack (who had already been booked) was fouling Sol Bamba. The immediate reaction from the commentators was that Pack may well be seeing red because it was a bad foul, but, by the time it had become obvious that Premier League ref Mike Jones had decided that just the awarding of the free kick was sufficient punishment for the player, they seemed to have come around to thinking that the right decision had been made.

I’ve not seen the challenge yet, so cannot comment on whether Mr Jones got it right or not, but, in light of what happened a few minutes later and how the game ended up, it was always going to be an incident that would attract comment afterwards.

What seems to be agreed by all concerned was that the official was right to send Omar Bogle off after he ploughed into Pack shortly afterwards. The striker, who had scored his second goal in two games when he had equalised Callum O’Dowda’s well taken opener for the home side, was, seemingly, upset when play was not stopped to allow him treatment after he had gone down following an earlier heavy challenge, but this could be no excuse for the lunge on Pack which, from the pictures I saw, left Mr Jones with no alternative but to dismiss our goalscorer.

On the day before the match our manager had praised Mr Jones, but he was less complimentary once it been completed. However, tellingly, Warnock’s ire was directed at the decision not to send off Pack, rather than the one to dismiss Bogle – on that score, he had no complaints whatsoever and was scathing in his criticism of his centre forward who he accused of costing City the game.

Our manager also found time to have a justified moan about the way the winning goal was conceded as home centreback Aiden Flint was allowed to run onto a long throw in and power home a header as he gained a yard or two on Sean Morrison – the City captain was at fault then, but there were others who looked pretty static as we conceded the sort of goal we really shouldn’t be doing given the height we have at the back and in other areas of the pitch.

I touched on the decision not to start with Tomlin earlier and said I thought Neil Warnock’s decision was understandable in the circumstances, but was the choice to replace him with Bryson the right one? Again, I’ve not seen enough of the match to comment with any authority, but I have read reports which said our midfield was “overrun” in the first half and it seems that nothing happened yesterday to quell a growing feeling I’ve had that, although Neil Warnock’s overall record in the transfer market during the summer should be seen as a good one, his two deadline day signings need to do a lot more yet before they can be said to offer further evidence of how well our manager did.

There are some positions on the pitch where being thirty should not be seen as a problem, but I would argue that box to box midfielder and winger are not two of them. It would be wrong to say all players who are thirty in those positions (Bryson is thirty one tomorrow and Liam Feeney reaches that age in January)  are in decline, but I feel that they are often at a stage in their careers where the game is becoming not as easy for them as it once was and often this means they have to started adapting their game to adjust to the changes their body is going through.

Warnock praised Feeney’s contribution after he was brought on as a seventh minute replacement for Nathaniel Mendez-Laing and questioned whether he may have made a mistake in taking him  off when Danny Ward came on following Bogle’s dismissal, but, based on what I’ve seen of him, that assist at Fulham apart, all Feeney is doing is showing us how much we are missing Kadeem Harris who is yet to feature this season.

Especially after the way he played in midweek, losing Mendez-Laing so early in the game was a big blow for a manager who is having to cope with injuries to important players like Zohore, Gunnarsson, Bennett, Harris and Richards (Lee Camp has had to have another operation as well and it looks like his City first team debut is still some way off yet, while Anthony Pilkington picked up a very bad dead leg injury early last week which stopped him being a member of the eighteen against Ipswich), but, on a hopeful note, Warnock seemed to think that the winger’s injury was a minor one and that he, like the first three named above, will be available for selection when fixtures resume in a fortnight after the latest international break.

Given those injuries and the decision not to start with Tomlin, the like for like substitution of Mendez-Lange by Feeney so early in the game seems the obvious move for him to make, but I wonder if Neil Warnock gave any thought to bringing on Danny Ward at that time? Ward could have gone on to the left and offered more support to Bogle whose frustration levels due to him being isolated up front may have been increasing as the game progressed.

Finally, with everything pointing to City not appealing against Bogle’s red card, the striker will have to serve a three game suspension. Understandably, this news overshadowed the fact that Lee Peltier’s early booking (Warnock contrasted the innocuous level of Peltier’s offence with what Pack was to “get away with” later in the game) was his fifth of the season which should mean that he will miss the Brentford match as well.

Home wins for Wolves and Sheffield United this weekend mean that we are back down to third, but that is still some way ahead of what our manager, who has said he would have been happy with being in the top eight at this stage of the season, was targeting. City have made a great start to the season, but they need to have a bigger pool of fit and available players to select from when fixtures resume than they have had for the last two or three matches.

 

 

Posted in Out on the pitch | Tagged , | 13 Comments