Neil Warnock to stay for one more season as Cardiff City do Brexit.

The 0-0 draw against Huddersfield at Cardiff City Stadium in January was definitely the worst we played this season without losing – in fact I would probably rate our performance that afternoon as one of our worst of the 18/19 campaign.

Therefore, I daresay Neil Warnock must have been grateful for the opportunity presented to him in his post game press conference to go off topic and opine on the subject that most of this country has become heartily sick of – Brexit.

If you are one of what must be a very small number of City fans who are not familiar with what he said, I’ll not repeat it on here, but I will give a one word, neutral I hope, verdict on it – “trenchant”!

Now, because I want anyone reading this piece to stay with it right to its end rather than click on that x in the top right hand corner of their screen muttering “bloody Brexit” (or words to that effect!), I should say straight away that I have not taken leave of my senses by imagining that discussing the decision taken in that Referendum nearly three years would increase the readership on my Cardff City blog!

No, Brexit should be considered as a backdrop to what I write about the news that Neil Warnock will be staying at Cardiff for one more season as he tries to make it a ninth promotion in a managerial career which started back in 1980.

When considering how I would structure this piece, I, for some reason, cottoned on to Brexit as what I believe is an effective way of getting across how I believe the club will be affected .

Before that however, I’ll just quickly state my own opinion which, while certainly not being a neutral one, is one that can acknowledge that there were powerful arguments on either side of the divide.

I would have thanked Neil Warnock very much for the great job he had done at Cardiff, but told him that the time was right for a change at the top. I say that knowing that we would be losing a very good motivator, someone who knows the Championship like the back of his hand and someone who would, on the face of it, have most, if not all of, the current first team squad onside when it comes to wanting to play for him and the club.

Especially in the league we are going to be in next season, those are assets which can take you a long way and while it is tempting to imagine how someone new coming in could improve us in areas where we may be considered weak now, it’s easy to take the good things Warnock brings to the club for granted and assume they would not be lost when he moved on.

So, that’s how I feel, but I’m trying to look at things here more from the club’s point of view and in terms of what can be done during the next season when Mr Warnock is still here to prepare for his departure.

This is where I think the Brexit analogy comes in because, Cardiff City have an awkward set of problems to come which have to be faced up to – they have a manager who is at an age where there are all sorts of reasons why things like five or ten year plans under his watch would be a waste of time -something has to be done to address this at a date in the not too distant future.

After our win at Old Trafford last weekend, Neil Warnock insisted that there was “not a cat in hells chance” of him staying on beyond next season. Therefore, the assumption has to be that, just as with Brexit, there is a date, probably some time next May, which can be seen as the equivalent to the 31 October deadline the UK is facing now with regard to leaving the EU.

Although it would be funny to see our manager’s reaction to this given what he said following that Huddersfield match, the decision Cardiff City and Neil Warnock had to make during the past week was whether to “remain” in their relationship which began in October 2016 or “leave” each other. Of course, this could entail either an interim period which ensured as smooth a transition as possible could be arranged or a “crashing out” (why do Remainers always refer to a no deal Brexit as crashing out, rather than just leaving?) that had Mr Warnock being relieved of his duties at the end of this season!

There is another alternative which needs to be considered. A year from now, with another promotion achieved, Neil Warnock could, his “not a cat in hells chance” comment notwithstanding, find himself fancying one last attempt at redefining a career description which read “very effective Football League manager who could not cut it in the Premier League”.

In that event, the Cardiff Board and owner would have a difficult decision to make. Insisting that a manager who had taken their team up to the top flight twice in the space of three seasons should leave would go down like a lead balloon among a body of fans which, generally speaking, would be even more supportive of Mr Warnock than they are now and the temptation would, surely, be to “kick the can down the road” for another season and see how things look in May 2021.

That remark, used so often in the past year to describe Theresa May’s Government’s attitude to the looming Brexit deadlines they were facing, captures exactly what the hierarchy at Cardiff City have, in effect, done in the last few days though doesn’t it?

It certainly does for me, or I’ll qualify that to say, it certainly does for me unless they start preparing the ground now for what will happen when Neil Warnock is not here.

There was a time about three or four years ago when local media and supporters were almost unanimous in their opinion that “a football man” was needed at Cardiff to act as go between in Board/owner and manager consultations – someone with the requisite financial and administrative abilities who also “knows the game”.

