Highly dubious penalty decisions count for nothing as Wales have to settle for the Play Offs.

It’s just as well Croatia rendered the outcome of tonight’s Wales v Turkey game at Cardiff City useless by beating Armenia 1-0 in Zagreb to ensure their qualification for the 2024  Euros because if they hadn’t managed that single goal, Turkey 2023, could have been added to Scotland at Anfield 1977 and Ninian Park 1985 and Romania at the National Stadium in 1993 as occasions where penalty kicks have haunted Wales on nights when qualifications for the latter stages of major tournaments were on offer.

If it were not for Ante Budimir’s forty third minute goal which gave the Croats the win they needed, Matej Jug of Slovenia would have joined Robert Wurtz of France, whose absolute howler of a decision when he awarded Scotland a penalty after their striker Joe Jordan punched a long throw in into the Welsh area, and Dutchman Dan Keizer who awarded the Scots another well dodgy penalty after what was a clear case of ball to hand, in a refereeing Hall of Shame of officials who had thwarted Wales with their ineptitude.

Therefore, I’ll try not to take up too much time running down Mr Jug, but it’s hard not to be critical of someone who, in the first half, showed a marked reluctance to point to the penalty spot in favour of Wales but, in the second half, seemed only too willing to do so in Turkey’s favour.

Wales had three shouts for a penalty, two of them involving Brennan Johnson. I was critical of Johnson for his anonymous showing in Armenia on Saturday, but he was much better here and was one of the stars of a dominant first forty minutes or so from Wales which, at times, matched the intensity and quality which proved too much for Croatia last month.

The first penalty claim involved Harry Wilson, but the first of the pair of possible fouls on Johnson was the stronger shout for me. The Spurs striker was caught by a needless tackle by Samat Akaydin close to the bye line and it fell into the I’ve seen them given category, but the Turkish defender did make contact with the ball and so I could just about see why no penalty was given.

However, when Akaydin came through the back of Johnson a few minutes later with an even more rash challenge, it seemed a stonewall penalty and I can only assume the referee’s view was blocked, because there’s no other reason I can think of why he decided not to point to the spot.

Wales were 1-0 up at the time of all three incidents and they needed the security of a second goal while a rattled looking and undisciplined Turkish side were very much second best.

Eventually, Turkey were able to start playing the sort of football that won the group for them, as well as a 3-2 triumph in Germany on Friday, and the five minutes leading to half time saw them pushing Wales back for the first time.

The second half saw the visitors continue their improvement as Wales could not recapture the fervour, urgency and no little quality that had carried them through the opening stages of the game. Turkey were the more likely goalscorers through the second period , but they still needed considerable help from Mr Jug to come up with an equaliser as, like so many of their longer passes into the Welsh box, an over hit ball was on its way through to Danny Ward. There was no chance of Kenan Yildiz reaching it, but he went down under the slightest of touches from Ben Davies and a penalty was given.

Turkey’s improvement could be more or less traced back to the moment that Yusuf Yaziki was introduced as a first half tactical substitute and it was he who calmly sent Ward the wrong way to level things up.

Spectators and viewers could be forgiven for thinking VAR was not being used on the night, but the various errors were compounded by the fact that it was available, but the officials in charge of it decided to sit on their hands all through the game. While it’s arguable whether VAR would have intervened in the penalty Turkey were given because it involved a decision to award one because of a harsh interpretation of the laws by the referee, the second foul (it was undoubtedly a foul) on Johnson was the sort of case VAR was brought into being for – it was so obviously a clear error by the on pitch official.

Wales’ goal had arrived as early as the seventh minute when Harry Wilson’s good pass found Neco Williams who drove in from the left to steer a calm and accurate right foot shot from twenty yards well beyond keeper Cakir (who had to go off injured after thirty five minutes) and into the corner of the net.

Wales spent the next half an hour or so well on top, but there wasn’t really that much goalmouth action to show for it and it was more the regular penalty shouts that were a measure of the home side’s superiority.

Indeed, Wales probably came closer to scoring again in two second half incidents which, first, saw Johnson’s fine angled shot turned aside by replacement keeper Bayindir and, second, the same player’s late goal ruled out by a close, but correct, offside decision.

