Why do we get so many penalties?

CoymayI must admit that I was prepared to view last season as a one off when it came to the huge number of penalties we were awarded, but with us having been awarded a further three of them in our first four competitive matches this time around, maybe there is more to this than first meets the eye and it is not just down to coincidence.

Before trying to come up with some sort of answer as to why we do so well on the penalty front, it might be worth just listing the ones we have been awarded since the start of last season. Trying my hardest not to be too biased,  I will put an * alongside the ones that seemed dodgy to me at first viewing (after all, the match officials only get the one look at the incidents which result in the penalty award).

08/09

Norwich (h) – foul on McCormack

MK Dons (h) – foul on Scimeca

Derby (a) – foul on Ledley

Coventry (h) – foul on Ledley

Watford (a) – foul on Whittingham

Forest (a) – foul on McPhail

Palace (h) – foul on Chopra*

Palace (h) – foul on Eddie Johnson

Reading (h) – foul on Chopra

Swansea (a) – foul on Chopra*

Preston (h) – foul on Bothroyd

Sheffield W (h) – foul on Ledley

Watford (h) – handball

Swansea (h) – foul on McCormack*

Palace (a) – foul on Ledley

Preston (a) – foul on Ledley

Ipswich (h) – foul on Roger Johnson

09/10

Scunthorpe (h) – foul on Burke

Dagenham and Redbridge (h) – foul on Bothroyd

Plymouth (a) – foul on Burke.

So that breaks down as –

Fouls on

Ledley 5

Chopra 3

Bothroyd 2

McCormack 2

Burke 2

Scimeca 1

Whittingham 1

McPhail 1

Eddie Johnson 1

Roger Johnson 1

Handball 1

Penalties awarded in first half 7

in second half 13

Penalties awarded at home 13

Away 7

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In 56 competitive matches since the start of last season we have been awarded a total of 20 penalties which means that on Sunday, for example, there is a 36% chance that we will get a penalty given to us. Now, to me, that seems a far higher percentage than at other clubs (indeed, there are some clubs who go a whole season without being awarded one), so why should that be?

Well first, I would say the figures tend to bear out what many would have suspected anyway;-

1. You are more likely to get penalties awarded in the second half as defenders tire.

2. You are more likely to get penalties awarded at home than away – that said City have been awarded seven penalties in twenty eight away matches in the last year or so and 25% is a very high rate for an away team getting spot kicks.

However, both of those points are not really addressing why City get so many spot kicks. One thing that needs to be said is that the three players at the top of the list for being fouled in the penalty area are certainly not averse to going to ground at the slightest contact, but I can’t help thinking that to believe that players at any side don’t sometimes fall when they feel contact in the penalty is naive and out of date – they all do it, it just appears that we are better at doing it than others!

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Interestingly, the player at the top of that list Joe Ledley wins more free kicks than any City player in recent memory in my opinion and, although, as mentioned previously, Joe does tend to fall over very easily, most of the free kicks and penalties he gains for us seem to be correct decisions to me. Joe doesn’t possess searing pace and, although he can beat players one on one, he isn’t what you would call a great dribbler of the ball, but he does have a knack of just getting a foot to the ball when you don’t expect it and I think it is this that wins him so many decisions – so, I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see a dropping off of some sort in the number of penalties and free kicks we will get over the coming months if Joe leaves by the end of August!

Besides the Joe Ledley factor then, what else is it that gets us so many penalties? As mentioned previously. although you don’t like to admit it about your team, we do have a few players who go to ground easily, but, if we were earning penalties solely for what would later be shown to be diving, then I think the word would get around amongst officials and our penalty count would soon dry up.

I can’t help thinking that match officials go out onto the pitch for games involving us knowing that we have a number of players who have the ability, at Championship level anyway, to beat opposing players through skill (e.g. Chopra, McCormack, Whittingham, Burke, Ledley, McPhail and Routledge while he was here), though pace (e.g. Chopra, Burke and Routledge while he was here) and through sheer doggedness (e.g. Ledley). You notice that I haven’t mentioned Jay Bothroyd there, but I left him out just to point out that he is a lot more skilful than most six foot plus target men in this league and so he is another who can get penalties by bamboozling defenders with good technique – although I must add in Jay’s case, that I can’t help thinking that he is one player we have who referees look at a bit suspiciously and this can mean that sometimes we miss out on what should be penalties and free kicks and would be if any other City player was involved.

