Neil Warnock sticks to his word, but his departure is still a shock.

So, it started against Bristol City and it ended against Bristol City.

I well remember Neil Warnock’s first game as Cardiff City manager, Bristol City at home in a Friday night televised game in front of what was a bumper crowd by the standards of that time of 22,776.

There was a different feeling in the ground that night – a club that had been stagnating after a relegation, a distinctly unpopular rebranding and boring, largely unsuccessful, football which had seen it drop to twenty third out of twenty four in the Championship seemed to have come alive all of a sudden.

Speaking for myself, I hadn’t enjoyed a game like I did that one for at least a couple of years – yes, beating the team I regard as our fiercest rivals helped, but it was a lot more than that and you only had to look at one man really for the reason why.

Neil Warnock galvanised a failing club in just ninety minutes that night. The honour of scoring the first goal of the Warnock era went to Peter Whittingham with one of those penalties that you just knew he would score, but, everything you knew about the new manager suggested that Whitts would not be his cup of tea. Although he hung around for the rest of the season and played a part in the climb up the table which followed, there was an inevitability about the departure during the following summer of the man who most personified a way of playing that would disappear from the team under the new boss.

It was the other scorer that night who characterised the new Cardiff. Sol Bamba’s goal, volleyed in from about a yard out following a corner, was typical of so many scored by the team under Warnock’s reign and immediately endeared the centreback to supporters , but it was the new man’s defending, leadership, anticipation and attitude which made him a magnificent signing – as was the other free agent signing making his debut that night, Junior Hoilett.

A goal by Lee Tomlin, who the City fans booed throughout for his willingness to go to ground, gave an in form Bristol the chance to get something from the game, but we were never going to give that one away and the atmosphere in the ground as the minutes ticked down was one of celebration, rather than the usual trepidation you get when City are 2-1 up with little time left.

I’d never been a Warnock fan mainly because of the style of play that he was associated with throughout most of his managerial career, but had noted that his QPR side which won the Championship title in 10/11 had been easier on the eye than most Warnock teams.

Indeed, as the new manager coaxed stellar performances out of Kenneth Zohore for a while, I found myself looking forward to home games again and, to my surprise I began enjoying watching a Cardiff City side managed by Neil Warnock play!

No matter what his reign came to signify for different fans, there can be no doubt that Neil Warnock’s crowning glory at Cardiff, the promotion to the Premier League in 17/18, was a superb achievement. Once again, some of the football played in the first month of that season especially was top drawer stuff as two more inspired free transfers signings, Nathaniel Mendez-Laing and Neil Etheridge were hugely impressive at either end of the pitch.

For me, the night we murdered a much hyped Leeds side in front of the Sky cameras and a crowd of 27,160 in September 2017 was the high water mark of Neil Warnock’s time here. We were excellent that night and the third goal tapped in by Zohore after a mesmerising stint of first time passing was all the proof you needed that football under Warnock didn’t have to be long balls, power and set pieces.

It would be wrong to say that it was downhill all the way after that night, but Zohore, who was so important to how we played then, suffered an injury and was never the same player for us again. The results were still coming, but where good teams were being blown away for a while, now they were ground down, mostly by attritional and functional football.

Promotion was still a hugely enjoyable experience though and much credit should always be given to manager, coaching staff and players for the way they held off a challenge from a side who were their polar opposites – the media darlings of Fulham.

With hindsight, May 2018 was the time when Neil Warnock should have left – I don’t think his reputation as a manager has ever been higher than it was then and he would have been hailed and remembered as a genius by Cardiff fans.

I was one of those who thought that our manager had earned the right to a full season at finally cracking the Premier League – although, in fairness, he probably never ever managed a club that was not considered to be among the favourites for relegation from the top flight.

Another relegation says that he failed again at First Division/Premier League level and a perception, that had begun in the January 2018 transfer window, that he was a superb spotter of free transfer bargains, but nowhere near as effective when the players concerned cost millions of pounds grew.