Wales now go into the Play Offs in March where they’ll be home to one of Iceland, Finland or Ukraine with a final then against Poland or Estonian five days later if they win with the venue to be decided in a draw in Switzerland on Thursday. I’d give us a decent chance of beating Iceland or Finland, but I’m not so sure about Ukraine after we used up more than our fair share of luck in beating them in the game which secured World Cup qualification. Poland are not the team they were, but would fancy their chances against us home and away, while Estonia have shown that they are hardly minnows when we’ve played them in the past, but a failure to beat them with a place in the Finals at stake would, surely, see the end of Robert Page’s time as manager of his country..

At age group levels, Wales under 21s played better in losing to group number one seeds Denmark at Rodney Parade on Monday than they did in beating Iceland at the same venue a few days earlier.

Maybe another draw between the teams to match their opening fixture in the group would have been a just outcome, but the Danes scored in the first five and last five minutes to win before Cian Ashford, on as a sub, replied for Wales with the last kick of the game after the Danish keeper had done well to keep out Rubin Colwill’s free kick. Colwill was only a sub and he was introduced as one of three half time changes by Matthew Jones that saw Eli King being one of those withdrawn.

At under 17 level, Welsh qualification for the next stage of the latest Euros was secured by a 4-0 win over Gibraltar at Leckwith earlier today. From City’s dominance of the under 17 squad which competed in the Finals earlier this year, they only have two squad members this time around for the current qualification process – Jac Thomas and Ronan Kpakio.

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Listless and nervy Wales fluff their lines badly in Armenia as the Play Offs loom.

A month ago, Wales came up with one of their greatest performances in this era which has to be seen as the best in the nation’s history to beat Croatia 2-1 at Cardiff City Stadium to put qualification in their group in their own hands. Yes, Armenia away and Turkey at home would be a tough climax to the group, but six points and we’d be through.

So, a 1-1 draw in Armenia in the first of the matches has to be seen as a disappointment, but, more than the result, it was the nature of the performance which was not only a surprise, but a real deflating experience as well.

Armenia showed in deservedly winning 4-2 in Cardiff in June that they were far from mugs, and they were definite contenders for a top two finish themselves until a run of disappointing results this autumn. However, they did know that a win today and an unlikely win in Croatia on Tuesday could see them scraping into the runners up spot, so it was hardly as if Wales were facing a side with nothing to play for.

Nevertheless, it was the flat, lethargic and one paced nature of the Welsh performance in the second half in particular that so disappointed. After making a bad start which saw them concede from a set piece in just five minutes, they got back into things with a bizarre own goal in first half injury time and, having improved slowly through the forty five minutes, you had to think that the momentum was with them at half time.

Instead, it was almost as if Wales thought they only needed a draw to qualify such was the lack of enterprise, verve and intensity shown for much of the second period. A penny seemed to drop with about fifteen minutes left and Wales did step up the attacking intent, but all it did in truth was show the paucity of ability, technique and invention in a team which had shown all three of those qualities, and plenty more, in their previous game.

In the end, Wales were distinctly lucky to get the draw as Armenia did everything but score in those closing minutes when their opponent’s limitations were plain to see – I’m afraid it looked very much like nerves got to too many of the Welsh side.

I think it’s inevitable that the pressure will intensify on Rob Page in the days leading up to the game with Turkey on Tuesday. My own view though is that the Croatia win will mean that the manager stays in place until the Play Offs in March at least.

Wales were already making unforced errors before they conceded from a corner on five minutes as Joe Rodon’s header lacked authority and power and merely made it to the edge of the penalty area where Lucas Zelarayan was able to avoid a couple of half hearted challenges and fire an impressive low shot past Danny Ward for his third goal against Wales in two games.

The goal appeared to throw the hosts into a cautious frame of mind as they conceded territory and possession to Wales who did little to make them think they would be handing back their lead any time soon.

David Brooks did fire not too far over the bar straight after the goal, but there was little to suggest an equaliser until Wales produced what was by far their best piece of football in the game as David Brooks’ superb pass opened up the defence for Neco Williams to feed Harry Wilson whose left footer from twenty yards was superbly tipped around the post by goalkeeper Ognjen Cancarevic. If Wilson’s shot had been a foot higher, I don’t think the keeper would have been able to save it, but as it turned out, it was the Fulham player’s only meaningful contribution after his heroics against Croatia and with Brooks withdrawn after just fifty minutes, the pair who were, arguably, our best players against the Croats had little influence today.

