All of a sudden, it’s a crisis for Cardiff City – according to some at least.

I may have mentioned before on here that my idea of a good football pundit among the what seems thousands of ex players employed in that role by various media outlets is the one who says something which makes you think, he’s right (actually make that he or she’s right because there were one or two good female pundits used during the World Cup), I didn’t think of that.

Although I didn’t believe he was quite at his best in the World Cup when he was loaned out to ITV, Gary Neville of Sky is the pundit that does that most often for me, but there are others who are well worth listening to. Then, at the other end of the spectrum, you get someone like Chris Sutton, who soon has me pressing the mute button on my remote control or turning the radio off – I did manage a whole five minutes of him once, but never again.

That said, I should really give Sutton more of a chance I suppose, because, for reasons explained above, my actual experience of listening to him isn’t that great. However, the little I have heard is, almost wholly, based on the maxim “lets just be controversial and hope those listening are put off from noticing that I do not have anything worthwhile to say”.

Sutton was running true to form on the opening day of this season when, not only did he say Cardiff were certs for relegation, he also predicted that we would finish up with less points than the Derby County team of 2007/08 which managed to win just the one game while compiling a meagre eleven points.

Unless City give me the opportunity to point out to Mr Sutton that we have avoided relegation by getting something like twenty five points more than he thought we would, my plan is never to mention his prediction on here again after this piece.

However, after watching City’s 5-0 home thrashing by Champions Manchester City today, I must admit to fleeting moments of thinking maybe Sutton has got it right this time – there were certainly times during the game when another ten points this season seemed a long, long way away.

After today, only Huddersfield are below us in the table with the reason for that being C comes before H in the alphabet – Huddersfield’s goal difference being as bad as ours at minus eleven (far worse than the other eighteen clubs in the division, thus it already begins to look like we are, effectively, handing all but Huddersfield another point) mainly by dint of their 6-1 defeat at the Etihad by Man City in August.

So, the Champions had already shown that they were well capable of inflicting heavy defeats on some of the lower ranked clubs in the league, despite, for me, not really being at their 17/18 best so far.

A narrow 2-1 home win over Newcastle, a 1-1 draw at Wolves and even their 2-0 win at Arsenal on the opening weekend of the campaign all helped form a suspicion that this Man City team might follow the lead of their two other title winning sides in this decade who were both unable to back it up with another one in the following season.

A limp 2-1 home defeat by Lyon in their first Champions League match of the season on Tuesday only increased this suspicion, but it did also lead to quite a few City fans I talked with before the game sharing my feeling that we could be on for a thrashing from a team smarting from what was a very ordinary display when judged by the standards Man City have set themselves in recent years.

Sadly for City, that’s exactly what happened. After doing a pretty good job of containing opponents with an estimated collective transfer value some nineteen times more than ours, the floodgates opened to such an extent in the thirty second minute when Sergio Aguero scored, that City were like a boxer hanging desperately onto the ropes as the bell rings for the end of the round at half time, happy to get the chance to stagger back to their corner just the three goals down.

Man City were irresistible during this period and, although there was deserved praise for the way the crowd got right behind the team in the closing stages at 4-0 down and then as the final goal went in, it’s also true to say that the “is this is a library?” chant would not have been out of place from the away fans, such was the quiet that City fans had been reduced to as they watched their team being picked apart in the last fifteen minutes of the first half.

The fact that Man City could leave players such as Kompany, Stones, Silva, Mahrez and Jesus on the bench at a time when  they were missing, for example, DeBruyne and Mendy due to injury only empahsises the enormous gulf in resources between the Premier League’s biggest and smallest.

Although the Premier League has more “elite” clubs than the majority of European leagues, it is increasingly clear throughout the continent that the league titles are only ever going to be won by one of a small handful of clubs and so the have nots will have to get used to the idea of the haves coming to their ground every now and then and winning at a canter, much like Man City did today.

Therefore, if City were able to defy those pundits and establish themselves as, say,  a Crystal Palace type club capable of surviving at this level for five seasons or more, they would still have to accept that, every so often, they are going to get outclassed and heavily beaten, at home as well as away, by one the big boys.

