What to make of World Cup 2018?

As someone who is now about a quarter of the way into his seventh decade of life, you would like to think I’ve seen enough during that time to be able to come up with a coherent answer as to what constitutes a strong competition and what makes up a weak one when it comes to football.

You can guarantee that at some time during the first three months of a season someone will describe the division City are competing in as being a weak one this time around. This sort of statement has always prompted the question described in the previous paragraph in me.

For example, the Championship table for 2005/06 shows the league being won at a canter by a Reading side which I would say is generally regarded as the best seen at that level since 2003 – a period which has seen us compete at that level for all but the 2013/14 campaign. A closer look at that table will tell you that all of the important placings that season had been decided before the final round of matches had been played, so Sky would have been desperately basing their final day advertising on which one out of Watford, Preston and Leeds would finish third and earn the right to face Palace in the Play Offs!

By contrast, although we won the title by a healthy margin in 12/13, I don’t think even the most avid Cardiff fan would say we were in the Reading 2006 class – after all, they had just the nineteen points more than us! However, my recollection is that there were all sorts of issues to be decided on the final day of the season five years ago at both ends of the table. What’s most noticeable to me is that, whereas there is a massive sixty eight points between first and last in 05/06, that gap is only forty six points in 12/13 and, once you take off our eight point lead and the ten points adrift of the rest Bristol City were, there was only twenty eight points between Hull in second and Wolves in 23rd – even more amazing relegated Peterborough finished just fourteen points behind Leicester who made the Play Offs.

No one describes 2012/13 as a vintage year for the Championship, but which one was the “strong” league, the one we won or the one with the all conquering Reading side in – I honestly don’t know!

That’s how I feel about the World Cup tournament that has been taking place in Russia for nearly a month now. Even before England’s “heroics”, Russia 2018 had been having a good press with many willing to describe it as one of the best, if not the best, World Cup Finals tournament they’d seen.

I’m in agreement that this has been a good World Cup and, as someone who has watched all of them since 1966, I would rate it in the top three or four I’ve seen and yet I don’t think there has been one team in it that you could call great – this opinion may change though over the next five days because, really speaking, it’s still a little early to make these sort of judgments.

Nevertheless, this is a tournament that has reignited the whole what is a good competition and what is a bad one debate with me, but this time, I feel slightly better equipped to make a judgement on the question that I’ve always struggled to answer.

World Cup 2018 may not have had an outstanding team in it, but, in my opinion, what it has had is a lot of pretty evenly matched sides that have helped to make so many of the games competitive and interesting.

It’s also had VAR which has helped bring about a statistic which argues strongly in favour of 2018 being one of the better World Cups – there has only been one 0-0 draw up until now.

This doesn’t mean that 2018 has been a free scoring tournament, but VAR has helped to ensure that some poor quality matches which would have definitely finished goalless otherwise have ended up 1-0 thanks to penalties which would never have been given before.

There have been dramatic finishes galore with plenty of late goals being scored and when VAR has got involved, this has only added to the sense of drama. There have been some idiotic penalties given for handball through VAR intervention, but, overall, I’d say its influence has been a positive one  – it still doesn’t happen often enough, but anything which ensures that defenders get penalised for the wrestling holds we see at corners and free kicks and anything that ensures that diving cheats like Neymar don’t always prosper has to be a good thing.

As to who is going to win it, I’d say that there has been a game in which all four remaining teams have struck me as potential winners. In saying that, Croatia and France were both playing an Argentina side as open as any so called good side I’ve seen in ages to quick counter attacks when they impressed me. As for Belgium, they strike me as the most complete of the remaining sides and their front three were immense against Brazil, with Eden Hazard being truly outstanding in the dying stages of that game.

Belgium also showed a defensive organisation and team spirit against Brazil that I wouldn’t usually associate with them, but, even with all of these things going for them, they still needed the goalkeeping performance of the tournament so far from Courtois and a fair bit of luck to overcome a team which had three times the number of goal attempts and efforts on target that they did.