Wales did improve a little from the half an hour mark onwards during the first half, but, although the TV commentary team remained convinced we were bossing the game, I saw little evidence of that and it was a pleasant surprise to see home left wing back Nair Tiknizyan nod Connor Roberts’ long throw into his own net under pressure from Rodon.

Completely mistakenly as it turns out, I thought a fortunate equaliser would lead to a big improvement in our play in the second period, the momentum was now surely with us and, with the  Armenians needing to come out and chase a goal again, I thought the situation was made for the speed merchants, and the in form, Nathan Broadhead, to come off the bench and cash in on the open spaces left by the home side.

It just didn’t turn out like that though – I think I’m right in saying that Brennan Johnson is the second most expensive Welsh footballer ever after Gareth Bale, but, increasingly, I’m afraid, I’m coming around to the view that there must be two Brennan Johnson’s, one of whom only plays club football and another who only plays international football for Wales because it’s becoming more and more hard to believe it’s the same player.

Dan James came on for Wilson, but found himself playing wing back when Page brought Broadhead on for Connor Roberts as Wales became more and more anxious. The midfield of Ethan Ampadu and Jordan James, so impressive last time out, were pretty anonymous here, although the latter did get a decent shot away to test Cancarevic again – the keeper had a tendency to beat out shots/headers in front of him, as he did with later efforts by Kieffer Moore and James I think it was, but there was never anyone on hand to take advantage of this weakness.

Ampadu had a decent headed chance late on which he put straight at the keeper, but while we were failing to come up with anything that really endangered the home goal, Armenia were hitting the underside of the bar through Bichakchyan, Ward was making a superb late save to deny sub Edgar Sevikyan and there were numerous examples where just a touch more composure had to result in Armenian goals.

As I write this, Croatia are 2-0 ahead in Latvia at half time and it looks like Wales have lost their chance to finish second. Frustrating though today has been, it must be said that the level of our play throughout the campaign so far marks us down as the third, or maybe even fourth, best side in the section – maybe both team and supporters have become too used to having a Bale or Ramsey to come up with a moment of magic or Joe Allen to knit things together in the middle of the park because, more than anything else, today was a reminder of how much these three greats are missed.

Thursday saw a better result for Wales under 21s who overtook Iceland as qualification group leaders by beating them 1-0 at Rodney Parade. In truth, Wales were somewhat lucky to win against opponents who had an equaliser controversially ruled out for handball, but the way Wales defended with ten men after Swansea striker on loan at Port Vale, Josh Thomas, was rightly sent off was impressive.

Thomas’ dismissal with half an hour left saw Rubin Colwill left to plough a lone, very isolated, furrow up front for twenty minutes as he was reduced to doing only the sort of work off the ball that Erol Bulut wanted to see more of from him. Rubin had not been able to influence what had been a tight affair much when he was playing a number ten type role supporting Thomas, but he did show flashes of his ability in a game where it was the defensive players in red who tended to take the eye.

Two of them combined for the decisive goal on the half an hour mark when City’s Tom Davies, who has been getting some game time on loan at Kilmarnock this season, put over a lovely first time cross that just demanded to be headed in and Joe Low did the necessary with a firm nod of his head from about eight yards range.

Sadly,there was no appearance for Cian Ashford after his great injury time equaliser in the Czech Republic last month, but that was understandable given how the match panned out. Eli King did come on for the last quarter of an hour or so though and was able to play a full part in the Welsh defensive effort.

Wales now play number one seeds Denmark at the same venue on Tuesday I think it is – I’d say their two most recent performances make a win unlikely, but, if it could be done, they would be in a strong position to finish top of the group and qualify for the Finas as of right.

It was 1-0 as well for Wales’ under 17 team as they beat Belgium to take charge of a group which has lost one of the original four teams meant to contest i. Israel had to drop out for obvious reasons and so, with Belgium having already beaten them 4-0, we only need a point against Gibraltar to top the group – the ninety first minute goal we scored to beat the Belgians is shaping up to be the decisive one in the group.

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