So, in itself, a 5-0 home defeat by Manchester City is not a mortal blow to City’s survival hopes, but I’d still say that there were aspects of our afternoon of misery which offer genuine cause for concern – our opponents were good yesterday, but there were times when our ineptitude had as much, if not more, to do with their superiority as anything they were doing.

Post match, Neil Warnock, correctly, pointed out that games against the likes of Arsenal, Chelsea and Manchester City (as well as at Tottenham and Liverpool in October) are not the ones that will truly shape City’s season – far more relevant than our last three fixtures were our first three when Bournemouth, Newcastle and Huddersfield were the opposition.

Nevertheless, allowing our opponents to score from short corner routines like we did with their second goal and presenting them with the ball after we had won it in a position close to our goal, which the otherwise good Bruno Manga did for the final goal, only served to emphasise how quickly the defensive organisation, discipline and team work, which played such a large part in our promotion, has unraveled in the Premier League.

What was almost certainly the strongest part of the promotion side’s armoury is now looking rickety and disorganised. Sean Morrison may not have been directly culpable for any of the goals, but the man who in so many ways symbolised what made us a promotion team has been having a tough time of it in recent games and Joe Bennett and Sol Bamba were culpable last week when it came to the concession of goals – as was the latter against Arsenal.

Mention of Bennett and Bamba brings me on to another cause for concern. These two were on the bench today as Greg Cunningham came in as a direct replacement for Bennett at left back, while Lee Peltier (whose return for the first time since the defeat at Bournemouth was cut short after fifty minutes when he sustained what our manager believed was a dislocated shoulder injury which was likely to keep him out for months) was the other full back as Manga switched inside to centreback instead of Sol.

Given that they were both named as substitutes, there had to be an assumption that Bennett and Bamba were both fully fit or close to being that way, but the news coming out of the club tonight was that they had both suffered training ground knocks during the week.

So, it would seem that they were not considered fit enough to start, yet still they were selected as substitutes – in a squad where questions are being asked as to whether it is good enough in terms of quality, doesn’t such a state of affairs also make you think about squad depth as well?

Further up the pitch, we saw Harry Arter being used as a left winger – completely predictably, he struggled in a position which, it seems to me, he is wholly unsuited for, but one has to wonder, did he play there because there was no one else who could?

It’s only taken six games, but I heard the first “Warnock out” text read out on Rob Phillips’ phone in tonight – it did sound a little like a wind up mind. More worryingly, there was questioning of our manager’s tactics from some of the ex pros on the programme. From my own perspective, Arter the left winger was baffling – I agreed with Jason Perry I think is was who said that we really need to be using three central midfield players because the workload for a central two in a 4-4-2 or a 4-4-1-1 in a squad like ours is too great.

Having decided not to play with a front two in the Championship, it does seem odd that we are now using Bobby Decordova-Reid  (who increasingly to me looks like he has the speed, movement and work ethic to be effective at this level if only we could get more players closer to him) and Danny Ward pushed forward -albeit the former does become more of a number ten at times.

Unfortunately, City are finding themselves in that position which struggling teams become familiar with whereby the manager wishes for an extra player in his team – in our case. we need an extra body in central midfield, but that then leaves our target man striker isolated too much of the time.

So far, Neil Warnock’s efforts to solve this conundrum look both unconvincing and ineffective, but he has, surely, earned the right to more time to try and get things right – not playing one of the top six every week would be a help!

Before this afternoon’s match, I watched the Under 18’s in a game against Crystal Palace. Mercifully given the weather conditions, the game was the first one this season to played at Leckwith Athletics Stadium with its covered stand, but in a period where the results just aren’t coming at first team, Under 23 or Academy level, it was a second successive loss by a single goal for City as substitute Josh Ajayi’s 80th minute header won an entertaining encounter for Palace.