As for England, I couldn’t believe the start they made in their first game against a Tunisia side rated as the best African team in the world by FIFA. They really should have been four or five nil up in twenty minutes, but subsequent performances showed that Tunisia were extremely flattered by their high FIFA ranking and England’s problems creating chances from open play have sent out a signal that they are not as good as I thought they were during that purple patch in their first game.

Nevertheless, England impressed me against a Swedish side which rather reminds me of the 2017/18 City side under Neil Warnock. They didn’t mind letting the opposition have the ball and, even in their most impressive game, a 3-0 win over Mexico, they were not “easy on the eye”. No, Sweden, like their fellow Scandinavians Denmark, won’t figure among the great entertainers of Russia 2018, but they have had the knack of getting results that you wouldn’t expect them to when you compare the names on their team sheet with those on most of the ones of sides they faced.

I didn’t think England were great against Sweden, but they still managed to completely dominate them in a way that I’ve not seen happen to a Swedish side in ages – England didn’t strike me as potential winners that day, but there’s a momentum growing with them and they are as dangerous as anyone from set pieces (a phase of play which sometimes looks a weakness for their Semi Final opponents, Croatia).

For me, if England go out and try to take on any of the other three remaining sides in a “proper” game of football, they’ll probably lose, but take their relatively easy ninety minutes against Sweden and put it against what Croatia have been through in their last two games against Denmark and Russia and I reckon they’ll make Sunday’s final – I also favour France, following their fairly straightforward win over Uruguay, to be too physically strong for a Belgian side that looked out on their feet (Hazard excepted) in the closing quarter against Brazil.

If it is a France v England final, then a look at the two squads has me favouring les blues, but I remember their supine showing in the Final of Euro 2016 and think that an England side which has not shown any fear so far could do what Portugal did to them two years ago.

Would I pleased to see England win the tournament? Well, I’d be pleased for Gareth Southgate, who has always come across to me a normal and decent bloke. Rightly or wrongly, it strikes me that normal and decent blokes have been conspicuously absent in England squads at recent tournaments, but this lot don’t seem too bad – none of this is enough to make me want them to win though for a couple of reasons.

Firstly, the idea of a country with a population of less than 5 million winning the World Cup really appeals to me (yes, I know it’s happened before with Uruguay, but the tournament was not the global event then that it is now), so I’m a Croatia supporter at the moment.

The second reason is the one that’s always there with England – a media which fails to recognise that there are parts of this country (i.e. the UK) which do not feel quite as enthusiastic about the England team as they think we should.

Two years ago, Wales reached the Semi Finals of Euro 2016 and they did so with Rob Phillips (who I like) coming over as completely biased towards them in his radio broadcasting, while ITV Wales ran their own programmes (just as they do in Rugby World Cups) to give a more Welsh slant than you’d get on the main ITV coverage. So, Wales has more than their fair share of biased commentators and coverage, but the difference is that they don’t tend to get heard oand/or watched by the rest of the country.

Contrast that with what you get with the mainstream BBC and ITV (who, I have to admit, were very good towards Wales two years ago) – the main commentators on either channel (Guy Mowbray and the awful Clive Tyldesley) rabbit on to you as if you’re a mate of theirs who is with them at some party or pub which is exclusively limited to England supporters, while nearly all of their colleagues barely ever waste a chance to bring England into the conversation even if the game is between, say, Senegal and Japan.

There has been one glorious exception to this rule however in this tournament. John Champion and Ally McCoist on ITV have been a very pleasant surprise, with the latter, a genuinely funny man, being completely unable to hide his enthusiasm for the game and all of the countries involved in this tournament even if he was minded to. This is in total contrast to the cynical, world weary, views you hear from some others who should realise how lucky they are to be getting paid to commentate on “the beautiful game” at the greatest tournament in the world (no names, no packdrill, but for some reason I’m struggling to get a former Liverpool defender who also played for Preston and Brighton out of my mind at this point!).

I missed the first few minutes of the Russia v Croatia match on Saturday which followed on from the England v Sweden game a couple of hours earlier. Now, Messrs Champion and McCoist may have spent all of that time babbling on about England for all I know, but what I can say for certain is that they didn’t come up in the commentary while I was listening until about the twenty five minute mark when Champion asked the perfectly reasonable question “which one out of these two do you think England would prefer to face in the Semi Final?”.

