These “rabbits caught in the headlights” starts to away league games will get us relegated.

About half an hour into the game between Portsmouth and Cardiff City tonight at Fratton Park the commentary on the stream I was watching said that Cardiff had “weathered the storm’. Nothing could have been further from the truth – the fact was that they’d already lost the game courtesy of the sort of start that has become a habit in away league games lately and it’s a habit that will probably get us relegated if it continues through to May.

Portsmouth scored the goals which gave them a priceless 2-1 win in the first seventeen minutes as Cardiff once again started the game in wake us up in twenty minutes mode.

 If you go back to the Middlesbrough match in early January, we conceded there in eleven minutes, the game was little over a minute old at Millwall when we went one down and that lead was doubled in nineteen minutes. Then at Leeds, we were one down on six minutes and two behind on thirteen and now tonight goals in nine and seventeen minutes did for us.

So that’s seven conceded in four away games within the first twenty minutes – under those circumstances, we’ve done well to get a couple of draws out of these games.

Omer Riza and his coaching staff did well with their selection, tactical switches and substitutions at Stoke in the cup on Saturday, but tonight was another of those occasions where it looked to me as if they got things wrong and provided a bit more evidence to those who think we need to be looking for a new manager again come the end of the season or maybe even earlier.

For me, Rubin Colwill was never going to start after playing the whole of the two hours on Saturday and with Alex Robertson not in the squad, presumably due to injury, it looked like something of a cautious selection by Riza as Sivert Mannsverk started as the furthest forward of a midfield three that also featured Joe Ralls and Callum Chambers. Joel Bagan was at left back with Callum O’Dowda and Cian Ashford on the wings supporting Callum Robinson.

Portsmouth scored twice in the opening minutes of a recent home win over Stoke and, no doubt were aware of City’s slow starts to recent away games, so you’d expect them to come flying out of the traps using the direct style they’ve been favouring recently.

So, City really should have known what was coming and their selection rather suggested that they did, yet I’m not exaggerating when I say Portsmouth could have been five up in twenty minutes as City were simply swept aside like a rag doll on a beach in a strong tide 

I’d say that in those opening stages, all ten individual battles between outfield players were won by Portsmouth as, once again, you had to wonder about City’s stomach for the fight -.

The first goal stemmed directly from Ashford losing possession cheaply inside his own half, but others had to question whether they could have done better as Josh Murphy worked his way infield past two defenders to set up Colby Bishop who finished really well by taking a touch and then jabbing past Jak Alnwick from twelve yards.

City creaked and groaned like a rusty gate after that – Portsmouth were clearly up for the game whereas you had to wonder about us as we were being bullied all over the pitch.

We were struggling physically, but also mentally. For example, Murphy was left completely unmarked on the edge of the area from a corner and he drew Alnwick’s best save of the night (overall though, it was the keeper’s most jittery game of the season as the inferiority complex we’ve seen at the start of recent away games spread to our usually implacable keeper) when he turned the ball around for another in the series of corners the home side had during their aggressive start.

City couldn’t hold out though and it was so disappointing to see them undone, as they have been too many times this season, by a straightforward dead ball routine – this time a near post deliverty from another corner that was glanced in. by Connor Shaughnessy.

Honestly, at that stage it looked like City could be on for another Leeds type hiding, but Portsmouth, for all of their excellent recent home form are no Leeds even if they were well worth their win here.

City’s cause was helped by them scoring from their first worthwhile attack on twenty two minutes, neat footwork by Ashford set up the chance for Rinomhota to cross to the far post where O’Dowda rose above his marker to direct a firm header into the corner of the net.

From here until half time, City had their best spell of the game as their more precise passing game helped establish the closest we got to a period of dominance, but there weren’t really that many times when we looked like scoring – Bagan had a close range shot scrambled clear, Ashford couldn’t get a shot away when found in space by O’Dowda and there were two goals rightly disallowed.

However, there were reasons for hope at half time, City hadn’t weathered the storm, but they were troubling the home defence and they had the draw they got at Millwall under similar circumstances to give them heart.

Sadly, the second period turned out to be a bit of a damp squib as it became bitty and edgy. Having prospered to an extent when they got the ball down and played a bit, City forgot that as too many long, high and hopeful balls were pumped forward – we aren’t built to play in that manner anymore. Portsmouth were comfortable faced with this flawed approach and, although not carrying their earlier attacking threat, were again winning the physical battle.

Tactically, it seemed to me that City fell into the trap of getting a lot of flair players on to the pitch without having the numbers and ball winning capacity in midfield to give them the service they needed. Essentially, we ended up with a midfield two of Chambers and Colwill as we tried to play with a 4-2-4, but the service to subs El Ghazi, Alvez. and Salech as well as Robinson was never good enough and so the number of touches they got was limited and they were all pretty ineffective.