In the event, what we got instead was a manager who had a strong enough personality to, and got the results which, enable him to win his fair share of battles with the money men – Neil Warnock may not have ticked all of the boxes when it came to the longed for “football man”, but he was a pretty good substitute for one in many of the different facets as to what makes a modern day football club tick.

However, I only say many of the different facets, not all – there have been aspects on the football side which have not improved during Mr Warnock’s time at the club.

To give a couple of examples, Cardiff’s record, in terms of producing first team footballers at least, remains just as poor now as it was in the Russell Slade days – the club spend a seven figure sum every year on the Academy and it is clearly failing in its primary function.

Similarly, although Neil Warnock has had his successes in the transfer market, his record in that department is mixed with a worrying tendency for the chances of a good recruit arriving to decline in direct proportion to how big his transfer fee was.

Neil Warnock has his own way of playing the game and it has been effective at Cardiff to a large degree. Therefore, I’m surprised (albeit pleasantly) to see so many supporters expressing a wish for a change to a more “footballing” approach.

Again, there has to be an element of “be careful what you wish for” here mind, because we don’t have a squad built to play that way and, anyway, even with the time and investment put in to get us to the required method of play, a complete change of approach where we aim to become Man City Mark 2 would, surely, be destined for failure on the grounds that too many sides would be better at it than us.

It would be like going from one extreme to another, better by far for me would be a method which retains elements of our current approach which we could turn to when we were being out Man City’d so to speak.

These are the sort of things that the current hierarchy have shown little or no interest in tackling during their time at the club. Going back to style of play, I don’t for a minute think that Neil Warnock is perfectly happy with our possession percentage or, more particularly, our ball retention. I refuse to believe that he isn’t bothered by how awful we can be at keeping the ball .

In recent years, I’ve been won over by the argument which says that possession isn’t everything – although our percentage possession figures were appalling last season, the fact that we were able to finish in second place in such a competitive league tells you that much.

However, a basic ability to give and receive passes should be a prerequisite of anyone playing the game in the top two divisions of the domestic pyramid and, too often, Neil Warnock’s Cardiff team contains too many in it who are uncomfortable with or substandard at these basics.

I think it would be entirely reasonable for, say, a Board member to ask the manager why this is so, I’d also say they should be asking serious questions about the Academy and looking to implement a recruitment policy more in line with a Premier League/top ten Championship standard of operation.

Now is the time to be looking for that football man who could help with these things while Neil Warnock works on trying to get us promoted. There would bound to be clashes between any newcomer and someone as opinionated as our manager, but the club would have to find a way around them for the greater good.

Given the arrangement that seems to have been arrived at in the last few days whereby the Warnock era at Cardiff is coming to an end, you would think that any casting vote from the money men would probably go against him. It would be sad to see this result in an early departure for someone who has done so much for City, but, like Theresa May, the kicking the can down the road has to end some time for Vincent Tan and his minions.

Posted in Down in the dugout | Tagged | 10 Comments

Right at the last, a result to remember 2018/19 by for Cardiff City.

I’d made up my mind before today’s season closing fixture that I would not waste much time writing about it because it was a completely meaningless fixture with nothing whatsoever riding on it. That’s all changed now because I must give it more attention than I originally intended – after all, it’s not every day your team goes to Old Trafford and wins is it!

In fact, speaking for myself, there hadn’t been any day when it had happened – I was born on 5 February 1956 and that was just over twenty two months after we had won at Manchester United on 3 April 1954 when a couple of goals by Wilf Grant and another by Derek Sullivan clinched a 3-2 win (we won 4-1 at Old Trafford the previous season as well with Grant again “bagging a brace”)

This time victory was by our favourite score lately as Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s team were dispatched by the same 2-0 scoreline that saw off Bournemouth, West Ham and Brighton. The two goal hero in 2019 time was Nathaniel-Mendez-Laing, who returned to the Rochdale (their home ground is twelve miles from Old Trafford) area to shine in front of a crowd which may have been forty times bigger than some of the ones he performed in front of at Spotland

After an injury hit first half of the season and then some patchy form on his return, Mendez-Laing has finished the season in a fashion which suggests he could be a real force at Premier League level if he ever gets another go at it.

The winger, who scored a worldy at Brighton, gave one of the Liverpool heroes in their midweek win over Barcelona a torrid time of it down here (I’ve not seen Trent Alexander-Arnold struggle against a winger as much as he did against Mendez-Laing in the first half three weeks ago) and caused Palace problems whenever we could get him into the game. Today, although he surged past Ashley Young impressively early on, it was more the fact that he got the goals that made his performance notable on an afternoon which must mark a career high for him.