After that there was the occasional reference to ITV’s exclusive coverage of England’s Semi Final and one or two more mentions for Southgate’s men (we learned that McCoist has supported England that afternoon), but it was as if the two commentators had either made a pre arranged decision to keep the England mentions to a minimum or, as I’d prefer to believe, they realised that, like so many other games in this World Cup, there was a perfectly decent, interesting and entertaining encounter between two good, but not great, sides being played out in front of them which deserved their full attention.

I fear that it will be Tyldesley and Hoddle (a good analyst who loses all perspective when England are involved) on the microphones tomorrow, so that will mean I will be watching with the sound turned down, but I’ll listen if Champion and McCoist are there – heck, I’ll even watch my first ever World Cup Final on ITV if England get there and those two are commentating!

 

 

 

Posted in General football stuff | Tagged | 9 Comments

Weekly review 8/7/18.

I suppose it’s the same every summer, but this year it feels like you get the occasional week where something worthwhile happens at City interspersed with far more where the only things up for discussion are transfer rumours which, nine times out of ten, turn out to be crap anyway!

Before the week just ended, I can remember two others where it was a question of what to leave out when doing one of these reviews, as against casting around fairly desperately for something to include. We’ve signed four players this summer and the fact that Josh Murphy and Greg Cunningham both arrived in the same week and then it was the same with Alex Smithies and Bobby Reid only tends to emphasise this.

Well, there were no new signings this week, but, in a way, it could be argued that this was the most significant one of the close season so far.

Before going on to the reasons why I say that, I should also record that on Wednesday the large majority of the squad returned after their summer break for preliminary tests and screening, followed by the start of pre season training the following day.

Also, on the transfer front, it was reported that Derby had accepted an offer of one and a half million pounds from City for Craig Bryson, but this was subsequently denied by the club. Other names mentioned have been Russia striker Artem Dzyuba, midfielder Oscar Lewicki (who despite his fifteen caps for them, was not in the Swedish World Cup squad) and there’s been a little more about Josh Windass, but, for now at least, the only transfer rumour I’m believing is the one which says City have been in contact with Liverpool about another loan move for Marko Grujic.

The first of what I’m sure will be many announcements to come regarding changes of kick off times and/or dates for the upcoming season arrived on Friday with this announcement that, because of television coverage, three of our first four home games will not be the originally announced 3pm Saturday afternoon kick offs.

However this was almost buried under the torrent of good news which emerged that day. First thing in the morning, there was this announcement from the club regarding finances, but that wasn’t all – Cardiff City Supporters’ Trust were able to inform members through e-mail and report the information on their website at the same time as it was being announced by the club and they also reported that, notwithstanding, six million pound transfers for strikers, “the club has received formal confirmation that it was compliant with the Profitability and Sustainability (formerly Financial Fair Play) Rules for the 2017-18 season just ended.”.

Regarding the debt to equity conversion, having been part of a meeting with club officials at the time of the infamous rebrand (May 2012) in which it was said that the conversion was “imminent”, I think it is fairly understandable why I was something of a cynic when it came to this subject. To be more accurate, I was a complete cynic for about four years, but my attitude began to change when it became clear debt was being converted into shares at the rate of about 8 million pounds a year.

However, the major portion of the conversion, involving a sum of sixty odd million pounds as announced by Vincent Tan in February 2016, (we were told it would be included in the accounts for 15/16) stubbornly failed to materialise. At various times, the club’s response to questioning about the delay in this conversion ranged from they were waiting for Malaysian Government approval for the procedure to commence, to the Football League’s financial fair play regulations would not allow it.

Now, regular readers will know that I’m no expert when it comes to football finances, but, from what I can gather, the Football League rules did prevent the largest of the conversions taking place in the manner described by Mr Tan nearly two and a half years ago.

There has been speculation that the conversion only became possible as a result of our promotion and, again, speaking as that non expert, this has a ring of truth to it, but I’ve also seen it said on a messageboard by someone with close contacts to the club, that the Malaysian Government had been reassured by our promotion and their earlier doubts regarding our precarious finances while we were a Championship club had now dissipated.