So, in the end, it’s hard to point at one specific thing and say that is why we get so many penalties, but, although I know I am biased, I would say that a lot of it has to do with the fact that we possess a lot of attacking players with above average ability for this division and match officials are fully aware of that!

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We’ve got our Chopra back!

CoymayLast season we had this player who scored a few goals and played well for us at times, but, as the campaign wore on he became less and less influential until, like so many others in the side, his impact on those last four matches was minimal. This season what appears to be that same player is still in the side, but he just can’t stop scoring – yes, after last night’s hat trick, I think it’s fair to say that we have Michael Chopra back and he is showing the form that made him a £5 million player in 2007.

Chopra’s goals last night ensured City went back to the top of the Championship (okay, tables don’t count for much at the moment, but I’ll just repeat that for anyone who missed it – that’s the top of the Championship!) with a 3-1 win at Plymouth achieved with side that lacked four members of their likely first choice starting eleven, was missing three other injured first team squad members, featured a seventeen year old kid making his first full appearance and had three teenagers without a single starting appearance in the first team on the bench.

Now I know that our squad needs reinforcing and it is true to say that there are harsher tests to come, but, given the number of players we had out, this was a very impressive result which tends to prove that, despite my fears before a ball was kicked, any reaction to what happened at the back end of last season has been a positive one so far.

Just as at Blackpool, we had to dig deep in the second half and I have read that we “rode our luck” at times after the break, but, by the sound of it, Plymouth were the ones doing that in a first period when we could have been ahead by far more than just the single goal and when the opposing manager says “But take nothing away from Cardiff. They are a better team than us and they are further down the road than us.”, then you know that any riding of luck on City’s part played a pretty minor role in the final outcome.

One thing that was very encouraging for me was to hear of the link up play in the first half especially between Chopra and Jay Bothroyd. It’s strange how things can go in football because before the season proper started eleven days ago, we had gone three matches without scoring, but now we have eleven goals from four competitive matches and I believe a lot of this is down to the close passing style that we seem to have adapted this season amongst our more forward thinking players. The Scunthorpe and Dagenham matches were notable for the way opposing defences struggled to cope with this approach and, besides the two already mentioned, players such as McCormack, Whittingham, Ledley and Burke are suited to this sort of game because they are talented enough (as well as being willing to go to ground enough!) to draw fouls from defenders when tackles are slightly mistimed.

Mention of Chris Burke brings me around to someone who I think can be a really big player for us this season. People say that Wayne Routledge would be some sort of missing piece in the jigsaw for us, but it seems to me that we have someone here already who compares pretty favourably to him – Burke may not be as quick as Routledge and probably won’t get as many goals as he would, but the way he drove at Plymouth defenders to earn the penalty last night and the way that he used skill to earn the one against Scunthorpe shows that we have a right winger who can be effective using a direct style or one which relies more on ball playing. Like many wide players, Burke can sometimes drift out of matches, but, if we can give him the service, I reckon we will have one of the better wing men in this league on our hands.

Whilst talking of individuals, I must say something about Adam Matthews. I get great enjoyment out of watching a player that I have seen at Academy level and thought “he’s got a chance” about break into the first team. In the case of Matthews mind, I can’t claim any great talent spotting ability on my part because, for the last season and a half or so, it’s been pretty obvious that he has more than a chance – he’s, nearly always, been the stand out City player for me in the Academy games I have watched. It’s only one game of course and I hope people don’t start calling him the new Aaron Ramsey and all that sort of crap, but, potentially, we do have a serious player on our hands and, although I am always reluctant to to say this sort of thing about a kid, I would not be too surprised to see him being considered to be the best attacking full back on our books by the end of this season.

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However, despite the contributions last night by the likes of Bothroyd, Burke and Matthews, I just have to finish by talking about Michael Chopra. Early season evidence strongly suggests that the heal injury we kept on hearing about was the cause of his substandard displays in April and May and that doubters like me were wrong to think that it might be down to his off field problems and a changed attitude having got his big money Premiership move.

Chopra admits himself that he is getting the rub of the green in front of goal at the moment, but the thing about him is that he knows that he is definitely good enough at this level to take advantage of that luck and get on a goalscoring roll which can take him well into this season. There are going to be dry spells over the next nine months of course, but, he has done enough already to have opposing teams have to draw up special plans to try and deal with him (would that really have been necessary at end of last season?) which, in turn, should provide a bit more space and time for others around him – the early indications are that, although another striker and central midfielder are a must in my book, we already have players who are good enough to take advantage when that happens.

*Originally published on 19 August 2009.

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