Although the visitors did their share of attacking and were denied at times by good work in the home goal by George Ratcliffe, City, missing the very influential Sion Spence again, could feel hard done by as a succession of saves by Luthera in the Palace goal kept them out. The keeper and his defensive team mates enjoyed the rub of the green at times in the way loose balls in dangerous areas always seemed to land in their favour and City were also left to rue the miss of the match around the half an hour mark when Luthera found himself out of his goal and helpless as Rubin Colwell showed great composure to neatly beat two opponents, but then, faced with just one outfield player on the goal line in front of him, shot over from about ten yards out.

The only thing I could slightly criticise City for was that they ran out of steam at around the seventy five minute mark and were never able to repeat the pleasing and pretty effective passing football that marked them out as slightly the better of two pretty strong sides until that late fade out – I suppose the difference was that Palace were able to score in the one period when they found themselves on top.

One other thing about this game, I don’t know if anyone remembers me remarking on the problems James Waite had with taking throw ins when he played left wing back in the Welsh Youth Cup Final with Swansea last May, but I saw someone who was worse at them than him today – Palace’s right back got done four times for foul throws and I must say both linesman were pretty charitable in their interpretations of what is legal throw in when watching him on quite a few other occasions as well!

Having kept dry for the Under 18 match, I then got soaked watching the last half an hour of the Under 16s game played nearby on an artificial pitch against the same opposition which, presumably, kicked off a good half an hour or more after the Under 18s game. I’m not sure what the final score was because I was told City were 1-0 up when I arrived by one person and that it was 2-0 by another. Suffice it to say what I do know is that I saw both sides score and so at least one City side ended up with a win, by either 2-1 or 3-1!

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Once again, my sincere thanks to those who have become patrons already, but its a case of the more the merrier as far as I’m concerned and please consider signing up if you enjoy reading this blog.

 

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9 Responses to All of a sudden, it’s a crisis for Cardiff City – according to some at least.

  1. Colin Phillips says:

    Thanks, Paul.

    Not surprised by the result but disappointed with the effort we put in, the list is long of those who had a poor game and possibly Manga is the only one who would be considered for a combined side for the day. Manchester City are miles better than us but whether it is down to squad weakness and injuries our line-up didn’t inspire hope and after a half-hour of dogged defence I turned to my daughter and said we had managed to get through the first quarter of the game without conceding – MY BIG MOUTH!!

    Aguerro did what Aguerro does and any hope and self-belief disappeared into a damp sky.

    Three down at half-time but with a Warnock ‘pep-talk’ at half-time I thought we might get a goal back and at least give CIT-EH something to think about but no, no fight and not a great deal of idea. They started taking the piss and we were ‘chasing’ around and never getting to them.

    I thought yesterday might have been the day for Neil trying something new and perhaps find out a few things about his squad. Anything he did find out wouldn’t have filled him with hope.

    At this stage of the season I tend to compare our results with those of the other promoted sides and again the comparison is worrying and those 11 points that Derby achieved is becoming a distant target.

    But on to next week and if it does end in relegation we can look forward to a season without the fear of embarrassment factor.

  2. Russell Roberts says:

    Thanks Paul once again the only informative read

    ( I’ve sent an e mail to you .)

    First up Its a well done to motivating yourself to attend the U18 and 23’s in such awful weather, I struggled to lwave the pub yesterday knowing what was in front of us.

    I do listen to the pundits mainly on radio, there are those who I believe are specifically there to attract and court controversial comment, even the dear old auntie (BBC ) allows for click bait these days , having said that thier comments compared to some callers almost sound erudite.

    As for yesterday I avoided the tempting betting offers of a City win at 20 /1 and others like 1500/1 for a Bamba goal and a 2 -1 City win , those bookies are as clever, as those profound Shakespearean pundits ,Sutton, Savage,Ratcliffe and Claridge.

    My summary :

    We did very well I thought for the first 30 minutes without delivering any threat ,as we did in the last two games .

    Warnock has used these three games to tinker with formations knowing we would lose them anyway.

    For me Pelts, Holilet, Zohore, were not good enough .

    The others are just Championship players with perhaps the exception of Arter,Ralls, Reid and perhaps Murphy (need to see more ).