So, it might well be that both of the reasons given by the club for the delay were genuine, but that’s just something to speculate on, the important thing now is that Vincent Tan has come through on his promise.

When you think back to 2012 and the “sweeteners” offered as compensation for the change to red, it’s fair to say that, leaving aside arguments about how wisely it was spent, we did get investment in the team sufficient to get us promoted and then a level of further spending which really should have been enough to ensure we stayed up in that first season in the Premier League.

We also got the Ninian Stand extension. Now, I’ve been a frequent critic of the timing of and the necessity for the construction of this part of the ground, but, four years later, I have to admit that the bigger gates as a result of going up could well mean that “Tan’s folly” will be transformed into a welcome and required addition to the stadium (I’m sure the new stand will be full for five or six games, but the question remains, will we playing to capacity crowds when we are facing, say, Bournemouth, Huddersfield and Watford?).

When you factor in things like waiving interest payments, earlier, smaller, debt to equity conversions and now these latest figures, then, even without transfer and wages spending and the new stand, the 100 million pounds that was talked about six years ago has, almost certainly, been met and exceeded.

The only item still outstanding from the 2012 checklist is the new training ground, but whenever I go along to watch a game at the training complex at Hensol, I ask myself why do we need a new one, this is, surely, good enough, even for a Premier League club?

Therefore, although I’m sure there will be those who will still be unable to forgive and forget the rebrand, this long time Vincent Tan critic is now saying that the slate has been wiped clean as far as he is concerned and I now regard our owner as I did from 2010 to 2012 – a man who, when I look at many of the alternatives at other clubs, gets me thinking “thank God we’ve got him”.

Yes, Vincent Tan has got my thanks and appreciation, not only for what he did this week, but also for the huge majority of what he has done at the club during what is now almost  a nine year association with Cardiff City if you include the period dating back to 2009 when his name first started being mentioned as a possible investor. Hopefully, he will be able to attend many more games during the coming season.

Having provided confirmation earlier that Joe Bennett and Neil Etheridge had signed contract extensions, the club revealed a few hours after the debt to equity news that a further seven players had done the same – rather than list them myself, this link gives all of the relevant details.

You will also see that Neil Warnock confirms that Aron Gunnarsson has verbally committed to a further year at the club and, reading between the lines a little, it seems that both parties wanted to see how Gunnar coped in the World Cup following what was the worst season for injuries he’s had in his seven years at Cardiff before formally confirming things officially.

What needs to be said here is the sort of outlay involved in all of these renegotiated contracts (don’t forget Junior Hoilett has recently signed a new three year deal as well) will tend to get forgotten about in the months to come, but it has to be a substantial figure and so, once again, the contribution of Vincent Tan here should not be forgotten.

However, it’s not just our owner who needs to be acknowledged here, Ken Choo, Mehmet Dalman and, no doubt, many others at the club are all doing their part to ensure that, this time, City appear to be a lot better equipped for the Premier League challenge to come than they were five years ago.

Of course, it still may not be enough and the very real possibility that it will be Championship football we’ll be preparing for again this time next year cannot be discounted, but, even if that were the case, City appear to be far better placed to cope with a relegation than they were at the first time of asking.

Oh, I almost forgot, the new kits for next season were also revealed. Now, I hardly class myself in the “target audience” when it comes to matters like this and this can be proved by the fact that I had to ask how the 18/19 home kit differs from the 17/18 one –  it does in five or six ways apparently! With this in mind, I’m sure the club will be devastated to learn that I rate the new blue kit as no more than a five out of ten, but, equally, they’ll be absolutely over the moon to hear that I like the eight out of ten rated away shirt – will it be blue, grey, white, black or even mauve and yellow shorts with it though?

N.B. You can now catch up with Mauve and Yellow Army on Twitter at  https://twitter.com/MauveAnd – it would be much appreciated if you followed me on there, I’ll do the same for anyone with a Twitter account.

Posted in Out on the pitch, Up in the Boardroom | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 7 Comments