Robinson had a late chance to equalise which was blocked by home keeper Nicolas Schmid, but it was a frustrating night for our top scorer as he was caught offside too often and nothing really came off for him. Unfortunately Robinson was not alone in having a rough night – this was the sort of performance that serves as a reminder that we are in a real dogfight and we often look too flakey and lightweight to come through the challenge with our Championship status intact.

Like all struggling teams, we do not have enough reliable players – performance levels of too many of them vary dramatically and it was concerning to see two of our more reliable players this season, Alnwick and Goutas, struggle so much (although the latter did manage to clear off the line twice in a frantic late scramble which also saw the home side hit the woodwork, all because we committed the so basic error of letting a long punt downfield by the keeper bounce). Only Bagan and, to a lesser degree, Rinomhota, maintained their standards. Will Fish, in for the injured Jesper Daland, did pretty well and his partnership with Bagan on Saturday looked the most secure we’ve had at centreback in recent games.

There was some good news as the under 21s got back to winning ways in the league again by beating Swansea 2-1 at Leckwith this afternoon. Ir was an even encounter in which the under 21s looked some way short of the sort of team they were pre the mid season break, but a better second half allied with the quality of the goal which won the game meant that I felt they just about deserved their win.

City made a great start when Tanatswa Nyakhuwa headed in at the far post in just two minutes. The assist came as a result of a strong run and good cross by Isaac Jefferies, but City did not kick on from this, instead becoming careless and clumssy in possession and the winger was at fault a quarter of an hour later when his misplaced pass left the jacks with a two on one which they exploited well through Maliq Cadogan.

Swansea went on to edge the rest of the first half, although there were a few signs of City beginning to assert themselves in the minutes leading up to the break and they carried that momentum into the second period to score the winner on fifty minutes. The goal was down to two players, Nyakhuwa for a fine finish and Dylan Lawlor for opening up the visitors’ defence completely with a magnificent pass played through the middle as he brought the ball ourt from the back.

There has been a backlash against the concept of playing out from the back lately and not before time I say because it does seem to me that the number of goals conceded through it outweighs the number scored from it at most clubs, but when it works like it did here for Lawlor, it looks great.

I thought Lawlor was excellent, he has the physical attributes you want from a centreback, but he aslo has a poise and ability on the ball which marks him out as something different from most other young central defenders we’ve had coming through in recent years. Yes, I realise that shining at this level is one thing and looking as comfortable at senior level another completely, but Lawlor looked like someone who is ready for first team football in this game.

Also impressive was Nyakhuwa who still had much to do when he received Lawlor’s pass as he ran fifteen yards in possession before placing his shot past Kit Margetson. Goalkeeper Luke Armstrong then preserved City’s lead with some fine saves and I thought Will Spiers did well at right back before another win over the jacks was confirmed.

This meant a season’s double over Swansea for the under 21s and if you tally up all of the results against the jacks this season for our under 21s, 18s and 16s, as well as the senior team and women’s side our record reads

p 7 W 5 D 1 L 1

with the sole loss coming for the ladies, a defeat they got revenge for ten days again with a 1-0 win at Leckwith.

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4 Responses to These “rabbits caught in the headlights” starts to away league games will get us relegated.

  1. Dai Woosnam says:

    Thanks Paul, as ever.

    Observations re Fratton Park last night…

    Wales Online continue to astonish me with their player ratings. Mannsverk never MotM. We did not have one player worthy… although Bagan got close.

    I hope we are looking for a new manager NOW to bring us up from Div 1 next season: a man we can hire and start on June 1st.

    Where was Ramsey last night? Injured again? He is the 2020s equivalent of Darren ‘sicknote’ Anderton. The man is as rich as Croesus, and continuing to take this massive salary from Vincent is now bordering on the immoral.
    Biggest offender last night was surely Riza. Only a cockeyed optimist of a manager would decide to play to Portsmouth’s biggest strength at Fratton Park.

    All this season they have been pulling off unexpected home wins against superior opposition by surprising them with the ferocity of their forward press.
    So what does our manager do yesterday? Only decide to spend the whole 94 minutes of playing time not just his customary way of square and backwards… but going one rung further down the negativity ladder by involving our goalkeeper in one suicidal back-pass after another. Madness.

    Alnwick’s kicking is his strongest point, but like you say Paul, even he wilted under that pressure yesterday. Pressure we masochistically brought on ourselves… and Riza clearly allows this insanity.