Of course, there was the £15 million signing which, perhaps, could have proved that theory wrong, but Emiliano Sala was never to kick a ball for the club as he fell victim to a tragedy that has cast a long shadow over the club throughout 2019 – even the most critical analyst has to concede that the awful loss of someone who was at the prime of both his life and his football career had a profound effect on what happened to City in 2018/19.

Yet, among all of the losses which always had City down as pundits’ favourites for the drop, there were games when established Premier League sides were beaten in a comprehensive manner which the club’s previous Premier League team were never able to match.

They didn’t show it enough, but I can’t help thinking that maybe a bit more self belief, as opposed to the feeling that was often portrayed that a club like Cardiff should feel honoured to be playing at such a level, could have seen us picking up that extra win or two which would have made all of the difference – more positivity from the manager at already relegated Fulham in April would surely have helped in that direction as well.

This time it seemed to me that the time was right for Neil Warnock to step aside at the end of a season with his hero standing among so much of the fanbase still intact. Instead, what we got seemed wrong right from the start as the manager announced that 19/20 would be his last season in management as he hinted that he might decide to leave early around Christmas time if the expected promotion challenge was not forthcoming.

Worse for me though was a set of transfer deals which screamed out that we would be seeing a version of what became known as Warnockball at its most basic and this in a division which had seemed to embrace a more technical, pacey, flexible and modern game during our season away from it.

For all of the talk of us competing against larger clubs with larger budgets, City were one of the biggest spenders in the Championship during the summer transfer window and, although Curtis Nelson has dropped one or two hints that he might be another very good free transfer signing in the last couple of matches, I think it’s fair to say that none of the big money signings can be classed as total successes so far.

The blueprint for the way the season has gone was set at Wigan on the opening day – “ponderous” was the word which summed up our performance that day for me and, to be honest, it’s a description which could be applied to most of the others since then as well.

Neil Warnock has seemed powerless to alter the downbeat nature of the campaign in its first three months as well and, for me, his final three matches in charge illustrated a big difference between the end and the beginning of the Warnock era.

Just think back to October 2016 and that Bristol City game – the team were lifted straight away to a new level of belief and commitment and the support soon latched on to that. Contrast that to the Swansea, Birmingham and Bristol City matches though and what comes across to me is how poorly we started each game – it was as if the motivator had lost the knack and you have to wonder if this may have been at least partially down to what happened on that flight from Nantes to Cardiff on a Monday night back in January.

Anyway, I sense that I’m getting more critical of our manager and I don’t want to do that. I certainly have been more prepared to knock our former manager on here this season, but tonight that should be for a future piece, I want this to be more of a recognition of the good things, and there were many, that Neil Warnock did for Cardiff City.

He’s definitely up there as one of the best managers I’ve seen at the club and I thank him for that while wishing him a happy retirement – although I wouldn’t rule out the possibility of him popping up again sometime in the future to turn around the fortunes of another failing club!

Posted in Down in the dugout | Tagged | 22 Comments

Two derby defeats in a fortnight as Cardiff City remain mired in mid table mediocrity.

My immediate reaction to Cardiff City going behind to the solitary goal that cost us our unbeaten home record today as Bristol City helped to push a top six place further into the distance from us was that we were very unfortunate to be trailing.

When you consider that we hit the woodwork three times and the wurzels’ goal came from one of only two on target efforts they had all game, then it’s tempting to stick to that line of thinking, but, in truth, by defending efficiently and being organised when we had the ball (and, believe it or not, we has 52 per cent possession today), Bristol did to us what we did to many Championship sides two years ago.

According to the BBC website report, Aden Flint shouldered a second half effort from a Marlon Pack corner on to the bar, but I must admit that one passed me by, so, as I was leaving the ground, I could only point to two moments of quality completely out of keeping with most of what we produced going forward to justify my thinking that we were robbed somehow – long distance shots from Junior Hoilett and Leandro Bacuna that both struck the crossbar with the first of those efforts especially being goal of the season material if it had gone in.