    The speed to the ball and control of these players is a joy to behold, and until you see them live you can’t really appreciate it , for those fans there yesterday who have been weened on TV football it must have been a shock to see that skill at first hand and too understand , they are taller than a subbeteo player in real life.

    We are in the correct position and sadly I feel the click bait pundits are right ,however Sutton’ s other prediction of Watford going down maybe wide of the mark , he’s had a lot of stick over that one .And let’s not forget the biggest pundit bloomer of them all whichnlasted 19 years , with Alan Hanson youngster never winning a league prediction, about Fergies youngsters?

    At the end the stadium emptied I stayed and just clapped as a few players like Morrison came around the ground , as I just felt as an ex player its not bloody easy shipping 11 goals in 3 games and being totally outclassed so consistently,whatever the league your in .

    Let’s see what Sunday brings , and hope thier confidence has not been too damaged

  3. Anthony O'Brien says:

    A few weeks ago I spoke on the Rob Phillips call-in show, and last week a member of the background staff phoned to ask me to contribute to the current programme because I had done well previously. Naturally I was flattered but I said no to the invitation because I would merely be regurgitating points I had already made on air.

    However, the gist of what I had said earlier was that the man regularly chosen to lead the Cardiff attack was not up to the job. I went on to say that, in spite of the much-heralded camaraderie of the team, there could easily be a growing sense that the player in question was being given unfairly favourable treatment. In addition, that player’s shortcomings would eventually lead to fans and media pundits reacting adversely to his shortcomings. In addition, I predicted that the longer-term consequence could well be a call in some quarters for the manager to go. However unlikely it seems, that prognostication seems already to be in process. I hope, as our Blogmeister suggests, the anti-Warnock criticism was on yesterday’s Call Rob show was just “a wind-up.”

    Even so, I was surprised to see Kenneth Zohore come on as a substitute yesterday, but not surprised to see him apparently lose interest before very long. I should, in fairness add, that on two occasions he got his head to a high ball in a way I had rarely seen before. He replaced a man who had connected with a few such balls during the game even though his attempts to “hang in the air” were laudable but not always properly timed. If heading the ball was necessary for our game plan — as it must have been since we all knew beforehand that we had little chance to be victorious at intercepting or using it on the ground — then where was Gary Madine?. Was he not selected because in last week’s assessment the genuinely perceptive and fair-minded critic Nathan Blake, for whom I have always had great esteem, pointed out that Madine had allowed himself to be bullied at Chelsea?

    I’d also like to point out that, in the first fifteen minutes yesterday, we had three chances of getting a shot on goal which were not taken, even though it was a day for –an all senses of the term — long shots. As a contributor called Andrew from Pontypridd, like myself, pointed out on the wireless, we need to be realistic in assessing yesterday’s game. Man City were outstandingly good; we we not as bad as some maintain.

  4. Edward Lindsay Davies says:

    Thanks to Paul, Colin, and Russell.
    I was feeling very glum this morning – the highlights, though no real measure of much, looked very grim.
    But the MAYAn brothers – not overly-optimistic – reminded me why we love this old club, and why we care.
    My anxiety is that the Summer Transfer chickens have come home to roost – weren’t we far too unambitious and unimaginative?
    Was somebody like James Maddison really out of our reach?
    It’s so blindingly obvious that we needed authentic quality to make us vaguely credible – even if in only two or three positions – and we never really looked like seeking it out.
    Others seem to have Premier-capable scorers – Mitrovic, Ashley Barnes, the Portuguese magicians at Wolves.
    Are there really three teams who appear likely to finish below us?
    God, let’s hope we give it a go in the January window, ‘cos we ain’t going to do it as we are.

