
Danny Gabbidon never struck me as someone who would make much of a pundit during his playing career, but the former City centreback is making a decent career for himself in the media. He is a regular on the excellent Elis James’ Feast of Football podcast and has become a regular summariser on Radio Five’s coverage of recent Wales matches.
Tonight he was there at Cardiff City Stadium giving his thoughts on Wales’ Nations League game with Denmark in which a win would have seen us top the three team group which also includes the Republic of Ireland.
I’d been looking forward to the game all day and was convincing myself that we had a decent chance of beating the Danes, but just a minute of listening to Gabbidon talking about the upcoming game changed my mood completely.
That’s not meant to be a criticism of Danny, because as he talked about how Wales under Ryan Giggs had yet to put on a convincing showing against any of the stronger teams they have faced under their new coach, I knew that he was right.
Uruguay were worth more than a 1-0 win over us when we faced them in the China Cup in Giggs’ second match in charge, Spain won at a canter in the Principality Stadium last month and Denmark were too good for us when played them in Aarhus in September. The only result against a stronger side we have gained so far under Ryan Giggs was a 0-0 draw with Mexico where grim and resolute defence was the order of the day.
Go down a level from that and Giggs’ Wales looked like they could become something special as they stuffed China 6-0 and did a double over a Republic of Ireland side which is obviously struggling at present. However, Gabbidon was right before a ball was kicked tonight and he was even more right after a watchable encounter in which Denmark were worthy of their 2-1 win over opponent that fought commendably and had their plans disrupted by injuries to defenders which saw them have to make a couple of substitution which a team trying to claw back a 1-0 deficit would only make if they were forced upon them.
The BBC’s match stats show Wales having more of the ball, more shots (on and off target) and more corners and yet for so much of the game it all looked pretty comfortable for the Danes who have an outstanding record over the past two years – particularly in terms of goals conceded where they averaging something like half a goal a game let in over their past twenty odd games.
The Danes are a physically imposing side who were just too strong for their Welsh counterparts on many occasions, they also gave us no time on the ball in the middle of the park and were able to show that they do not have to rely on Christian Eriksen for their flair and stylish football.
Wales weren’t blameless when it came to either of the goals they conceded, but credit has to be given to the Danes for the way they opened us up on the counter attack for their first goal (they got their opportunity to break when Tom Lawrence was robbed off the ball on the edge of their own penalty area in a passage of play which tended to prove my point about Denmark being too physically imposing for us when it came to many of the one on ones all over the park).
For the second one, Martin Braithwaite, a player who seems to be so much more effective playing for his country than he is when representing Middlesbrough, took advantage of slack marking by sub Ethan Ampadu to volley in an unstoppable goal.
However, Gareth Bale finished in exemplary style as he latched on to Ashley Williams’ ball forward to round Kasper Schmeichel and slide the ball in within a minute of Braithwaite’s effort to set up a finish where the sell out home crowd still had hopes that Wales could snatch a draw.
It’s been a while now since Bale has been as influential in a game for Wales as he was being as a matter of course in the period covered by his last couple of seasons at Spurs and his first one at Real Madrid, but tonight he was closer to being that player than he has been for some time.
Unfortunately, the same could not be said for Aaron Ramsey who contributed little in a withdrawn role alongside Joe Allen. Ramsey, who it was claimed today is likely to sign for Bayern Munich in the summer when his Arsenal contract runs out, looked the same distracted player who is in danger of slipping quickly down the pecking order with the Gunners as his career with them winds down.
I feel Ramsey would have been better suited to the sort of number ten role he was given in France 2016, but, instead, Giggs went with the youthful trio of Tom Lawrence, David Brooks and Tyler Roberts to accompany Bale when we attacked.
For me, this was an over reliance on youth in forward areas against a side which has considerable defensive expertise and power – Brooks did well for much of the game, Lawrence had his moments, but also tended to struggle in the physical battles , while Roberts had a tough time of it against a pair of dominant centrebacks.
Despite all of this Danish superiority I talk about, the truth is that a bit more precision to Welsh finishing could well have seen us celebrating a historic victory tonight – James Chester should certainly have scored with the first of two good headed chances he had from around eight yards out and Bale would normally be expected to put away the opportunity given to him by an excellent Connor Roberts cross not long before half time.
Add on a Brooks shot which looked to have beaten Schmeichel before whistling just past an upright and a Bale free kick which brought the save of the match from the keeper and Wales could legitimately argue that the chances were created for us to win the game.
Wales also did not have much luck over the ninety minutes as injuries to Chester and Paul Dummett saw them both forced off before the game was fifty minutes old. The two casualties were replaced by Chris Gunter, winning a record equaling ninety second cap, and Ethan Ampadu, so the only change attacking Giggs could make as his side chased the goals to win their group was to bring on Harry Wilson when Tyler Roberts was withdrawn.
So, the group is already settled with Denmark promoted to the A group which will include all of the top sides, Wales staying where they are and the Republic being relegated – we’ll also be in the Play Offs for Euro 2020 if Denmark qualify through the group stage. These groups are drawn next month with fixtures starting during the next international break in June – based on what we’ve seen so far of Giggs’ Wales, I’d say that draw will have to be pretty kind to us for us to qualify through from our group.
Finally, good luck wishes to Blaenrhondda FC who travel to Cwmamman United for a Second Round Welsh Cup tie postponed from last weekend. Their hosts are in the Welsh League Division One (the same one Ton Pentre play in) which is four divisions above Blaenrhondda in the Welsh football pyramid, but they can take hope from the fact that they won at the ground of a team from the division below Cwmamman, Garden Village, in the last round – the prize for the winners is an attractive home tie with Aberystwyth Town who are currently sixth in the Welsh Premier League.