Unfortunately, Bristol came up with a goal of the season contender of their own as Josh Brownhill’s twenty five yard effort flew past Neil Etheridge in the sixty seventh minute. When a goalkeeper is beaten from that range and the ball ends up some way from the corners of the net then there is a temptation to believe that it should have been saved, but, having seen the goal in Sky’s video’s highlights of the game, I believe the scorer should be praised rather than the goalkeeper blamed.

Anyone who who missed watching the game live may feel that whoever put the highlights package together was being a bit unfair in restricting it to just four pieces of action (one of which hardly qualifies as a moment when the Bristol goal was really under threat), but, believe me, there was not a great deal worth recording besides that.

There’s the effort with Flint’s shoulder I mentioned earlier of course and Andreas Weimann forced a diving save from Etheridge shortly after the goal with the visitor’s only other on goal effort, but, apart from that, it was all about good defensive blocks and wayward finishing really – that fairly routine save by Etheridge mentioned above was probably the best one of the game.

Looking at the match from a purely Cardiff point of view, if last week’s against the odds win over Birmingham could be seen as a step ot two forward, then today marked a backwards movement by at least the same amount.

That possession figure mentioned at the start of this piece was both a novelty and a concern. A novelty because that 52 per cent is the highest amount of possession of the ball we’ve had all season (only at Hull, where we had one per cent less have we had over 50 per cent possession) and a concern because it rather brought home how little we can create when we have the sort of share of the ball that people like me would like to see us having week in, week out.

I’ve touched on this subject before, but, for me, today ended up being an illustration of how hard it is for this squad, put together at great expense, by Neil Warnock to create chances from open play.

Firstly, there is an insistence on playing with two wingers which means that what could be described as an attacking 4-3-3 (I think in reality it’s a 4-2-3-1) still has a single out and out striker who usually has no blue shirts within at least ten yards of him when he receives the ball – it should also be said at this point that the poor positioning of those wingers when crosses come in from the opposite flank offers another reason for our lack of potency from open play.

Depending on who the third man is for us in central midfield, we play with three or four who could be regarded as primarily attacking players. For example, last week we had three because Joe Ralls was the third man and today we had four with the third man being Lee Tomlin because of Joe missing out through injury.

Obviously, the fact that we scored four last week and none this week shows that it isn’t as straightforward as just picking four attacking players rather than three, but, in essence the attacking four today were greatly reliant on the service they received from those behind them.

Well, with us making another of our all too frequent cautious home starts which see us setting up like an away side by allowing our opponents on to us, one of those pitch maps showing areas where certain players touch the ball would have had less than ten lit up if it had been trained on our front four over the first quarter of the match and none of them would have been within reasonable distance of the Bristol goal!

Okay, I accept I’m taking a bit of what is called artistic licence there, but it does illustrate the problem we seem to have in moving the ball up the pitch while keeping it under some sort of control.

I heard some analyst saying yesterday that the thing which impresses him most about Frank Lampard’s young Chelsea side this season is that they are playing attractive, passing football despite their first instinct always being to move the ball forward.

It goes without saying that we do not have the quality available to us that Chelsea do, but the point I want to make is that this strikes me as not a very easy thing to do and when a team with as many players in the side who are not comfortable in possession as we have try to pass, as opposed to hoof, the ball forward, it really does bring home how hard it is to do.

With our fifty two per cent possession today, we were less direct than usual, but all that this tended to show is that we would probably need a pretty radical overhaul if any new manager came in and tried to alter the way we play.

However, if we do have a dearth of real creativity in the middle of the park, I’ll repeat something I said a week or two ago on here in that I don’t think their task is made any easier by the lack of good and instinctive attacking movement in front of them.

With today’s front four, Junior Hoilett again stood out for me as the only one you can consistently rely on to produce quality crossing, passing and shooting – especially at this level. For all that the fans are on his side, Lee Tomlin really needs to get on the ball more than he does when he starts matches for us – the way he tracked back today to mop up what looked like a dangerous Bristol counter attack just before he was subbed illustrates his attitude is good this season, but a way has to be found to make him more influential.