  5. Geoff Lewis says:

    Hi Paul and Colleagues,
    The result was no surprise to me. In my prediction for this season, I had us to lose 5-0 against Man City, but nevertheless we made elementary mistakes in some of the goals they scored.I thought our formation was wrong, there was this big gap between the full backs and the Central defenders. and this is why poor Morrison had a nightmare of a game. I did think that Manga was solid in defence and just one error at the end gave them the 5th goal. I think that Reid is a good player, but seems to be chasing shadows.
    The team played well against Arsenal and also did Ward, but today he was outclassed, some good head ons only and one weak shot at goal.
    Hoillett disappointing again Why?
    Burnley I have pencilled in a 2-0 win, but after their 4-0 drubbing of Bournemouth yesterday. perhaps we maybe lucky to get a draw next Sunday. I am just enjoying the ride this season, but still when the transfer window was open we should have brought in a decent striker. For a month we were kept on hold by liverpool and their midfield player is he coming on loan yes and then a final no, which no doubt did not help in bringing in another player. ( Danny Gabbidon mentioned this in his post match summary on the radio yesterday)

  6. huw perry says:

    Thanks Paul and others.
    Didn’t exactly expect such a spanking but we got what we deserved unfortunately.
    We were too timid in the cup tie last season and lacked confidence and seemed same yesterday.
    In every match so far this season individual errors have been punished and Man City are in a class of their own in capitalising on any opportunities. They are a joy to watch and once I realised we were doomed it was a case of admiring how the carve out chances through sheer skill, pace and teamwork.
    I also didn’t quite understand the defensive changes but can read subsequently that due to knocks picked up on training by Sol and Bennett. Realistically it wouldn’t have changed anything te the final outcome.
    Agree with others in respect of Reid and Bruno saved us a few times with timely interceptions and blocks. Shame he blotted his copybook with the last goal.
    For the rest it just seems like collective loss of confidence and structure at the back.
    So, that’s this month’s 3 big guns out of the way and season starts now in earnest. Seems early to be talking about 6 pointers, but Burnley next week feels like it is one of those games already. We need to grind out a win somehow.

  7. Mike Herbert says:

    I was not surprised by the result yesterday and completely agree that it won’t be results against the top sides that determine where we finish. What concerns me is that, after watching lots of premier matches on tv, I have yet to see another side (save perhaps Huddersfield) so lacking in strength in the central core of the team – central defence, central midfield and centre forward as well as lacking a pacey player who can actually control the ball at speed and then find a colleague with a cross/pass. All the other sides seem to be better than us in these departments. Still trying to look on the bright side but that will be difficult if we don’t beat Burnley!

  8. MIKE HOPE says:

    Before the two games against Chelsea and Man City I had just two hopes.Firstly that we would not do too much damage to our goal difference and secondly that our players and fans would not become demoralised.The much publicised ‘togetherness’ is easy to maintain during success -how would it survive in adversity?
    A minus 8 in our goal difference over the two games
    is a bit worse than I expected and the manager has an important job over the next few days in boosting morale.
    He also needs to decide whether the 4-4-1-1 formation (introduced largely I suspect to fit Bobby D-C Reid into the team) and which had some success against Arsenal , should be continued.
    He will probably think it deserves a longer trial given the quality of our recent opposition.For the same reason it would be harsh to discard either Ward or Reid.
    Personally I would prefer us to always have three specialist midfielders in central midfield if only because we are just not good enough to play with two.
    To continue with two up front we would then probably need to play five at the back.
    Regarding the criticism of Zohore and Madine ,the latter has not been given much chance whereas the former I have difficulty in recognising as a professional footballer these days.
    Given the choice I would put Paterson ahead of them both as a number 9.
    I think that he and Murphy would make a good alternative pairing to Ward and Reid.
    He also has a long throw so he could be throwing to Morrison, as Morrison unfortunately can’t throw to himself!
    Paul, in your report you mention James Waite.Have I missed a report of his departure or is he injured?
    He was in the starting x1 in our pre season game against Rotherham so is obviously regarded as one of our best prospects.
    Iexpected to see him play in the Norwich cup tie but he seems to have disappeared off the radar.

  9. The other Bob Wilson says:

    Morning everyone, sorry, but I’ve got plenty on today and so don’t have the time to give your messages the replies they deserve, so I’ll limit myself to saying to Mike that James Waite has been out injured for the last few weeks, but, from the interview, I read last week, it seems he may be available for the game with Millwall at Leckwith which I will be taking in this afternoon I’ll put something about the match on here tomorrow morning.

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