That said, he did use his pace to get beyond United right back Diogo Dalot in the twenty second minute to draw the foul which earned us that most rare of animals – an opposition penalty at the Stretford End.

Truth be told, after all of the recent accusations against match officials for a series of decisions that went against us, I reckon this was one to redress the balance somewhat – referee Jon Moss, who we had reason to be grateful to for the excellent advantage he played which allowed us to score the only goal in our win over Southampton in December, pointed to the spot after Mendez-Laing had taken an air shot as he tried to cross and I have to agree with the widely expressed view I heard after the match that it was doubtful if we would have got the decision if VAR had been in use.

Given that Bobby Decordova-Reid had netted from the spot against Bournemouth, it was a surprise to see Mendez-Laing step up to take the kick , but he kept a steady nerve in what must have been the most testing of circumstances to send DeGea the wrong way as he fired low to the keeper’s left.

The goal was a reward for an enterprising start by City who ended the first half with the most goal attempts, eleven, by any visiting side to Old Trafford this season. Now, I daresay that Neil Warnock’s selection and tactics would have been more conservative if there had still been a chance of us staying up, but by going with Josh Murphy on the other wing, Decordova-Reid as a kind of number ten and Kenneth Zohore up front, our manager came up with a quartet which caused what has been an unsteady Manchester United back line for much of this campaign plenty of problems.

For much of the time, Murphy played with an intelligence and style which made you think that there might just be a grain of truth in those stories linking him with Chelsea and he came close to scoring during our best spell of the game just before half time when DeGea had to turn over his shot from the edge of the penalty area.

Decordova-Reid, just as he had been against Palace, was sharp and inventive and may have had a goal himself when he shot just wide in the second half. As for the enigma that is Zohore, he didn’t set the world on fire and his two early shots were just what you would expect from someone with just one goal all season, but, again, there were more headers won than normal and he bullied both United centrebacks at times in the manner we saw from him during his golden period in 2017.

Although you may not have guessed it at times, our attacking quartet were up against defenders who are better than nearly all of those they will come across next season and, on this evidence, they looked like they would be a highly effective unit against Championship defences.

Now, it does need to be said that we lived dangerously at times and it was one of those afternoons when Manchester United probably ended up wondering how on earth they didn’t score. Luck was on City’s side when seventeen year old Mason Greenwood had a shot deflected a foot wide and then missed when unmarked some six yards out while the score was 0-0, but the latter effort would have gone in were it not for the intervention of City player of the season Neil Etheridge.

This was one of a string of fine saves made by the Philippines international (the best being to turn Greenwood’s efforts onto an upright shortly after we had taken the lead) who, like Mendez-Lange was performing in front of meagre crowds, this time with Walsall, only two years ago. Although it is a something of a commentary on City’s brief Premier League existence that their best player in both seasons has been their goalkeeper, Etheridge has really put himself right up there in any best ever Cardiff City free transfer debate with his performances over the past two seasons.

A word or two for our two central midfielders – if anyone still doubts what an influential and powerful presence Aron Gunnarsson has been in the past eight years at Cardiff, they need only look at the reaction of his team mates when he left the field for the last time in a City shirt on the hour mark to be replaced by Jazz Richards.

This isn’t meant as a dig at him, but the fact that Richards was part of a central midfield pairing which saw out the last half an hour fairly comfortably to secure a win at Old Trafford suggests that the other member of our pairing must have been doing well and I thought there was a quiet authority and poise to Leandro Bacuna which was, again, suggestive of someone who can be an influence in the Championship.

So, great credit to City for ending their season in a manner which I certainly didn’t see coming, but it does need to be said that, Etheridge’s heroics notwithstanding, you had to rub your eyes at times to make sure that the eleven individuals in red were really the same team that went to France and beat Paris Saint Germain in a manner which had some suggesting they could win the Champions League – Mourinho’s United team of the autumn were very ordinary, but Solskjaer’s side looked worse than that this afternoon.

It’s probably not fair on the man who is almost certainly Manchester United’s best player when he wants to be, but Paul Pogba showed exactly why he is such a divisive figure in the lead up to our second goal on fifty four minutes. There shouldn’t have been any danger to the home side when Lee Peltier took a throw in some thirty yards from the United goal, but Scott McTominay rashly dived in on Decordova-Reid to allow Josh Murphy to run into the penalty area in glorious isolation, go almost to the byeline and then calmly roll a cross over to Mendez-Laing on the far post who tapped in from about six yards out.