    ~ What has Robinson got for a brain? How can one player be caught offside so many times every game he plays?

    ~ I was back as a youth again listening to the Pompey Chimes, when they licked us 5-0 and I travelled back to Cardiff General on the train with the team. Those chimes are a heck of a USP when it comes to ‘supporter chants’.
    ~~~~~~~~~~
    And watching the Man City game afterwards on Prime, I was delighted that Real Madrid won. I have had it up to here with Pep’s circus football. Constant risky square passes, and playing out from the back when they have an admittedly overrated goalkeeper who has only one real asset… the ability to take a proper goal kick and land the ball on a sixpence in the opponent’s third. Instead of which, he constantly puts pressure on himself and team by rolling the ball out. (I won’t trot out the definition of insanity cliché… but need to point out that a cliché is only a truth worn thin by constant use… but a ‘truth’ it remains.)

    And incidentally, lest someone say that the Madrid goal for 2-2 did not come from Ederson playing out from the back, I would counter with, ‘quite right, but it was the next worse thing: an apparent aimed longish pass to a teammate in the centre circle, and that pass was intercepted. I shouted at my TV… “take a proper goal kick! It ain’t called a goal KICK for nothing…”

    And as for the Madrid winner, this was also down to the City keeper, crazily running out to the edge of the penalty area. That said, what was Kovacic doing passing it backwards to Lewis? Especially since he had not got proper control of the ball. It should have gone into the stands.

    Gosh one feels sorry for Haaland. I know he scored goals in his first season like he was Dixie Dean reincarnated, but I’d swear to God he’d have scored even more were he in the Liverpool team, then under Klopp. It is criminal how Haaland’s talents are wasted.

    But back to our own ‘City’… how we could have done with a Haaland this season. Robinson does not make the runs enough for my liking… but then he is not a centre forward.

    He needs Salech as the front man, and him playing in the pocket (he won’t be caught offside so much then, one hopes!)

    Like you said Paul, Goutas had a shaky game last night, and he clearly misses McGuinness. Fish looks like he is Division One standard… just like Daland. That central defence deficiency is what will relegate us… that, and a negative manager allowing Ashford to be facing the wrong way when he mis-controlled the ball in the 9th minute to give them their opener. That ball to him should have been played up the touchline alright, but over his head to take out his marker and for Ashford (now facing the right way) to run on to. Elementary stuff.

    As I said at the start, I hope we are currently busy looking for a manager to come in for June 1st. I fancy Man City will be… but alas we don’t have anything like the money needed to attract the deeply impressive and ‘attack thinking’ Andoni Iraola… but even Man City may be beaten to the punch there by Daniel Levy.

    TTFN,
    Dai.

  2. ANTHONY MOR O'BRIEN says:

    Good Morning,
    If our goalkeeper will – or can’t – use his right leg when needed, when Ralls always loops the ball from corners, when players hoof the ball into the sky in wasted hope (or are frightened}, when there is a 3 million six-foot three genuine centre-forward left on the bench, when our chief goal-winner is really (to use an ancient word) an inside forward, if players are manifestly in the wrong selection, if no-one be creative, if speed has become wasted, etc, etc. we are doomed, Mr Mannering. Call for Trump or his hidden brother somewhere..

  3. Billy Bob says:

    I have to say, you give the best overall summary of all Cardiff City games. I have read your work from afar for decades now. Of course, we seem to agree on so many points that I am bound to feel that way. We apparently see the games in the same light for the most part. Cutting through the bias of the streaming commentators on the club stream and the emotion of the many website comments and articles. The worst reports and insights coming from the supposed professionals at WalesOnline. Anyway, enough to say thank-you for an always good read, sensible, intelligent and informed. I hope OR can find a way or there are three worse teams than us entering the final stages of the season.

  4. The other Bob Wilson says:

    Apologies to all, I’ve just typed a long reply to your messages and, through my own mistake, lost it in the internet ether for ever! So, with me having to go out shortly, I’ll just welcome Billy Bob to the forum and thank him for his very kind comments, say nice to hear from you again Anthony and thanks Dai for a typically thought provoking response. As for our manager, I typed an awful lot about him just now, but I’ll try to summarise it by saying that I’m still undecided about him – for me, he can be innovative tactically and his decisions have at times got us something out of games we were on the way to losing. However there have also been mistakes which have cost us points and he still hasn’t mastered how to get a squad which I’m pretty sure want him to stay in the job to show that in their performances, especially when they play fellow strugglers away from home. Barring a dramatic and totally unexpected change of attitude from the players, I’ve given up on next weekend’s trip to Plymouth already.

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