Sadly, although we know he can be devastating and unplayable at times, especially at this level, Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is too hit and miss (a criticism I feel could be aimed at both Gavin Whyte and Josh Murphy as well this season).

As for Omar Bogle, he’s a trier and he has shown he can finish, but I thought he struggled badly today. What needs to be said though when it comes to anyone who plays central striker for us is that it’s a truly thankless task under this manager.

Back all of this up with a defence which is struggling at this level more than i expected it to (although the composed Curtis Nelson again looked at home at Championship level today) and it has to be said that we are looking a long way off top six standard at the moment.

The Warnock way worked two years ago despite many of the imperfections that people are picking up on now, but it’s beginning to look like it might have been a time and place thing. I think the Championship is that sort of league in that it has so many sides that are very similar to each other in terms of quality and this means that almost any side can sustain a promotion challenge if they get the sort of early momentum that we managed in 17/18 behind them.

We would have won that game today two seasons ago – in fact, the home match against the wurzels that year was quite similar to today’s in ,lots of ways except we found a way to score a goal, which was much scruffier than the one which won today’s game.

Two years ago, our front four were coming up with moments of individual magic which could turn games in our favour, now, we still see them from time to time but they are much fewer than they were. We’re also not as much of a threat from dead ball situations as we were , so, although twenty three goals from sixteen games is not a bad return really when you consider these factors, it’s also true to say that our much worse goals against record means that we need to be scoring at above 17/18 levels if we are to starting climbing the table.

Great goal though it was, if Brownhill had hit exactly the same shot two seasons ago, would there have been a Sol Bamba or Aron Gunnarsson busting a gut to get a successful block in? I think there might well have been because 17/18 was our time and our place – we’ve played sixteen games now and, apart perhaps from last week against Birmingham, 19/20 has never felt like it was our time and place again.

We are currently in fourteenth position with five wins and five defeats, we’ve scored and conceded the same number of goals and we lie seven points outside the top six and eight points above the bottom three.

We’re almost as mid table as it’s possible to get and while, as a recently relegated club, it is natural that we concern ourselves more with debating how we can make up the ground on those above us, the truth is that, based on our general level of performance over the past three months or so, our current position flatters us a little.

Yes, we may or may not been unlucky today, but can anyone really argue in all honesty that our performances in our first seven home matches merited us taking seventeen points out of a possible twenty one?

We’ve got three matches left this month. Ordinarily, you’d like to think that we could go to a Charlton side now finding life more of a struggle after an excellent start to their campaign and win. Similarly, we have a brilliant record against Nottingham Forest in recent seasons, so three points there would be a realistic target as well, but the reality is that with only four points from a possible twenty four on our travels this season, we can’t go anywhere in this division with an expectation of winning – realistically, two points would be a good return from those games given how we’re performing away from home.

Stoke visit Cardiff City Stadium in our remaining November home match and, with a respected new manager in place and a squad which, on paper at least, looks way too good for their current league position, I’m certainly not counting any chickens there.

It;s hard to see us being much more than the mediocre mid tablers that we are now going into December, so would we then be in a position where Neil Warnock’s pre season talk about maybe looking at things again if we’re not threatening the top six come Christmas begins to apply?

If it does, then I suspect any ending of our manager’s tenure at the club would be prompted by the man himself, because the silence from the Boardroom regarding what they have to see as a disappointing outcome so far this season is deafening.

With Blaenhrhondda and Ton Pentre’s matches falling victim to the weather, I only have the Under 18s match at Colchester yesterday morning to comment on and the Academy lads were able to end their run without a win with a big, rugby like, scoreline. Keiron Evans with two, Siyabonga Ligendza, Josh Rippon, Isaak Davies, Sam Parsons and James Crole all finding the net in a 7-3 victory.

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Posted in Out on the pitch, The kids. | Tagged , | 8 Comments