The reason Murphy was left to his own devices was that Pogba, who should have been marking him, just let him go as the throw in was taken. Whether he would have had the pace to keep up with a Murphy in full flight is debatable, but we never got the chance to judge because Pogba didn’t move more than five yards from his original position – he had no intention of tracking Murphy’s run – sorry, but I think that is criminal in the professional game, especially from such a high profile player.

United’s ordinariness or the end of season nature of proceedings should not distract from what has to be a serious contender for the most notable league away win by City since I started supporting the club fifty six years ago though. After nineteen consecutive defeats against the current top six, City have their first points since the 2-2 draw at Cardiff City Stadium in November 2013 and those three take us on to thirty four points – four more and two wins more than in 13/14 and enough to confirm that, for what it’s worth, the current side made a\ better fist of the top flight than the one from five years ago did.

With Manchester City’s title winning 4-1 win at Brighton meaning the Seagulls finished on thirty six points, we end the season knowing that one more win would have kept us up. With margins as fine as that, there is bound to be much discussion about what could and should have been, but, on here at least, I’ll leave that for another time for now.

Where City go from here is still very much up for debate because, although Vincent Tan indicated in the week that he wanted Neil Warnock to see out the final year of his contract, our manager did not confirm that he would do so when offered the chance to end the speculation in his pre match press conference.

With a meeting between the club’s hierarchy and manager taking place tomorrow to discuss the club’s plans for 2019/20, it seems our manager wants assurances as to what sort of budget he will have to work with.

Our manager claims we are a big club now and should act like one when it comes to transfer spending. Given my comment about “plucky little Cardiff City” last week, it goes without saying that I sympathise with our manager, but I do believe that there is more than just money for new players at issue here. There should be investment, which would not be great compared to what will be spent on new players, that would lead to improvements in the fields of youth development and player recruitment.

According to Neil Warnock, there is progress being made as far as the club having it’s own training ground goes, but, to be frank, I would prefer money earmarked for that to go towards bringing in someone who would prevent the situation Chairman Mehmet Dalman admitted to when he was interviewed just before the Palace game. Mr Dalman conceded that the club’s preparations for their return to the Premier League were not what they should have been – he said “I think we should have planned much, much more ahead than we have done. That’s something we have learned”.

Given the financial rewards for clubs competing in the Premier League every season and the boost the competition has had this week with four English clubs qualifying for the end of season UEFA tournament finals, that is a shocking admission which begs the question that, surely, we are not really in a situation where Neil Warnock does not know the sort of budget he will have to put together a squad which, hopefully, can take us back to the division we have just left.

I would suggest that our manager is, to some extent at least, indulging in some sabre rattling and is trying to wrest further commitments as to the ambition of the club. As is always the case at Cardiff these days, that depends very much on what Vincent Tan feels and, at the moment, it’s very hard to guess what our owner is thinking.

On the one hand, you have the man who has been concerned with cutting cloth accordingly and getting the wage bill down and on the other you have the one who has written off in the region of 80 million pounds of the debt the club owed him in recent years by converting it into equity (it’s also true to say that transfer spending in the past eighteen months has not been as low as it’s been made out to be by those who prefer to portray us as “plucky little Cardiff City”).

That conversion of debt to equity is suggestive of someone who is here for the long haul, yet there have been intermittent stories over the past year or so about our owner being willing to sell the club.

While I wouldn’t quite rule out our manager (who has said today was the last time he would ever manage in the Premier League, but he would like one more go at his ninth promotion) walking away from City sometime in the near future, it seems more likely now that he will stay than it did when it was confirmed we were going down.

I’d like to close by making a suggestion that the greatest influence today’s win might have is in the club’s Boardroom. If you go back five and a half years to the appointment of Ole Gunnar Solskjaer and to a few of the comments you heard around that time, it’s obvious that there are some Manchester United fans in our Boardroom (indeed, Mehmet Dalman brokered the deal which enabled the Glazer family to take control of the club) and I wonder if going to the home of the club they see as the example Cardiff City should aspire to and winning may whet a few appetites and get some people thinking that they want more of the same? Could those couple of Mendez-Laing goals have helped get Neil Warnock the sort of budget he is looking for?

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Posted in Down in the dugout, Out on the pitch, Up in the Boardroom | Tagged , , | 5 Comments